Regional banks occupy a distinctive space in the financial sector, combining community-level customer relationships with the operational discipline of publicly traded institutions. Bank First Corporation (BFC), headquartered in Manitowoc, Wisconsin, and Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY), based in Chicago, Illinois, represent two different approaches to regional banking in the Upper Midwest. Both have used acquisitions to expand their footprints and both have posted robust earnings growth over the past year. Yet their recent market performance, valuation profiles, and strategic positioning diverge in ways that matter for portfolio construction. This comparison examines how these two banks stack up across key metrics that active traders and long-term investors alike may find relevant.
Bank First Corporation (BFC) is the holding company for Bank First, N.A., a community-focused institution founded in 1894. The bank provides loan, deposit, treasury management, trust, and wealth management services across 38 locations in Wisconsin and Illinois. Its most transformational event in recent memory was the acquisition of Centre 1 Bancorp, Inc., the parent of First National Bank and Trust Company, which closed on January 1, 2026. This deal — more than twice the size of any previous merger — expanded Bank First into new Wisconsin and Illinois counties and added trust and wealth management capabilities.
In recent weeks, BFC shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range, supported by solid earnings performance. For the full year 2025, the company reported net income of $71.5 million, or $7.23 per diluted share, representing an increase of more than 15% year over year on an adjusted basis. Revenue in the first quarter of 2026 surged approximately 39% year over year, driven largely by the newly integrated acquisition. The stock's beta of 0.41 indicates significantly lower volatility than the broader market, and the bank's nonperforming assets remain negligible at just 0.31% of total assets. A recently increased quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share — an 11.1% increase — reinforced the company's shareholder-return focus. Analysts currently maintain a consensus "Buy" rating with a price target of $163.
Byline Bancorp, Inc. (BY) operates as the holding company for Byline Bank, a full-service commercial bank serving small and medium-sized businesses, commercial real estate clients, financial sponsors, and consumers primarily in the Chicago and Milwaukee metropolitan areas. The company also provides small-ticket equipment leasing through a wholly owned subsidiary and is one of the most active Small Business Administration (SBA) lenders in Illinois. With approximately 45 branches and total assets substantially above those of BFC, Byline operates at a meaningfully larger scale.
Recent market activity has placed BY shares firmly in an uptrend, with the stock trading near all-time highs and posting a year-to-date return of roughly 35% — outpacing many regional-bank peers. Full-year 2025 results underscored the momentum: record revenues of $446.3 million, net income of $130.1 million ($2.89 per diluted share), and a net interest margin of 4.22%, which expanded further to 4.35% in the fourth quarter. The acquisition and integration of First Security Bancorp, completed in the second quarter of 2025, contributed meaningfully to loan and deposit growth. Tangible book value per common share climbed 16.7% year over year to $23.44, while the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio — a key measure of a bank's core capital strength — stood at a healthy 12.33%. The stock carries a consensus "Buy" rating from analysts, with an average price target of approximately $42.20.
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Although both BFC and BY are Midwestern regional banks that recently completed acquisitions, their profiles diverge on several important dimensions. BY is the larger entity by total assets and revenue, operates with a notably wider net interest margin (4.35% versus approximately 3.72% for BFC), and trades at a considerably lower P/E ratio — roughly 12x versus roughly 20x. Its business model is more commercially oriented, with diversified revenue streams from SBA loan sales and equipment leasing that supplement traditional net interest income.
BFC, by contrast, is a more traditional community bank with a conservative risk profile reflected in its exceptionally low beta of 0.41 and minimal nonperforming assets. The bank has a strong track record of returning capital to shareholders, including special dividends and regular buybacks, and its recent dividend increase signals management confidence. On valuation, however, BFC commands a premium multiple that may give value-oriented investors pause. Risk factors for both banks include exposure to commercial real estate lending, interest-rate sensitivity, and integration risk associated with their respective acquisitions. BY's higher credit-loss provisions in recent quarters and elevated nonperforming assets relative to BFC warrant attention, though management has characterized these as isolated rather than systemic issues.
Based on observable technical and fundamental factors, Tickeron's AI-driven analytical framework would likely tilt in favor of Byline Bancorp (BY) under current market conditions. The stock's stronger relative momentum, superior net interest margin, lower valuation multiple, and higher year-to-date and one-year returns create a favorable convergence of trend and value signals. The combination of expanding profitability metrics and a still-modest P/E ratio suggests the stock may continue to attract both momentum-oriented and value-seeking algorithms. That said, BFC's lower volatility and disciplined capital management make it a potentially steadier holding for AI models optimized for risk-adjusted returns rather than absolute momentum. Neither stock presents as categorically weak; the preference hinges on whether an algorithm prioritizes growth trajectory and valuation (favoring BY) or stability and capital preservation (favoring BFC). In probabilistic terms, BY currently exhibits the more compelling combination of trend consistency, fundamental improvement, and relative value.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BFC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileBY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BFC’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BY’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
BFC (@Regional Banks) experienced а +2.99% price change this week, while BY (@Regional Banks) price change was +1.82% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.26%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.79%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.87%.
BFC is expected to report earnings on Oct 20, 2026.
BY is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BFC | BY | BFC / BY | |
| Capitalization | 1.74B | 1.78B | 98% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 30.683 | 35.784 | 86% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.40 | 12.71 | 160% |
| Revenue | 191M | 450M | 42% |
| Total Cash | 64.4M | 62.3M | 103% |
| Total Debt | 125M | 580M | 22% |
BFC | BY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 91 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BY's Valuation (68) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BFC (92). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to BFC’s over the last 12 months.
BFC's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BY (30). This means that BFC’s stock grew similarly to BY’s over the last 12 months.
BY's SMR Rating (43) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BFC (59). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to BFC’s over the last 12 months.
BY's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BFC (46). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to BFC’s over the last 12 months.
BY's P/E Growth Rating (27) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BFC (34). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to BFC’s over the last 12 months.
| BFC | BY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 56% | 4 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 44% | 11 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 45% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ASMG | 52.33 | N/A | N/A |
| Leverage Shares 2X Long Asml Daily ETF | |||
| SCLZ | 57.10 | -0.05 | -0.09% |
| Swan Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | |||
| SMB | 17.24 | -0.02 | -0.12% |
| VanEck Short Muni ETF | |||
| FNX | 147.57 | -0.38 | -0.26% |
| First Trust Mid Cap Core AlphaDEX® ETF | |||
| FTCE | 27.89 | -0.23 | -0.83% |
| First Trust New Cstrcts Cr Erns Ldrs ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BFC has been closely correlated with PEBO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BFC jumps, then PEBO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BFC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFC | 100% | -0.27% | ||
| PEBO - BFC | 77% Closely correlated | +0.15% | ||
| IBCP - BFC | 77% Closely correlated | -0.39% | ||
| CTBI - BFC | 76% Closely correlated | -0.30% | ||
| BY - BFC | 76% Closely correlated | +0.03% | ||
| UVSP - BFC | 75% Closely correlated | +0.44% | ||
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