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LTM vs UAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? LATAM Airlines Group (LTM) vs. United Airlines Holdings (UAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both carriers posted double-digit revenue growth in recent quarters, but elevated jet fuel prices have compressed margins across the sector.
- LTM strengthened its financial profile with credit-rating upgrades to BB+ from S&P Global and Fitch, reflecting a stronger balance sheet.
- UAL lowered its full-year earnings guidance as fuel costs climbed, despite posting record quarterly revenue.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: LTM appears to be the favored ticker based on balance-sheet strength, diversified revenue, and more resilient profitability.
- UAL carries a "Strong Buy" analyst consensus with meaningful price-target upside, but faces larger near-term earnings revisions.
- For real-time context, explore LTM Major News, LTM Today's Price Move, UAL Major News, and UAL Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore the Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
Investors comparing LTM (LATAM Airlines Group S.A.) and UAL (United Airlines Holdings, Inc.) are weighing two very different plays on global air travel. LATAM is Latin America's largest airline group, focused on a fast-growing regional market and an expanding international network. United is a U.S. legacy carrier with one of the world's most extensive global route networks. Both have delivered strong top-line growth, yet both are now navigating a sharp rise in jet fuel costs. This stock comparison is relevant for traders and investors assessing relative performance, financial resilience, and market positioning between a high-growth regional operator and a large-scale U.S. global carrier.
LTM Overview and Recent Performance
LTM, headquartered in Santiago, Chile, operates passenger and cargo services across South America and on regional and international routes to the Americas, Europe, and Oceania. Its business model is diversified across passenger, cargo, and a large loyalty program (LATAM Pass), which has helped stabilize revenue during periods of market volatility.
In recent weeks, LATAM reported third-quarter net income of about US$441 million, up roughly 16% year over year, on revenue of about US$4.6 billion, an 18.4% increase. Premium revenue grew approximately 23%, and cargo revenue rose close to 20%, underscoring the strength of its diversified model. However, average fuel prices jumped more than 50% versus the prior year, adding roughly US$520 million in costs and pushing adjusted operating margin down to 12.5% from 18.1% a year earlier. Despite this pressure, the company maintained double-digit adjusted margins and continued generating substantial free cash flow. S&P Global and Fitch upgraded LATAM's credit rating to BB+, a notable vote of confidence in its balance sheet.
UAL Overview and Recent Performance
UAL, based in Chicago, is one of the largest U.S. airlines, serving more than 370 destinations across six continents. Its strategy centers on premium cabins, brand loyalty, and a diversified revenue mix spanning passenger, cargo, and its MileagePlus loyalty program.
In recent market activity, United reported record quarterly operating revenue of roughly US$17.9 billion, up about 17% year over year, supported by strong passenger demand and a 23% rise in cargo revenue. Yet profitability faced meaningful cost pressure, as total operating expenses rose faster than revenue. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit divided by shares outstanding) came in slightly below analyst expectations, and management lowered its full-year adjusted EPS guidance to a range of US$7 to US$11, down from an earlier US$12 to US$14, citing elevated fuel costs. Analyst sentiment remains broadly positive, with a consensus "Strong Buy" rating and a mean price target implying notable upside, though near-term earnings estimates have been revised lower.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a marketplace of hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Because each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, and performance statistics, not every bot suits every market environment. The Trending AI Robots page curates only the bots currently best aligned with prevailing market conditions, highlighting strategies that have demonstrated consistency and relevance in real time. Whether you are tracking airline stocks like LTM and UAL or scanning other sectors, this section offers a practical starting point for evaluating automated, data-driven approaches. Browse the Trending AI Robots to explore current selections.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is scale versus regional focus. UAL operates a far larger network and generates several times LATAM's revenue, but LTM holds a dominant position in a structurally faster-growing Latin American market. On financial resilience, LATAM currently carries lower adjusted net leverage (about 1.5x) than United (about 2.2x), and LATAM's recent credit upgrades highlight improving credit quality, whereas United is still working toward investment-grade metrics.
Both face the same core risk: jet fuel inflation, which has squeezed margins and, in United's case, triggered a material cut to full-year earnings guidance. LATAM has demonstrated a higher fuel-cost pass-through rate, helping it protect profitability. United counters with stronger analyst backing, greater scale, and deeper premium-brand pricing power. In terms of momentum, United trades closer to the middle of its 52-week range, while LATAM sits nearer its lows despite its recent operational strength, reflecting divergent market sentiment toward each carrier's near-term earnings trajectory.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, balance-sheet stability, and revenue diversification, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LTM in the current environment. LATAM's lower leverage, recent credit-rating upgrades, diversified passenger-cargo-loyalty model, and demonstrated ability to pass through fuel costs support a more resilient profitability profile amid rising energy prices. UAL retains scale, brand strength, and favorable analyst coverage, but its larger earnings revisions and higher leverage introduce comparatively greater near-term uncertainty. The verdict reflects a probabilistic assessment of relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and either stock may outperform depending on how fuel costs and demand evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LTM is a Buy and UAL is a Buy.
LTM's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for LTM moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 8 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 7 of the 8 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on LTM as a result. In 37 of 44 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for LTM just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where LTM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 17 of 21 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
LTM moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +7.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LTM advanced for three days, in 110 of 148 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LTM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
LTM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for LTM entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. LTM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.839) is normal, around the industry mean (2.379). P/E Ratio (8.811) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.762). LTM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (13.980) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.025) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.908) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
UAL's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for UAL moved out of oversold territory on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on UAL as a result. In 68 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for UAL just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where UAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
UAL moved above its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UAL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +6.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UAL advanced for three days, in 232 of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for UAL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 28, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
UAL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for UAL entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 22 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 71, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. UAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.192) is normal, around the industry mean (2.379). P/E Ratio (10.449) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.762). UAL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.503) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.252). UAL's Dividend Yield (0.076) is considerably higher than the industry average of (0.025). P/S Ratio (0.552) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
LTM | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 36 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 66 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 33 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 13 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 32 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 22 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UAL's Valuation (66) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (78). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (33). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
LTM's SMR Rating (13) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (42). This means that LTM’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as LTM (50). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to LTM’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (32) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LTM (73). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than LTM’s over the last 12 months.
| LTM | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 59% | 24 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LTM’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while UAL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- LTM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LTM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LTM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
LTM (@Airlines) experienced а +13.36% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was +12.45% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +14.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.02%.
Reported Earning Dates
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 20, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+14.84% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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LTM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LTM has been closely correlated with CPA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LTM jumps, then CPA could also see price increases.