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AU vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Kinross Gold (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and KGC have delivered strong one-year returns exceeding 100%, driven by elevated gold prices, though recent weeks show pullbacks of around 9-10% amid sector rotation.
- AU boasts a larger market cap of approximately $46 billion and higher YTD gains around 8%, compared to KGC's $35 billion and 1% YTD.
- Kinross Gold (KGC) exhibits superior profit margins (36%) and lower debt-to-equity (8%), highlighting financial discipline, while AngloGold Ashanti (AU) offers a higher dividend yield of 4.6%.
- Recent catalysts include KGC's record Q1 2026 free cash flow of $838 million and AU's robust production from assets like Sukari mine.
- Gold price momentum remains a shared growth driver, but risks like geopolitical tensions in Africa for AU and cost inflation for KGC warrant attention in this volatile sector.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Kinross Gold (KGC) represent prominent players in the gold mining sector, both capitalizing on sustained high gold prices amid global economic uncertainties and safe-haven demand. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning, offering insights for traders seeking momentum plays and long-term investors focused on commodity exposure. With gold's rally supporting elevated revenues, these mid-to-large cap miners provide a lens into sector dynamics, including operational efficiencies and balance sheet strength, relevant for portfolios diversifying against inflation and currency risks.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold producer with operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, including key assets like Geita in Tanzania, Obuasi in Ghana, and the recently integrated Sukari mine in Egypt. The company focuses on high-quality, long-life mines, producing gold alongside by-products such as silver and sulphuric acid. In recent market activity, AU shares have traded around $91, within a 52-week range of $38.61 to $129.14, reflecting volatility tied to gold price swings. Year-to-date gains stand at about 8%, with one-year returns near 136%, outperforming broader indices. Sentiment has been influenced by strong 2025 results, including record free cash flow and EPS growth, bolstered by higher production and metal prices. However, recent weeks saw a roughly 9% pullback amid debt tender activities, insider sales, and discussions on Ghana localization policies, tempering short-term momentum despite positive analyst outlooks averaging $121 price targets.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) operates a diversified portfolio of mines in the Americas, West Africa, and Russia, with flagship operations at Tasiast in Mauritania, Paracatu in Brazil, and U.S. sites like Fort Knox. The company emphasizes low-cost, long-life assets, producing primarily gold with silver as a by-product. Recently, KGC shares have hovered near $29, in a 52-week range from $13.28 to $39.11, supported by gold's strength. YTD performance is around 1%, but one-year gains exceed 106%, driven by operational outperformance. Key developments in recent weeks include Q1 2026 results with record free cash flow of $838 million, net income of $843 million, and margins outpacing gold price rises at $3,476 per gold equivalent ounce sold. Shares dipped about 6% post-earnings on cost and permitting concerns, yet robust liquidity over $2 billion and shareholder returns near $350 million YTD sustain positive sentiment, with analyst targets averaging $41.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Kinross Gold (KGC) share gold-centric business models but differ in geographic footprints: AU's heavy Africa exposure (e.g., Ghana, Tanzania) contrasts KGC's balanced Americas and West Africa focus, affecting risk profiles with AU facing higher geopolitical volatility. Growth drivers include gold prices for both, but KGC benefits from development projects like Great Bear and Lobo-Marte, while AU leverages Sukari integration for production upside. Recent momentum favors AU on YTD basis, yet KGC shows superior free cash flow conversion. Risk factors encompass cost inflation and permitting delays for KGC, versus AU's higher debt (23% debt-to-equity). Sector exposure is pure-play gold, with market sentiment buoyed by central bank buying but pressured by dollar strength; KGC's lower P/E (12.3 vs. 17.5) suggests better value trade-off.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor Kinross Gold (KGC) over AngloGold Ashanti (AU), based on trend consistency in free cash flow generation, lower leverage, and margin expansion outpacing gold prices. With record Q1 results and a stronger balance sheet, KGC exhibits higher stability and probabilistic upside in a high-gold-price environment, though AU remains compelling for dividend seekers.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and KGC is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +2.59% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -2.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | KGC | AU / KGC | |
| Capitalization | 43.6B | 30.6B | 142% |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 5.15B | 112% |
| Gain YTD | 4.151 | -8.924 | -47% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.67 | 10.89 | 116% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 7.96B | 141% |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 2.19B | 144% |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 738M | 310% |
AU | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 83 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (28). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (40). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (27). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (61). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (72) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as KGC (83). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to KGC’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 61% |
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