Advertisement
AXTA vs SHW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) vs. The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) and The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) operate in the global paints and coatings sector, with overlapping exposure to industrial, automotive, and construction end markets.
- Both companies are scheduled to report second-quarter 2026 results on July 28, 2026, providing a near-term catalyst for price discovery and sentiment updates.
- Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) has highlighted progress on a proposed merger of equals with AkzoNobel, which has influenced recent governance discussions and investor focus.
- The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) reported solid first-quarter 2026 sales growth of 6.8% and reaffirmed full-year guidance, demonstrating operational resilience amid softer demand in certain segments.
- Relative performance in recent weeks has been shaped by broader market conditions, sector rotation, and company-specific catalysts such as M&A activity for Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) and dividend policy for The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW).
- Key contrasts include scale (The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is significantly larger), growth drivers (merger potential versus organic execution), and risk profiles tied to integration versus cyclical exposure.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare stocks within the same industry to assess relative value, momentum, and risk-adjusted opportunities. Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) and The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) both participate in the paints and coatings industry, making them relevant benchmarks for sector-specific analysis. This comparison appeals to institutional investors evaluating portfolio allocations, active traders monitoring earnings season catalysts, and those seeking to understand how company size, end-market exposure, and strategic initiatives influence performance in the current market environment.
Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) Overview and Recent Performance
Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) is a global provider of coatings for the mobility and performance segments, serving automotive, commercial vehicle, and industrial applications. In recent market activity, the stock has traded in a range influenced by upcoming second-quarter earnings and developments around a proposed merger with AkzoNobel. First-quarter 2026 results showed net sales of $1.25 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $259 million, exceeding internal guidance despite modest year-over-year sales pressure. Recent governance enhancements tied to the AkzoNobel dialogue have added a layer of strategic visibility. Sentiment in recent weeks has reflected cautious optimism around potential combination benefits alongside typical sector cyclicality.
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Overview and Recent Performance
The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) is a leading global paints and coatings manufacturer with a broad portfolio spanning architectural, industrial, and performance coatings, supported by an extensive retail network. Recent market activity has centered on operational execution and the upcoming second-quarter earnings release. First-quarter 2026 consolidated net sales rose 6.8% to $5.67 billion, with diluted EPS increasing 7.5% to $2.15. The company declared a quarterly dividend of $0.80 per share and reaffirmed 2026 guidance, underscoring resilience in a mixed demand environment. In recent weeks, performance has been shaped by steady dividend support and expectations for continued low- to mid-single-digit sales growth through pricing and productivity initiatives.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases a curated selection of AI-powered trading bots designed to navigate evolving market conditions. Tickeron offers hundreds of AI Trading Bots that trade thousands of different tickers across various strategies, timeframes, and performance profiles. Only those demonstrating strong suitability for prevailing market dynamics—such as consistent trend capture, risk-adjusted returns, or sector-specific signals—earn placement in the Trending section. Available bots span diverse styles including momentum, mean-reversion, and multi-factor approaches, with statistics covering win rates, drawdowns, and trade frequency that typically range across wide intervals depending on the strategy. All the AI trading bots have different trading styles, strategies, timeframes, performances, statistics, and sets of tickers they trade. Review the platform for the latest configurations and performance data.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) focuses on specialized mobility and performance coatings with greater international exposure, while The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) maintains a larger domestic retail footprint and broader architectural coatings presence. Growth drivers differ: Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) emphasizes potential merger synergies and mobility segment recovery, whereas The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) relies on pricing power, store expansion, and operational efficiency. Recent momentum has favored The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) through consistent dividend increases and reaffirmed guidance, contrasted with Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA)’s M&A-related volatility. Risk factors include integration uncertainty for Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) versus housing and raw-material cost sensitivity for The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW). Sector exposure is broadly similar, yet market sentiment currently tilts toward stability at The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) and event-driven upside at Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings visibility, and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW). Its larger scale, reaffirmed guidance, and dividend stability provide a more predictable profile amid earnings season, while Axalta Coating Systems (AXTA) carries additional uncertainty tied to merger execution. This assessment reflects current data patterns rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AXTA is a StrongBuy and SHW is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AXTA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileSHW’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AXTA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SHW’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AXTA’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SHW’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AXTA’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SHW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AXTA (@Chemicals: Specialty) experienced а +9.31% price change this week, while SHW (@Chemicals: Specialty) price change was +7.35% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Chemicals: Specialty industry was -0.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +7.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
AXTA is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
SHW is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Chemicals: Specialty (-0.32% weekly)The specialty chemicals sector includes companies that produce chemicals and industrial gases, which are of relatively high-value, often made to customer specifications. Examples of specialty chemicals are electronic chemicals, industrial gases, coatings, adhesives and sealants, industrial and institutional cleaning chemicals. The products are often valued on the basis of their purposes/performances rather than for their composition. Linde Plc, Ecolab Inc., Air Products and Chemicals, Inc., and Dow, Inc. are some of the largest companies making specialty chemicals.
| AXTA | SHW | AXTA / SHW | |
| Capitalization | 7.66B | 82.7B | 9% |
| EBITDA | 978M | 4.74B | 21% |
| Gain YTD | 10.833 | 5.697 | 190% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.97 | 31.44 | 70% |
| Revenue | 5.15B | 24.4B | 21% |
| Total Cash | 633M | 294M | 215% |
| Total Debt | 3.07B | 14.2B | 22% |
AXTA | SHW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 68 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 18 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 55 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AXTA's Valuation (80) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SHW (89). This means that AXTA’s stock grew similarly to SHW’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's Profit vs Risk Rating (68) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as AXTA (80). This means that SHW’s stock grew similarly to AXTA’s over the last 12 months.
SHW's SMR Rating (18) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AXTA (59). This means that SHW’s stock grew somewhat faster than AXTA’s over the last 12 months.
AXTA's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Industrial Specialties industry is in the same range as SHW (52). This means that AXTA’s stock grew similarly to SHW’s over the last 12 months.
AXTA's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Industrial Specialties industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SHW (55). This means that AXTA’s stock grew somewhat faster than SHW’s over the last 12 months.
| AXTA | SHW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 48% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 57% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 65% | 7 days ago 58% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 59% | 14 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 49% | 4 days ago 48% |
Advertisement
AXTA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AXTA has been closely correlated with PPG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 73% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AXTA jumps, then PPG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AXTA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AXTA | 100% | -0.61% | ||
| PPG - AXTA | 73% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| RPM - AXTA | 70% Closely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| SHW - AXTA | 66% Closely correlated | -1.16% | ||
| DD - AXTA | 66% Closely correlated | -1.33% | ||
| FUL - AXTA | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
More | ||||
SHW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SHW has been closely correlated with RPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SHW jumps, then RPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SHW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHW | 100% | -1.16% | ||
| RPM - SHW | 79% Closely correlated | -0.70% | ||
| PPG - SHW | 72% Closely correlated | -1.35% | ||
| AXTA - SHW | 66% Closely correlated | -0.61% | ||
| AVNT - SHW | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.98% | ||
| ECL - SHW | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.61% | ||
More | ||||