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ASIX vs MATV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AdvanSix (ASIX) vs. Mativ Holdings (MATV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ASIX (AdvanSix) is a cyclical, vertically integrated chemicals producer, while MATV (Mativ Holdings) is a diversified specialty-materials manufacturer executing a profitability turnaround.
- ASIX offers a higher dividend yield and lower leverage but is currently pressured by record sulfur and raw-material costs and softer fertilizer demand.
- MATV has posted several consecutive quarters of improved profitability and cash flow, though elevated debt and a recent weather-related distribution disruption remain key watch items.
- The two stocks carry contrasting risk profiles: ASIX is tied to agricultural and industrial input cycles, while MATV is anchored in filtration, advanced films, and adhesive end markets.
Introduction
Both ASIX and MATV sit within the broad materials sector, yet their businesses, financial profiles, and near-term catalysts diverge sharply. AdvanSix is a U.S.-based integrated chemistry company exposed to fertilizers, nylon, and industrial intermediates, while Mativ Holdings operates globally across filtration, advanced materials, and adhesive solutions. This stock comparison is relevant for investors weighing a higher-yielding cyclical producer against a specialty-materials turnaround story. Understanding their relative performance, market positioning, and risk factors can help both value-oriented and momentum-focused traders assess which name better fits current market conditions.
ASIX Overview and Recent Performance
AdvanSix (ASIX) is a vertically integrated chemistry company producing nylon solutions, plant nutrients, and chemical intermediates across five U.S. manufacturing facilities. Its end markets include construction, agrochemicals, plastics, packaging, and electronics. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near the lower end of its 52-week range, reflecting cyclical headwinds. Recent quarterly results showed sales rising roughly 3% year over year on favorable pricing, but adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) declined sharply as record sulfur and benzene costs compressed margins, and softer ammonium sulfate fertilizer volumes weighed on the plant nutrients segment. Management has emphasized cost-discipline initiatives, carbon-capture tax credits, and a growth program tied to diesel exhaust fluid. A quarterly dividend of $0.16 per share supports an above-average yield, a notable feature for income-focused investors during a period of earnings pressure.
MATV Overview and Recent Performance
Mativ Holdings (MATV) is a global specialty-materials company headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia, with two operating segments: Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions. It manufactures on three continents and sells in more than 100 countries. In recent quarters, the company has reported consecutive year-over-year improvements in profitability and cash flow, supported by pricing actions and a cost-reduction program, alongside a notable aerospace-and-defense win for a specialty film application. Sentiment has been tempered by elevated net debt and a tornado that damaged a third-party distribution center, which management estimates will reduce quarterly sales by roughly $20–25 million, with recovery expected over subsequent quarters. A comprehensive refinancing extended debt maturities and removed a key liquidity overhang, and management has guided toward reducing leverage into its target range over the next several quarters.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different points on the risk-and-reward spectrum. ASIX operates a capital-intensive, commodity-linked model whose earnings hinge on input-cost spreads—particularly sulfur, benzene, and propylene—and on agricultural demand cycles. It carries a more modest balance-sheet burden and distributes a higher dividend, but its growth is cyclical and currently constrained by input inflation and weak fertilizer volumes. MATV, by contrast, is a higher-leverage turnaround focused on premium, value-added applications such as filtration and advanced films. Its improving margins and cash-flow trajectory signal operational momentum, and its aerospace-and-defense win offers a differentiated growth catalyst, but its debt load and recent weather disruption add execution risk. On market sentiment, MATV trades well below analyst price targets, reflecting both opportunity and skepticism, while ASIX trades closer to its consensus range but faces near-term earnings headwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, relative positioning, and catalyst profile, Tickeron's AI would likely assign a modest near-term edge to MATV. Its sequence of improving profitability quarters, refinanced capital structure, and growth-oriented catalysts suggest steadier positive momentum, even after accounting for elevated leverage and the transitory weather disruption. ASIX retains defensive appeal through its dividend and low-cost integrated position, but its earnings remain more directly exposed to raw-material and fertilizer-cycle volatility. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting current data rather than a forecast of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASIX is a StrongBuy and MATV is a StrongBuy.
ASIX in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026
ASIX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 38 of 50 cases where ASIX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASIX advanced for three days, in 197 of 301 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASIX as a result. In 58 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ASIX turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASIX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for ASIX entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.523) is normal, around the industry mean (1.145). ASIX has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-23.045) as compared to the industry average of (3.185). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.139) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.290) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ASIX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASIX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
MATV sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On October 21, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MATV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 63 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 49 of the 63 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MATV as a result. In 60 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MATV just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where MATV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
MATV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MATV advanced for three days, in 197 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MATV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 81 of 123 cases where MATV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for MATV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MATV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MATV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.377) is normal, around the industry mean (2.359). P/E Ratio (7.159) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.767) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MATV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
ASIX | MATV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASIX's Valuation (16) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MATV (78) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that ASIX’s stock grew somewhat faster than MATV’s over the last 12 months.
ASIX's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as MATV (100) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that ASIX’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's SMR Rating (46) in the Pulp And Paper industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASIX (91) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASIX’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Pulp And Paper industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ASIX (76) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew somewhat faster than ASIX’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Pulp And Paper industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASIX (100) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew significantly faster than ASIX’s over the last 12 months.
| ASIX | MATV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 65% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 11 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASIX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while MATV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASIX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MATV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASIX’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MATV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASIX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MATV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ASIX (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -6.14% price change this week, while MATV (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +1.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +0.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASIX is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
MATV is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-2.10% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (+0.09% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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ASIX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASIX has been closely correlated with AVNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ASIX jumps, then AVNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASIX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASIX | 100% | +1.55% | ||
| AVNT - ASIX | 72% Closely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| SCL - ASIX | 70% Closely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| IOSP - ASIX | 66% Closely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| LYB - ASIX | 64% Loosely correlated | +3.32% | ||
| FUL - ASIX | 63% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
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MATV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MATV has been loosely correlated with OLN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MATV jumps, then OLN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MATV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATV | 100% | +4.34% | ||
| OLN - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| AVNT - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| HUN - MATV | 50% Loosely correlated | +5.95% | ||
| ASIX - MATV | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| KRO - MATV | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.14% | ||
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