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AU vs NEM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Newmont (NEM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Newmont (NEM) are both major gold producers, with AU positioned as a mid-tier operator emphasizing geographic diversification and NEM as the world’s largest gold miner by scale and output.
- In recent market activity, AU has demonstrated stronger revenue expansion tied to operational efficiencies, while NEM maintains leadership through higher free cash flow and net margins.
- Both stocks are influenced by gold price movements, with AU showing relatively higher sensitivity due to its growth-oriented profile and NEM offering greater stability from its diversified asset base.
- Sector exposure for both centers on precious metals mining, though AU operates across four continents with a focus on emerging regions and NEM benefits from established North American and Australian production.
- Market sentiment reflects a trade-off between AU’s momentum in revenue growth and NEM’s defensive characteristics amid fluctuating commodity prices.
- Relative performance in recent weeks highlights AU’s potential for outperformance in rising gold environments versus NEM’s resilience in volatile conditions.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Newmont (NEM) represent two prominent players in the gold mining sector, making them natural subjects for comparison among investors seeking exposure to precious metals. Both companies operate large-scale mining assets and are directly affected by gold prices, production costs, and macroeconomic factors such as inflation and interest rates. This analysis is particularly relevant for traders and investors focused on commodity-linked equities, portfolio diversification into hard assets, or those evaluating relative value within the mining industry. The comparison examines business models, recent performance trends, and market positioning to provide a balanced view of their characteristics in the current environment.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is a mid-tier gold producer with operations spanning Africa, the Americas, and Australia, emphasizing geographic diversification to mitigate regional risks. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected positive sentiment driven by reported revenue growth from operational improvements and higher gold output in key jurisdictions. Market activity has highlighted the company’s expansion efforts and cost management, contributing to upward price momentum amid broader strength in the gold sector. Factors influencing performance include fluctuating gold prices and investor interest in growth-oriented miners with exposure to higher-margin assets. Overall, recent performance shows resilience tied to production efficiencies rather than single events.
NEM Overview and Recent Performance
Newmont (NEM) is the world’s largest gold producer, with a substantial portfolio of mines primarily in North America, South America, and Australia, supported by significant scale and integrated operations. In recent market activity, the stock has demonstrated stability, underpinned by consistent free cash flow generation and solid net margins. Performance has been shaped by the company’s leadership position and ability to navigate commodity price volatility through its diversified asset base. Sentiment remains supported by its established production profile and financial strength, with movements reflecting broader sector trends rather than company-specific catalysts in the near term.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Newmont (NEM) share core exposure to gold mining but differ markedly in scale and strategy. AU operates as a growth-focused mid-tier producer with emphasis on geographic spread across emerging markets, which can enhance upside during favorable gold price cycles but introduces higher operational variability. In contrast, NEM leverages its position as the largest producer for greater stability, supported by extensive reserves, higher free cash flow, and established infrastructure that supports resilience in downturns. Recent momentum favors AU on revenue expansion metrics, while NEM excels in margin consistency and risk mitigation through diversification. Sector sentiment treats both as proxies for gold prices, yet AU appeals more to those seeking accelerated growth and NEM to investors prioritizing defensive positioning and liquidity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency in revenue metrics, relative stability of cash flows, and positioning within the gold sector, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term characteristics to Newmont (NEM). This assessment reflects NEM’s scale advantages and margin profile, which may support steadier performance amid ongoing market volatility, though AU retains competitive appeal through its growth trajectory. Any preference remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in gold prices or operational developments.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a Buy and NEM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNEM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NEM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- NEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.44% price change this week, while NEM (@Precious Metals) price change was +0.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.69%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.57%, and the average quarterly price growth was -26.90%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
NEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.69% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | NEM | AU / NEM | |
| Capitalization | 40.1B | 98.7B | 41% |
| EBITDA | 6.37B | 16B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | -4.273 | -5.740 | 74% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.63 | 11.82 | 90% |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 25.8B | 46% |
| Total Cash | 2.78B | 9.01B | 31% |
| Total Debt | 1.79B | 5.6B | 32% |
AU | NEM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 62 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 40 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 38 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 82 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NEM (62). This means that AU’s stock grew somewhat faster than NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (55). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (38). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as NEM (53). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to NEM’s over the last 12 months.
NEM's P/E Growth Rating (45) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AU (82). This means that NEM’s stock grew somewhat faster than AU’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | NEM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 3 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 82% | 12 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 64% |
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AU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AU has been closely correlated with GFI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AU jumps, then GFI could also see price increases.