Investors evaluating regional banks often face a nuanced choice between growth-oriented institutions expanding through acquisitions and conservative operators with multi-decade track records of steady returns. BY (Byline Bancorp, Inc.) and SRCE (1st Source Corporation) represent two distinct approaches within the U.S. regional banking landscape. Byline Bancorp, headquartered in Chicago, has pursued an aggressive commercial banking expansion strategy, while South Bend-based 1st Source has built its reputation on specialty finance niches and an unbroken 38-year dividend growth record. This head-to-head comparison examines their recent performance, risk profiles, and strategic positioning to help market participants assess which institution may be better suited to current conditions.
BY, the holding company for Byline Bank, is a full-service commercial bank primarily serving small and medium-sized businesses, commercial real estate clients, and financial sponsors across the Chicago and Milwaukee metropolitan areas. With total assets approaching $10 billion as of early 2026, the bank has expanded meaningfully through both organic growth and acquisitions — most notably the integration of First Security Bancorp, completed in the first half of 2025.
In recent months, Byline has sustained strong financial momentum. Full-year 2025 results showed record revenues of $446.3 million and net income of $130.1 million, translating to diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.89. The fourth quarter alone posted a NIM of 4.35%, up 8 basis points (bps) from the prior quarter and well above the 4.01% recorded a year earlier. The efficiency ratio improved to 50.32%, while the CET1 ratio — a key measure of a bank's core capital strength — stood at 12.33%. The Board raised the dividend 20% to $0.12 per share, and the company repurchased roughly 346,000 shares in the fourth quarter. Stock price appreciation has been notable: BY shares roughly 35% higher year-to-date through late July 2026, with the stock trading near its 52-week high. That said, non-performing loans ticked up to 95 basis points of total loans, a metric that warrants monitoring as the bank crosses the $10 billion asset threshold.
SRCE, the parent company of 1st Source Bank, traces its origins to 1863 and operates across Indiana, Michigan, and Florida. The bank differentiates itself through a Specialty Finance Group that provides equipment, aircraft, and vehicle financing nationwide — with construction equipment loans of $1.21 billion, aircraft loans of $1.13 billion, and a growing renewable energy portfolio of $573 million as of year-end 2025.
Recent financial performance has been among the strongest in the bank's history. 1st Source reported record net income of $158.28 million for 2025, an increase of 19.34% year-over-year, with diluted EPS reaching $6.41. The fourth-quarter NIM expanded to 4.29%, up 51 bps from the same period in 2024. Return on average assets (ROAA) climbed to 1.76%, and return on average common equity reached 13.16%. Credit quality remains a relative strength: net charge-offs were just 0.06% of average loans in 2025, down from 0.09% in 2024. The CET1 ratio of 15.52% far exceeds regulatory requirements and reflects a historically conservative capital structure. The quarterly dividend was raised 11.11% to $0.40 per share, extending the bank's remarkable 38-year streak of consecutive annual increases. The stock has climbed approximately 45% over the trailing twelve months and recently traded near all-time highs around $90 per share.
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Both BY and SRCE are well-managed regional banks, but their differences are instructive. Byline Bancorp operates with a smaller market capitalization of roughly $1.78 billion versus 1st Source's approximately $2.17 billion, and its P/E ratio of about 11.8 sits modestly below SRCE's 13.0. This discount may partially reflect BY's higher credit risk profile — non-performing assets have risen in recent quarters — compared to SRCE's more benign credit trends and net charge-off rate that is among the lowest in the regional banking peer group.
Geographic concentration is another differentiator. BY is heavily weighted toward the Chicago commercial market, where competition is intense but deal flow remains robust. SRCE, by contrast, combines a stable Midwest community banking franchise with a nationwide specialty finance operation that diversifies revenue streams beyond traditional spread-based lending. SRCE's specialty segments — particularly construction equipment and aircraft financing — add cyclical exposure but also provide higher yields than conventional commercial loans.
On the capital return front, SRCE's 38-year dividend growth streak and higher dividend yield (roughly 1.91% versus BY's 1.43%) appeal to income-oriented investors, while BY's active share repurchase program and acquisition-driven expansion strategy may attract those seeking capital appreciation. Both banks have benefited from the elevated interest rate environment, with NIMs well above the regional bank average, though margin sustainability will depend on future Federal Reserve policy moves.
Based on observable trend consistency, capital strength, credit quality metrics, and dividend reliability, Tickeron's AI-driven analysis would likely lean in favor of SRCE for risk-conscious investors in the current environment. The bank's five-year streak of record earnings, exceptionally low net charge-offs, CET1 ratio exceeding 15%, and 38-year dividend growth record collectively signal a rare combination of profitability and stability. That said, BY presents a compelling case for growth-oriented investors, given its strong operating leverage, successful acquisition integration, aggressive buyback activity, and improving efficiency ratios. In probabilistic terms, SRCE appears better positioned for steady, lower-volatility compounding, while BY offers higher potential upside tied to continued execution of its Chicago market consolidation strategy — each appealing to different investor profiles.
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Disclaimers and LimitationsIt is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSRCE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BY’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SRCE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
BY (@Regional Banks) experienced а +1.74% price change this week, while SRCE (@Regional Banks) price change was +4.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was +1.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.65%.
BY is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
SRCE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| BY | SRCE | BY / SRCE | |
| Capitalization | 1.78B | 2.16B | 83% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 35.721 | 45.306 | 79% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.75 | 12.87 | 99% |
| Revenue | 450M | 443M | 102% |
| Total Cash | 60.2M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 580M | 230M | 252% |
BY | SRCE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 79 | 84 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | 10 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 42 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 25 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BY's Valuation (68) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SRCE (70). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to SRCE’s over the last 12 months.
SRCE's Profit vs Risk Rating (10) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BY (30). This means that SRCE’s stock grew similarly to BY’s over the last 12 months.
SRCE's SMR Rating (42) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BY (42). This means that SRCE’s stock grew similarly to BY’s over the last 12 months.
SRCE's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as BY (40). This means that SRCE’s stock grew similarly to BY’s over the last 12 months.
BY's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as SRCE (29). This means that BY’s stock grew similarly to SRCE’s over the last 12 months.
| BY | SRCE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 5 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 56% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 45% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| GIAX | 15.02 | 0.06 | +0.39% |
| Nicholas Global Equity and Income ETF | |||
| GAPR | 41.89 | 0.15 | +0.36% |
| FT Vest U.S. Eq Mod Buf ETF - Apr | |||
| QQEW | 153.90 | N/A | N/A |
| First Trust Nasdaq-100 Sel Eql Wght ETF | |||
| PSCJ | 31.61 | N/A | N/A |
| Pacer Swan SOS Conservative (July) ETF | |||
| NHYM | 24.66 | -0.05 | -0.18% |
| Nuveen High Yield Municipal Income ETF | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BY has been closely correlated with FMBH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BY jumps, then FMBH could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SRCE has been closely correlated with PEBO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SRCE jumps, then PEBO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SRCE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SRCE | 100% | N/A | ||
| PEBO - SRCE | 89% Closely correlated | +0.24% | ||
| MBWM - SRCE | 87% Closely correlated | +0.59% | ||
| THFF - SRCE | 87% Closely correlated | N/A | ||
| BY - SRCE | 86% Closely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| PRK - SRCE | 85% Closely correlated | +0.48% | ||
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