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HUN vs MATV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Huntsman Corporation (HUN) vs. Mativ Holdings (MATV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Huntsman Corporation (HUN) is a diversified specialty-chemicals maker with a market capitalization near $1.5 billion and a dividend yield of roughly 4%.
- Mativ Holdings (MATV) is a smaller specialty-materials producer, valued near $600 million, that is pivoting toward higher-growth markets after a period of restructuring.
- HUN's near-term story is dominated by its pending all-stock "merger of equals" with Olin Corporation, while MATV is focused on margin expansion and debt reduction.
- Both companies face cyclical end-market softness, but MATV has reported several consecutive quarters of improving profitability, whereas HUN still posts net losses.
- Their relative performance and market positioning differ sharply, making this a useful contrast for materials-sector investors.
Introduction
Huntsman Corporation (HUN) and Mativ Holdings (MATV) both operate in the broader materials space, yet they represent very different investment profiles. HUN is a large, globally diversified chemical producer, while MATV is a leaner specialty-materials company undergoing a portfolio transformation. Comparing the two helps traders and investors assess how scale, cyclicality, balance-sheet strength, and growth catalysts shape relative performance and market positioning. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for those weighing a higher-yield cyclical name against a smaller, more leveraged turnaround story.
HUN Overview and Recent Performance
Huntsman Corporation (HUN) is a global manufacturer of differentiated chemicals, best known for its polyurethanes business built around MDI (methylene diphenyl diisocyanate), a key raw material for insulation, adhesives, and automotive components. The company also produces performance products and advanced materials for sectors including aerospace and construction.
In recent weeks, HUN's shares have traded in the single digits, with the company still reporting net losses on a trailing-twelve-month basis. Second-quarter 2026 revenue rose about 14% year over year, and its net loss narrowed meaningfully, but demand for MDI remains subdued amid soft housing, automotive, and consumer markets. The dominant catalyst is the all-stock "merger of equals" with Olin Corporation announced in mid-2026, which management expects to unlock meaningful cost synergies. Analysts have trimmed price targets, with several firms citing weaker end markets and dividend risk, leaving consensus sentiment cautious despite the strategic rationale of the combination.
MATV Overview and Recent Performance
Mativ Holdings (MATV) is a specialty-materials company headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia, operating through two segments: Filtration & Advanced Materials and Sustainable & Adhesive Solutions. Its portfolio combines polymers, fibers, and resins for applications in filtration, healthcare, and industrial markets across more than 100 countries.
Recent market activity has reflected an improving operational trajectory. MATV has reported several consecutive quarters of year-over-year profitability and cash-flow improvement, and it beat earnings estimates in recent quarters. The company secured an aerospace-and-defense design win for a lightweight specialty film used in a space application, signaling expansion into high-value end markets. Management completed a credit-facility refinancing that pushed debt maturities to 2031–2033 and is targeting further leverage reduction. A tornado that damaged a third-party distribution center in Wisconsin is expected to trim third-quarter sales by roughly $20–25 million, a transitory setback the company says is largely insured and confined to a single quarter.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge across several key dimensions. HUN is far larger, carries a lower equity risk profile, and offers a roughly 4% dividend yield, but its earnings remain negative and its outlook is tied to a pending merger and a slow-recovering MDI cycle. MATV is smaller, more leveraged, and still working down debt, yet it has demonstrated clearer recent momentum through margin expansion, a new CFO, and early wins in high-growth end markets.
On growth drivers, HUN depends on a cyclical rebound in construction and automotive demand plus merger synergies, while MATV leans on cost discipline, refinancing, and product innovation. Risk profiles also differ: HUN faces execution and integration risk around the Olin combination and lingering dividend uncertainty, whereas MATV carries higher leverage and exposure to one-off disruptions such as the Wisconsin tornado. Market sentiment is comparatively cautious on HUN, with several analysts lowering targets, while MATV has drawn a more constructive view tied to its improving cash flow and debt-reduction plan.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward MATV for relative trend consistency and near-term catalysts. MATV's sequence of improving profitability, completed refinancing, and emerging aerospace-and-defense traction suggests steadier, if incremental, positive momentum. HUN, by contrast, remains weighed down by negative earnings, soft MDI demand, and integration uncertainty surrounding its merger, even as its higher dividend yield and larger scale offer defensive appeal. The AI's preference would be probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting MATV's stronger recent momentum against HUN's unresolved cyclical and deal-related overhangs.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HUN is a Buy and MATV is a StrongBuy.
HUN's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for HUN moved out of oversold territory on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 48 of 64 cases where HUN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HUN as a result. In 66 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HUN just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where HUN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +4.13% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HUN advanced for three days, in 164 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
HUN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HUN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator for HUN entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 18 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.536) is normal, around the industry mean (1.145). P/E Ratio (-7.838) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.185). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.080) is also within normal values, averaging (3.769). Dividend Yield (0.043) settles around the average of (0.139) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.269) is also within normal values, averaging (0.578).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HUN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HUN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
MATV sees its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
On October 21, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for MATV moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 63 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 49 of the 63 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MATV as a result. In 60 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MATV just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where MATV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
MATV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.25% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MATV advanced for three days, in 197 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
MATV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 81 of 123 cases where MATV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for MATV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MATV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MATV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 78 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.377) is normal, around the industry mean (2.359). P/E Ratio (7.159) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.767) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.034) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MATV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
HUN | MATV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 18 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 78 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 31 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HUN's Valuation (18) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MATV (78) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that HUN’s stock grew somewhat faster than MATV’s over the last 12 months.
HUN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MATV (100) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that HUN’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's SMR Rating (46) in the Pulp And Paper industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HUN (92) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew somewhat faster than HUN’s over the last 12 months.
MATV's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Pulp And Paper industry is in the same range as HUN (64) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that MATV’s stock grew similarly to HUN’s over the last 12 months.
HUN's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as MATV (31) in the Pulp And Paper industry. This means that HUN’s stock grew similarly to MATV’s over the last 12 months.
| HUN | MATV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 66% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 75% | 11 days ago 78% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HUN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while MATV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- HUN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MATV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HUN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MATV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HUN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MATV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HUN (@Chemicals: Major Diversified) experienced а -0.12% price change this week, while MATV (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +1.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Major Diversified industry was -2.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.61%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was +0.09%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.75%.
Reported Earning Dates
HUN is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
MATV is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Major Diversified (-2.10% weekly)The major diversified chemicals industry includes companies that produce a wide range of chemicals and industrial gases. The products are often used as raw materials in the manufacturing of various types of goods, including plastics, paints, carpets, and fixtures to name a few. Major companies making diversified chemicals include DuPont de Nemours Inc., Celanese Corporation, Celanese Corporation and Westlake Chemical Corporation.
@Chemicals: Specialty (+0.09% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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HUN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HUN has been closely correlated with OLN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HUN jumps, then OLN could also see price increases.
MATV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MATV has been loosely correlated with OLN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MATV jumps, then OLN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MATV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MATV | 100% | +4.34% | ||
| OLN - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| AVNT - MATV | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.27% | ||
| HUN - MATV | 50% Loosely correlated | +5.95% | ||
| ASIX - MATV | 49% Loosely correlated | +1.55% | ||
| KRO - MATV | 48% Loosely correlated | +2.14% | ||
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