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AU vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and KGC are senior gold producers that have ridden record bullion prices to outsized gains over the past year.
- AU has delivered stronger relative performance and faster production growth, while KGC has beaten earnings estimates and expanded shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
- AU carries a larger market capitalization and a higher dividend yield; KGC trades with a lower-cost production base across more diversified jurisdictions.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: AU is the ticker of choice based on trend consistency, relative momentum, and catalyst strength.
- For deeper coverage of each name, explore AU Major News and AU Today's Price Move, as well as KGC Major News and KGC Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Gold equities delivered one of the strongest runs in the broader market over the past year, powered by a sustained rally in bullion prices. That backdrop makes a side-by-side look at two leading producers, AU (AngloGold Ashanti) and KGC (Kinross Gold), especially relevant. Both companies mine gold across multiple continents, yet they differ meaningfully in scale, cost structure, and recent momentum. This stock comparison is useful for commodity-focused investors, momentum traders, and anyone weighing sector exposure against company-specific execution. By examining business model, performance, and risk factors, readers can better understand each name's market positioning without relying on a single metric in isolation.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AU, AngloGold Ashanti, is a global gold producer with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, and is headquartered in the United Kingdom. In recent quarters the company has stood out for sharp production growth, reporting a roughly 17% year-over-year increase in output during its latest period, supported by the recently acquired Sukari mine in Egypt and solid contributions from assets such as Obuasi, Kibali, Geita, and Cuiabá. Higher volumes combined with elevated gold prices drove a meaningful rise in revenue and earnings per share (EPS), while free cash flow reached a record level. The company has also generated stronger relative performance than much of its peer group over the past year, with a market capitalization exceeding $40 billion and a dividend yield that ranks among the higher in the sector. Rising operating and all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) remain a watch item, though higher prices and volumes have so far offset those pressures.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
KGC, Kinross Gold, is a Canadian-headquartered gold producer with mines in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Mauritania, and Canada. During recent quarters, Kinross has emphasized operational execution and capital returns, reporting earnings and revenue that exceeded consensus estimates. Revenue rose sharply year over year on higher realized gold prices, and the company generated record free cash flow while increasing its dividend and repurchasing shares. Kinross has also gained substantial ground over the past year, though its cumulative advance has been more moderate than AngloGold Ashanti's. Its portfolio spans several jurisdictions, which can help diversify operational risk, while a relatively lower dividend yield reflects its heavier focus on buybacks and reinvestment. Cost inflation in all-in-sustaining costs is a factor to monitor, but stable production and strong prices have supported profitability.
Trending AI Robots
For investors who prefer a systematic approach, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page curates a selection of automated trading strategies from a broader universe of hundreds of AI Trading Bots that collectively trade thousands of different tickers. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, performance record, and target universe, so only the most suitable for current market conditions earn a place in the curated section. The page is designed to surface strategies aligned with prevailing trends, helping traders monitor statistically driven approaches rather than relying on emotion. Those interested in combining data-driven signals with the gold-sector comparison above can explore the Trending AI Robots page to review available bots and their performance profiles.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Although AU and KGC operate in the same sector, their profiles diverge in important ways. AngloGold Ashanti is the larger company by market capitalization, with a growth narrative centered on integrating acquisitions such as Sukari and expanding output at key assets. Kinross, by contrast, has leaned on disciplined cost control and shareholder returns, funding buybacks and a rising dividend from record cash flow. On momentum, AU has generally outpaced KGC over the past year, reflecting both higher production growth and greater operating leverage to rising gold prices. Risk profiles also differ: AU's footprint includes higher-cost and sometimes higher-risk jurisdictions, whereas KGC's diversified but lower-yielding portfolio offers a more defensive income-and-buyback tilt. Sector exposure is similar, meaning both remain sensitive to the same underlying gold-price cycle and to cost inflation in labor, energy, and mining contractors.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, relative momentum, production growth, and the presence of identifiable catalysts, Tickeron's AI currently favors AU over KGC. The probabilistic tilt reflects AngloGold Ashanti's stronger year-over-year price trend, faster output expansion, and larger free-cash-flow generation, which together suggest more sustained positive momentum in the near term. Kinross remains a well-executing operator with bullish analyst positioning, but its more moderate relative advance and lower yield place it slightly behind on the factors the AI weighs most heavily. This is a data-driven, probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive forecast, and conditions in the gold market can shift quickly.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a Hold and KGC is a StrongBuy.
Momentum Indicator for AU turns positive, indicating new upward trend
AU saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 66 of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AU's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 18 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AU just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where AU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +12.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AU advanced for three days, in 253 of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
AU moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
AU broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AU entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AU’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 64 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.251) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (12.432) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.040) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.031) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.307) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
KGC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for KGC turned positive on November 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where KGC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 46 of 57 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where KGC's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 14 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +5.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where KGC advanced for three days, in 256 of 324 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
KGC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 67 cases where KGC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KGC as a result. In 41 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KGC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for KGC entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.733) is normal, around the industry mean (2.121). P/E Ratio (8.424) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.498). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.140) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.330) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.967) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. KGC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AU | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 64 Fair valued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 49 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 28 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (58) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (64). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (49). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (28). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (73). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (91). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 53% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 76% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while KGC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +4.65% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.23% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -0.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.42%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Feb 19, 2027.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Feb 17, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-0.06% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.
KGC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KGC has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KGC jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.