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ASPN vs NGVT
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ASPN is a Hold and NGVT is a Hold.
ASPN sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
ASPN saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 14, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 39 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ASPN moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 26 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ASPN as a result. In 73 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
ASPN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASPN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASPN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator for ASPN entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +6.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASPN advanced for three days, in 217 of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
ASPN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.070) is normal, around the industry mean (2.450). P/E Ratio (-3.158) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.964). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.017) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ASPN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASPN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
NGVT's RSI Oscillator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NGVT moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 30 of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 51 cases where NGVT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The 50-day moving average for NGVT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NGVT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
NGVT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on NGVT as a result. In 56 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for NGVT just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where NGVT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
NGVT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NGVT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Following a +6.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NGVT advanced for three days, in 214 of 294 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NGVT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 99 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NGVT's P/B Ratio (54.044) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.450). P/E Ratio (46.962) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.964). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.530) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.107) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. NGVT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
ASPN | NGVT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 81 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 99 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 50 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ASPN's Valuation (47) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NGVT (99) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that ASPN’s stock grew somewhat faster than NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
ASPN's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as NGVT (100) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that ASPN’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's SMR Rating (18) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is significantly better than the same rating for ASPN (98) in the Building Products industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew significantly faster than ASPN’s over the last 12 months.
NGVT's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry is in the same range as ASPN (71) in the Building Products industry. This means that NGVT’s stock grew similarly to ASPN’s over the last 12 months.
ASPN's P/E Growth Rating (47) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as NGVT (50) in the Chemicals Major Diversified industry. This means that ASPN’s stock grew similarly to NGVT’s over the last 12 months.
| ASPN | NGVT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 82% | 10 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ASPN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NGVT’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ASPN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NGVT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ASPN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NGVT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ASPN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 7 bearish.
- NGVT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ASPN (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а -12.73% price change this week, while NGVT (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was -0.59% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -3.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
ASPN is expected to report earnings on Feb 18, 2027.
NGVT is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-3.69% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
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ASPN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ASPN has been loosely correlated with IR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ASPN jumps, then IR could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ASPN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASPN | 100% | -3.23% | ||
| IR - ASPN | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| JBI - ASPN | 42% Loosely correlated | +6.84% | ||
| NGVT - ASPN | 40% Loosely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| BXC - ASPN | 40% Loosely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| JELD - ASPN | 31% Poorly correlated | -9.17% | ||
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NGVT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NGVT has been loosely correlated with AVNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NGVT jumps, then AVNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NGVT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NGVT | 100% | +0.14% | ||
| AVNT - NGVT | 58% Loosely correlated | +10.66% | ||
| FUL - NGVT | 58% Loosely correlated | +4.74% | ||
| KWR - NGVT | 55% Loosely correlated | +5.15% | ||
| MTX - NGVT | 54% Loosely correlated | +3.77% | ||
| PPG - NGVT | 54% Loosely correlated | +4.97% | ||
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