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BN vs TPG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Brookfield Corporation (BN) vs. TPG Inc. (TPG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Brookfield Corporation (BN) is a diversified, global alternative asset and wealth manager with roughly $614 billion in fee-bearing capital; TPG Inc. (TPG) is a leading private markets firm with about $306 billion in assets under management (AUM).
- Both companies delivered strong fee-related earnings growth in their most recent quarters, but TPG has posted sharper revenue and fundraising momentum while BN offers broader diversification.
- Relative performance has diverged: BN has traded near flat year-to-date, while TPG shares have declined more than 30% in 2026, reflecting a higher-beta (more volatile) profile.
- Analysts rate both stocks as consensus "Buy," with meaningful upside to average price targets.
- BN skews toward infrastructure, real estate, insurance, and renewable power; TPG leans into private equity, credit, and growth/impact strategies.
Introduction
Investors evaluating alternative asset managers often face a choice between diversified, asset-heavy franchises and more focused, fee-driven private markets platforms. This stock comparison between BN (Brookfield Corporation) and TPG (TPG Inc.) illustrates that distinction. Both names are leaders in alternative investing and have reported robust fee-related earnings growth in recent quarters, yet their business models, sector exposure, and market positioning differ meaningfully. Traders seeking relative performance signals and long-term investors weighing diversification against growth momentum may find this comparison useful for understanding how each company is positioned in the current market environment.
BN Overview and Recent Performance
BN is a Canada-based global investment firm operating across asset management, wealth solutions (insurance), and operating businesses spanning infrastructure, energy, real estate, and private equity. In recent weeks, the company reported strong first-quarter results, with total distributable earnings of $1.6 billion, or $0.66 per share, and year-to-date fundraising of $67 billion. Fee-bearing capital rose 12% to $614 billion, driving an 11% increase in fee-related earnings. The firm also completed its acquisition of U.K.-based Just Group, lifting insurance assets by $40 billion to $180 billion. Sentiment has been supported by a renewed share-buyback program covering up to 10% of its Class A float and consistent analyst backing, though the stock has remained relatively range-bound, trading near flat for the year with a consensus "Buy" rating and an average price target well above current levels.
TPG Overview and Recent Performance
TPG is a leading global alternative asset manager founded in 1992, with roughly $306 billion in AUM (assets under management), up 22% year over year. Its most recent quarter showed notable momentum: fee-related earnings grew 36% year over year, surpassing $1 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis for the first time, while capital formation rose 75% and deployment nearly doubled. The company also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.59 per share. Despite this operational strength, TPG shares have fallen more than 30% year-to-date, underperforming the broader market, as the firm navigated a complex macro backdrop of AI disruption, private credit stress, and valuation multiple compression across its private equity portfolio. Analysts maintain a consensus "Buy" rating, with price targets implying substantial upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
While both companies operate in alternative asset management, their profiles differ sharply. BN functions as a diversified conglomerate with direct ownership of real assets and a fast-growing insurance arm, generating roughly $6 billion in distributable earnings over the last twelve months. Its model emphasizes stable, cash-generating hard assets such as infrastructure, renewable power, and real estate. In contrast, TPG is a pure-play private markets manager whose revenue is more directly tied to management and performance fees across private equity, credit, growth, and impact platforms.
On growth, TPG has shown faster recent momentum in fundraising, deployment, and realizations, but its earnings carry greater variability and its stock has exhibited higher volatility (a higher beta), contributing to its sharper 2026 decline. BN offers broader diversification and more defensive cash flows, yet its shares have lagged earnings growth in recent periods. Risk factors also differ: TPG faces sensitivity to private equity valuations and credit-market scrutiny, while BN is exposed to real estate and interest-rate-sensitive financing conditions. From a market positioning standpoint, BN's stability contrasts with TPG's higher-growth, higher-volatility profile.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, stability, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor BN in the current environment. Brookfield's steadier price action, diversified cash flows, and defensive real-asset and insurance exposure suggest more consistent trend characteristics than TPG's higher-volatility, momentum-driven profile. While TPG's stronger near-term growth metrics and valuation upside could make it attractive to momentum-oriented strategies, its sharper year-to-date drawdown reflects greater sensitivity to macro and valuation headwinds. The AI's preference is probabilistic rather than definitive: BN appears better positioned on stability and trend consistency, while TPG presents a higher-reward, higher-risk trade-off that may suit more aggressive, catalyst-driven approaches.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BN is a StrongBuy and TPG is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for BN turns positive, indicating new upward trend
BN saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 60 of the 80 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where BN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 26 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BN just turned positive on September 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where BN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 29 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
Following a +2.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BN advanced for three days, in 225 of 340 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
BN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BN entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. BN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.995) is normal, around the industry mean (2.393). P/E Ratio (67.804) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.286). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.110) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.007) settles around the average of (0.272) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.135) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
Momentum Indicator for TPG turns negative, indicating new downward trend
TPG saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 63 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for TPG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TPG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Aroon Indicator for TPG entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where TPG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TPG just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where TPG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The 50-day moving average for TPG moved above the 200-day moving average on September 17, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Following a +4.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TPG advanced for three days, in 232 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
TPG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TPG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.021) is normal, around the industry mean (2.409). P/E Ratio (38.154) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-3.173). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.319). Dividend Yield (0.053) settles around the average of (0.271) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.203) is also within normal values, averaging (15.798).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TPG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
BN | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 87 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| BN | TPG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 5 days ago 73% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 11 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BN’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TPG’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- BN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TPG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TPG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TPG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
BN (@Investment Managers) experienced а +3.69% price change this week, while TPG (@Investment Managers) price change was +4.99% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Investment Managers industry was -0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.44%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.12%.
Reported Earning Dates
BN is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
TPG is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Investment Managers (-0.72% weekly)Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.
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TPG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TPG has been closely correlated with CG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TPG jumps, then CG could also see price increases.