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ARKO vs PAG
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARKO is a Hold and PAG is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for ARKO turns negative, indicating new downward trend
ARKO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 115 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 85 of the 115 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for ARKO moved below the 200-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARKO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for ARKO entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARKO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 66 cases where ARKO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +2.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARKO advanced for three days, in 195 of 275 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ARKO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.144) is normal, around the industry mean (2.237). P/E Ratio (51.250) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.036). ARKO's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.610) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.159). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.093) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.062) is also within normal values, averaging (1.057).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARKO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
PAG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026
PAG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 43 of 57 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PAG's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAG as a result. In 63 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAG just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +9.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAG advanced for three days, in 207 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for PAG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
PAG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PAG entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PAG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.399) is normal, around the industry mean (1.339). P/E Ratio (15.426) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.442). PAG's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.087) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.027) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.438) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
ARKO | PAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 89 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 98 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 88 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 16 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PAG's Valuation (86) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ARKO (98) in the null industry. This means that PAG’s stock grew similarly to ARKO’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for ARKO (100) in the null industry. This means that PAG’s stock grew significantly faster than ARKO’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's SMR Rating (54) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ARKO (88) in the null industry. This means that PAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than ARKO’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's Price Growth Rating (41) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ARKO (65) in the null industry. This means that PAG’s stock grew similarly to ARKO’s over the last 12 months.
PAG's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ARKO (36) in the null industry. This means that PAG’s stock grew similarly to ARKO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARKO | PAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 8 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 49% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARKO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while PAG’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ARKO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PAG’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARKO’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PAG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARKO’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- PAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ARKO (@Specialty Stores) experienced а -0.24% price change this week, while PAG (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was +8.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +4.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.61%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.86%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -2.65%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.51%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARKO is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
PAG is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+4.47% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Automotive Aftermarket (-2.65% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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PAG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PAG has been closely correlated with ABG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PAG jumps, then ABG could also see price increases.