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AU vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Newmont (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and NEM have benefited from elevated gold prices in recent market activity, with YTD gains around 8% for each, though AU shows stronger one-year performance at approximately 136% versus NEM's 113%.
- NEM, the world's largest gold producer, boasts a significantly larger market cap of about $116 billion compared to AU's $46 billion, offering greater scale and diversification across copper and other metals.
- Recent weeks have seen both stocks face pullbacks, with AU down around 10% over the past month amid debt tenders and regulatory shifts in Ghana, while NEM dipped 10% post a $6 billion buyback announcement despite record Q1 results.
- Valuation metrics indicate NEM trades at a lower trailing P/E (14.09) than AU (17.91), with both forward P/Es near 11x, suggesting comparable growth expectations.
- Lower beta values (AU: 0.62; NEM: 0.45) highlight defensive qualities for both in volatile gold markets.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Newmont (NEM) stand as leading gold producers amid a sector buoyed by safe-haven demand, geopolitical tensions, and elevated metal prices. This stock comparison evaluates their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to aid investors and traders assessing relative opportunities in precious metals exposure. Gold-focused portfolios, sector rotation strategies, or those hedging inflation may find value in understanding contrasts between AU's focused operations across Africa, Australia, and the Americas versus NEM's global scale including copper by-products. Key metrics reveal trade-offs in growth, stability, and valuation for informed decision-making in the current environment.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc (AU) is a global gold mining company with operations in Africa, Australia, and the Americas, producing gold alongside by-products like silver and sulphuric acid. Its flagship Geita mine in Tanzania anchors output. Shares trade around $91 with a market cap of approximately $46 billion. Recent market activity has pressured the stock, with a roughly 10% decline over the past month and 3-10% drops in recent weeks, despite YTD gains near 8% and a robust 136% one-year return. Sentiment reflects broader gold sector volatility, offset by positives like a 4.9 million ounce reserve declaration at the Arthur Gold project in Nevada and strong FY25 results with $9.89 billion revenue and $5.47 billion EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization). Challenges include insider sales and Ghana's directive for local contracting shifts by December 2026. Trailing EPS stands at $5.18, with forward P/E at 11.05x.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont Corporation (NEM) is the world's largest gold producer, with assets spanning North and South America, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea, also yielding copper, silver, zinc, and lead. Shares hover near $108, supported by a $116 billion market cap. In recent weeks, the stock has pulled back about 5-6% monthly and 1-2% over five days, following a 10% drop after authorizing a $6 billion share buyback despite record Q1 2026 results: $7.31 billion revenue and $3.16 billion earnings, beating estimates on higher gold prices. YTD performance approximates 8-9%, with 113% over one year. Key drivers include operational efficiencies and diversified metals, though elevated costs loom. Trailing EPS is $7.69 at a 14.09 trailing P/E, forward P/E near 11.15x, and $24.97 billion trailing revenue with $16.34 billion EBITDA.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AU and NEM operate in gold mining but differ in scale and diversification: NEM's vast portfolio spans more regions and metals like copper, reducing pure gold exposure risks compared to AU's concentrated assets. Growth drivers favor AU with a lower PEG ratio (0.78 vs. 2.78), signaling better value for expected earnings expansion, bolstered by Nevada reserves. Recent momentum tilts to NEM's steadier monthly decline versus AU's sharper pullback, aided by buybacks. Risk factors include geopolitical exposure in Africa for both, with AU facing Ghana mandates and NEM cost pressures. Sector ties are pure-play gold, but NEM benefits from broader commodities. Market sentiment leans positive for NEM via Strong Buy ratings and higher targets, while AU attracts value hunters at a valuation premium.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors NEM over AU, driven by superior scale, lower beta for stability, recent record earnings despite the buyback dip, and stronger analyst consensus. While AU offers momentum from project catalysts and better PEG, NEM's relative positioning and diversification provide a probabilistic edge in sustaining trends amid gold's volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and NEM is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -9.75% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was -9.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -10.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -21.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.11%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-10.47% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | NEM | AU / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 42.1B | 104B | 40% |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 16.2B | 36% |
| Gain YTD | 0.385 | -1.837 | -21% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.21 | 12.66 | 96% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 25B | 45% |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 8.78B | 36% |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 5.53B | 41% |
AU | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 68 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 71 | 48 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (60). This means that AU’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (56). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (37). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (61). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (71). This means that NEM’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 57% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 83% | 14 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 61% |
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NEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.