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ATI vs STLD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ATI Inc. (ATI) vs. Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ATI and STLD have delivered strong year-to-date gains around 33%, reflecting robust demand in the metals sector.
- ATI boasts superior one-year returns exceeding 185%, driven by aerospace and defense exposure, compared to STLD's solid 79% gain.
- STLD shows stronger recent monthly momentum with over 30% gains, fueled by record Q1 shipments and tariff-related optimism.
- STLD trades at a lower P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of about 24 versus ATI's 54, suggesting relatively better valuation.
- Analysts have raised price targets for both, with STLD seeing upgrades to $255 and ATI to $185 amid sector tailwinds.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ATI Inc. and Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD), two key players in the metals and materials sector. ATI focuses on specialty alloys for aerospace and defense, while STLD is a leading steel producer and recycler. Traders seeking relative performance insights in cyclical industries, and investors eyeing sector rotation amid economic shifts like tariffs and aerospace recovery, will find value here. Recent market activity highlights contrasts in momentum and catalysts, aiding informed positioning decisions.
ATI Overview and Recent Performance
ATI Inc. manufactures specialty materials and components, primarily titanium, nickel-based alloys, and superalloys for aerospace, defense, and energy markets. In recent market activity, its shares have climbed significantly, with year-to-date gains of about 34% and one-year returns surpassing 185%, outpacing broader indices. Trading around $153, the stock reflects strong demand for high-performance materials amid aerospace production ramps. Sentiment has been buoyed by analyst upgrades and price target hikes to $185, alongside anticipation for upcoming earnings growth. However, recent weeks saw modest pullbacks, with five-day declines amid broader sector volatility, underscoring its beta (volatility measure) near 1.3.
STLD Overview and Recent Performance
Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) is a major U.S. steel producer and metals recycler, offering hot-rolled, coated steel, and fabrication products for construction, automotive, and energy sectors. Recent performance has been robust, with shares around $225 posting year-to-date advances of roughly 33% and one-year gains of 79%. A standout 30% monthly surge followed Q1 2026 results featuring record shipments and revenue beats, supported by anticipated tariff protections boosting steel demand. Analyst enthusiasm is evident in multiple price target increases to $255, though some insider sales tempered gains. Higher beta around 1.4 highlights sensitivity to industrial cycles.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ATI’s business model emphasizes high-margin specialty alloys tied to aerospace growth, contrasting STLD’s volume-driven steel production and recycling with broader industrial exposure. Growth drivers differ: ATI benefits from defense spending and aircraft backlogs, while STLD leverages tariffs and infrastructure demand. Recent momentum favors STLD’s post-earnings spike versus ATI’s steadier climb. Risk factors include commodity price swings for both, but STLD’s larger scale ($33B market cap vs. $21B) offers diversification through recycling and fabrication. Market sentiment tilts positive for STLD on near-term catalysts, while ATI appeals for structural tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward STLD based on superior recent momentum, record shipments, and tariff positioning, alongside a more attractive valuation. While ATI shows impressive longer-term trend consistency in aerospace, STLD’s relative stability and catalysts suggest higher near-term probability of outperformance in the current environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ATI is a Hold and STLD is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ATI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSTLD’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- ATI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- STLD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ATI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while STLD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ATI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- STLD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ATI (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а -5.71% price change this week, while STLD (@Steel) price change was -2.20% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was -3.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.49%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.95%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was -2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +133.94%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.70%.
Reported Earning Dates
ATI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
STLD is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (-3.86% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (-2.53% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| ATI | STLD | ATI / STLD | |
| Capitalization | 25.7B | 31.8B | 81% |
| EBITDA | 821M | 2.39B | 34% |
| Gain YTD | 63.907 | 45.323 | 141% |
| P/E Ratio | 67.36 | 25.10 | 268% |
| Revenue | 4.6B | 19B | 24% |
| Total Cash | 402M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.83B | 4.2B | 44% |
ATI | STLD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 24 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 4 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
STLD's Valuation (24) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ATI (79). This means that STLD’s stock grew somewhat faster than ATI’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (4). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's SMR Rating (41) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (57). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (40). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Steel industry is in the same range as STLD (20). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to STLD’s over the last 12 months.
| ATI | STLD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 67% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 80% | 22 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 10 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 78% |
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ATI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ATI has been closely correlated with CRS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ATI jumps, then CRS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ATI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATI | 100% | -2.12% | ||
| CRS - ATI | 76% Closely correlated | -2.12% | ||
| MTUS - ATI | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.94% | ||
| MT - ATI | 51% Loosely correlated | +6.99% | ||
| NUE - ATI | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| STLD - ATI | 48% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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STLD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, STLD has been closely correlated with CMC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if STLD jumps, then CMC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To STLD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STLD | 100% | N/A | ||
| CMC - STLD | 74% Closely correlated | +0.85% | ||
| RS - STLD | 67% Closely correlated | -0.10% | ||
| MT - STLD | 55% Loosely correlated | +6.99% | ||
| IIIN - STLD | 51% Loosely correlated | -1.38% | ||
| GGB - STLD | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.24% | ||
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