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MATV vs OLN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Mativ Holdings (MATV) vs. Olin Corporation (OLN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MATV has delivered a year-to-date gain of approximately 25%, trailing OLN's stronger 38% advance, reflecting divergent momentum in the materials sector.
- Over the past year, MATV significantly outperformed with 78% returns compared to OLN's 33%, driven by earnings beats and insider activity.
- Both stocks face profitability challenges, with MATV's profit margin at -17% and OLN's at -1.5%, amid cyclical pressures in specialty materials and chemicals.
- MATV trades at a forward P/E of 11.05 with a strong buy rating and 130% upside to analyst targets, while OLN has a hold consensus and modest target adjustments.
- OLN boasts larger scale with $6.8B TTM revenue versus MATV's $2B, offering greater diversification through chemicals and ammunition.
Introduction
This comparison examines MATV and OLN, two players in the materials sector navigating volatile commodity cycles and industrial demand. Investors tracking specialty chemicals, engineered materials, and ammunition exposure may find value in assessing their relative performance, risk profiles, and growth catalysts. With broader market rotations favoring cyclicals in recent market activity, understanding shifts in momentum, earnings trajectories, and analyst sentiment provides actionable insights for position sizing and sector allocation strategies.
MATV Overview and Recent Performance
Mativ Holdings, Inc. (MATV) is a global specialty materials provider, specializing in filtration media, advanced materials, and engineered papers for healthcare, construction, and packaging applications. In recent weeks, MATV shares have shown resilience, posting year-to-date gains of 25% amid broader sector pressures. Key influences include a Q4 2025 earnings beat, with revenue of $463M and EPS of $0.15 surpassing estimates, alongside record free cash flow generation. Shareholder approvals for directors and equity plans, plus notable insider buying lifting market cap by $53M, have bolstered sentiment. Trading near $9 with a 52-week range of $4.87-$15.48, the stock reflects high volatility but strong analyst support, with targets averaging $21 signaling potential upside. Negative profitability persists, with TTM net losses tied to integration costs, yet improving adjusted EBITDA margins signal operational progress.
OLN Overview and Recent Performance
Olin Corporation (OLN) manufactures chemicals including chlor-alkali products, epoxy, vinyls, and Winchester ammunition, serving industrial and defense markets across segments. Recent market activity has seen OLN deliver robust year-to-date returns of 38%, outpacing benchmarks, though with a noted share price pullback. Factors include anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on May 7, Citi's price target hike to $30, and a relative strength rating upgrade to 83. Despite TTM net losses from heavy buybacks and pricing disputes, the stock hovers around $28 within a 52-week range of $18-$30. Larger scale supports resilience, but high debt levels and negative ROE (return on equity, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity) of -5% highlight cyclical risks in commodities. Analyst consensus leans hold, with average targets near $27.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MATV focuses on niche engineered solutions with higher growth potential in healthcare and filtration, contrasting OLN's diversified chemicals and ammunition base exposed to commodity swings and defense spending. Recent momentum favors OLN's YTD edge, but MATV leads in one-year returns and analyst upside. Risk profiles differ: MATV's smaller market cap amplifies volatility and debt leverage (enterprise value/EBITDA 9.55), while OLN offers scale but elevated debt/equity at 168%. Sector sentiment tilts toward cyclicals, with MATV gaining from insider confidence and OLN from earnings catalysts, presenting trade-offs in stability versus appreciation potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward OLN for its superior year-to-date momentum, larger revenue base, and upcoming earnings visibility, positioning it better for sustained trends in materials amid industrial recovery. While MATV shows compelling long-term outperformance and valuation discounts, OLN's relative stability and analyst target adjustments suggest higher probability of near-term relative strength, though both warrant monitoring for sector rotations.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MATV is a Hold and OLN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MATV’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileOLN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MATV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- OLN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MATV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OLN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MATV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- OLN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MATV (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -5.80% price change this week, while OLN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) price change was -3.90% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +2.23%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was +47.04%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -0.45%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was +23.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
MATV is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
OLN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (+2.23% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-0.45% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
| MATV | OLN | MATV / OLN | |
| Capitalization | 475M | 3.14B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 190M | 408M | 47% |
| Gain YTD | -28.351 | 33.504 | -85% |
| P/E Ratio | 6.11 | 48.57 | 13% |
| Revenue | 1.98B | 6.72B | 29% |
| Total Cash | 82.3M | 192M | 43% |
| Total Debt | 1.1B | 3.31B | 33% |
MATV | OLN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 16 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 41 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 11 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 7 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OLN's Valuation (41) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as MATV (45) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as MATV (100) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's SMR Rating (51) in the Pulp And Paper industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OLN (93) in the Industrial Specialties industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew somewhat faster than OLN’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as MATV (62) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
OLN's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MATV (60) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that OLN’s stock grew somewhat faster than MATV’s over the last 12 months.
| MATV | OLN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 21 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 67% |
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