Advertisement
MATV vs REX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mativ Holdings (MATV) vs. REX American Resources (REX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MATV (Mativ Holdings) is a specialty-materials manufacturer, while REX (REX American Resources) is an ethanol producer — two fundamentally different business models and risk profiles.
- REX has demonstrated stronger recent momentum, gaining roughly 32% year to date and posting record quarterly earnings, whereas MATV has been rebuilding profitability after a widened 2025 net loss.
- REX carries no bank debt and holds substantial cash, while MATV maintains elevated net debt near $954 million following a completed refinancing.
- MATV offers a quarterly dividend (about $0.10 per share), while REX pays no dividend and prioritizes reinvestment in growth projects.
- Both companies have identifiable catalysts: REX's ethanol capacity expansion and carbon-capture initiatives, versus MATV's margin recovery and new business wins.
Introduction
Investors screening for value often encounter MATV and REX in very different contexts. Mativ Holdings operates in specialty materials, while REX American Resources competes in the ethanol and renewable-fuels sector. Despite their divergent industries, both have drawn attention for their market positioning, relative performance, and turnaround or growth narratives. This stock comparison is most relevant to traders and investors evaluating whether a recovering industrial name or a commodity-linked energy producer better fits current market conditions. By examining business models, momentum, balance-sheet strength, and catalysts side by side, readers can better assess which profile aligns with their objectives.
MATV Overview and Recent Performance
Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) is a global specialty-materials company headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia. It operates through two segments — Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions — supplying engineered films, fibers, and resins across more than 100 countries. In recent market activity, MATV has traded at a relatively low share price with a modest market capitalization near $618 million, and its shares have shown volatility tied to earnings and operational updates.
Recent quarters have been marked by a focus on margin improvement and cost reduction. The company has reported sequential progress in profitability and cash flow, and it appointed a new Chief Financial Officer as part of a leadership transition. Analysts have cited higher projected margins and completed share-repurchase activity as supportive factors, with some maintaining price targets around $21. However, the company continues to work through a heavier debt load and a recent operational disruption — a tornado affecting a Wisconsin facility that management expects to impact third-quarter revenue. MATV also maintains a quarterly dividend, giving the stock an income component that REX lacks.
REX Overview and Recent Performance
REX American Resources Corporation (REX) is an ethanol production company based in Dayton, Ohio, focused on producing ethanol and related co-products such as distillers grains and corn oil. Unlike MATV, REX has benefited from strong industry fundamentals, record ethanol export demand, and production tax credits known as Section 45Z credits, which flow directly into gross profit.
Recent performance has been notably strong: REX reported a record fiscal second quarter with diluted earnings per share of $1.06, up from $0.22 a year earlier, marking its 24th consecutive profitable quarter. The company carries no bank debt and ended the quarter with roughly $379.5 million in cash and short-term investments. Its stock has risen approximately 32% year to date, though it has pulled back modestly in recent weeks. Growth initiatives — an ethanol capacity expansion at its One Earth facility and a carbon capture and sequestration project that received draft Class VI well permits from the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) — are key catalysts, though state-level permitting timelines remain uncertain.
Trending AI Robots
For traders seeking a more systematic approach to evaluating names like MATV and REX, Tickeron offers a curated selection of automated strategies through its Trending AI Robots page. Tickeron maintains hundreds of AI trading bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers, each with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance statistics, and set of covered securities. Rather than listing every available bot, this section highlights only those best suited to prevailing market conditions, helping users quickly identify tools with relevant momentum, volatility, or trend-following profiles. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to review current top performers and find strategies aligned with your watchlist.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between MATV and REX lies in their sector exposure and earnings trajectory. MATV is a diversified specialty-materials producer whose revenue is tied to industrial, healthcare, and consumer end-markets, giving it a steadier but slower-growth profile. REX, by contrast, is a leaner, commodity-linked operator whose profitability swings with ethanol crush margins, corn prices, and federal tax-credit policy.
From a momentum standpoint, REX has outperformed over the past year, supported by record earnings and a robust, debt-free balance sheet. MATV offers a dividend yield and a valuation that some analysts view as attractive, but it must contend with elevated leverage and a recent operational setback. Risk factors also diverge: REX faces policy and regulatory uncertainty around carbon-capture permits and tax credits, while MATV is exposed to raw-material cost swings, demand softness in certain end-markets, and integration-related execution risk.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings momentum, balance-sheet strength, and near-term catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor REX in the current environment. REX's record profitability, debt-free balance sheet, and positive trend characteristics offer a more stable momentum profile, even after a modest recent pullback. That said, MATV retains appeal for income-oriented or value-focused investors given its dividend and ongoing margin-recovery story. The AI perspective is probabilistic rather than definitive: REX's relative strength could persist if industry fundamentals and tax-credit policy remain supportive, while MATV's turnaround would need sustained margin improvement and debt reduction to narrow the gap.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MATV is a StrongBuy and REX is a StrongBuy.
MATV in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026
MATV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 34 of 47 cases where MATV's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MATV as a result. In 60 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MATV just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where MATV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +6.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MATV advanced for three days, in 197 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 86 of 123 cases where MATV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 61 cases where MATV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
MATV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MATV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MATV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MATV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.359) is normal, around the industry mean (2.372). P/E Ratio (7.067) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.767) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MATV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
REX in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026
REX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 28 of 31 cases where REX's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where REX advanced for three days, in 245 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 163 of 202 cases where REX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on REX as a result. In 62 of 109 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for REX turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
REX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for REX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where REX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 11 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 51 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.949) is normal, around the industry mean (1.158). P/E Ratio (10.841) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.218). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.135) among similar stocks. REX's P/S Ratio (2.123) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (0.578).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. REX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
MATV | REX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 51 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 47 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | 88 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
REX's Valuation (51) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is in the same range as MATV (78) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that REX’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
REX's Profit vs Risk Rating (18) in the Chemicals Specialty industry is significantly better than the same rating for MATV (100) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that REX’s stock grew significantly faster than MATV’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's SMR Rating (46) in the Pulp And Paper industry is in the same range as REX (47) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew similarly to REX’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Pulp And Paper industry is in the same range as REX (60) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew similarly to REX’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Pulp And Paper industry is somewhat better than the same rating for REX (88) in the Chemicals Specialty industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew somewhat faster than REX’s over the last 12 months.
| MATV | REX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 7 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 9 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MATV’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while REX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MATV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- REX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MATV’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while REX’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MATV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- REX’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MATV (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +1.58% price change this week, while REX (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was -2.18% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +2.44%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.46%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was +0.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
MATV is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
REX is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (+2.44% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (+0.69% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
Advertisement
MATV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MATV has been loosely correlated with OLN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MATV jumps, then OLN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MATV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATV | 100% | -3.90% | ||
| OLN - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.79% | ||
| AVNT - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
| HUN - MATV | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.02% | ||
| ASIX - MATV | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| REX - MATV | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.65% | ||
More | ||||
REX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, REX has been loosely correlated with GPRE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if REX jumps, then GPRE could also see price increases.