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ALK vs VLRS
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Hold and VLRS is a Hold.
ALK sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ALK moved below the 200-day moving average on September 10, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALK as a result. In 53 of 72 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALK turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALK entered a downward trend on October 01, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALK advanced for three days, in 218 of 285 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
ALK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 67 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.207) is normal, around the industry mean (3.112). ALK's P/E Ratio (94.143) is considerably higher than the industry average of (23.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.308) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
VLRS's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for VLRS entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 221 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 191 of the 221 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VLRS as a result. In 63 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VLRS turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VLRS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for VLRS's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.29% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VLRS advanced for three days, in 240 of 308 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: VLRS's P/B Ratio (11.429) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.112). P/E Ratio (3.648) is within average values for comparable stocks, (23.433). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.010) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. VLRS’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VLRS’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
ALK | VLRS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 99 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 41 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VLRS's Valuation (50) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (67). This means that VLRS’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
VLRS's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (100). This means that VLRS’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's SMR Rating (92) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as VLRS (99). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to VLRS’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's Price Growth Rating (73) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as VLRS (73). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to VLRS’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for VLRS (95). This means that ALK’s stock grew significantly faster than VLRS’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | VLRS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 76% | 23 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 6 days ago 82% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 86% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while VLRS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- VLRS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VLRS’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- VLRS’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -5.21% price change this week, while VLRS (@Airlines) price change was -7.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -7.51%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
VLRS is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-7.51% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALK | 100% | -0.66% | ||
| AAL - ALK | 72% Closely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| ULCC - ALK | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.76% | ||
| LTM - ALK | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| VLRS - ALK | 56% Loosely correlated | -3.53% | ||
| LUV - ALK | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.27% | ||
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VLRS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VLRS has been loosely correlated with LTM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if VLRS jumps, then LTM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VLRS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VLRS | 100% | -3.53% | ||
| LTM - VLRS | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.76% | ||
| ALGT - VLRS | 56% Loosely correlated | -3.03% | ||
| UAL - VLRS | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| ALK - VLRS | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.66% | ||
| LUV - VLRS | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
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