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BNS vs TD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BNS and TD are two of Canada’s largest banks, with TD demonstrating stronger year-to-date and one-year total returns in recent market activity.
- BNS maintains broader international exposure, particularly in Latin America and the Caribbean, while TD focuses more heavily on Canadian retail banking and U.S. operations.
- Both stocks have delivered robust performance over the past year amid favorable interest-rate environments and economic resilience in core markets.
- Analyst sentiment has turned more constructive on BNS ahead of its third-quarter 2026 earnings release, with several price-target increases noted in recent weeks.
- TD has exhibited greater price momentum and outperformance relative to broader Canadian bank peers in recent market activity.
- Risk factors for both include potential shifts in interest rates, regulatory changes, and credit-quality trends in their respective loan portfolios.
Introduction
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) represent two prominent Canadian financial institutions frequently evaluated by investors seeking exposure to the banking sector. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent stock behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. The analysis is relevant for traders monitoring sector rotation, income-focused investors evaluating dividend stability, and portfolio managers assessing geographic and business-model diversification within North American financials.
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) Overview and Recent Performance
Bank of Nova Scotia operates as a diversified financial services provider with significant operations across Canada, the United States, Latin America, and the Caribbean. In recent weeks, the stock has benefited from generally positive analyst commentary and multiple upward revisions to price targets. Performance has remained solid, supported by steady loan growth and resilient net interest income amid stable interest-rate conditions. Market participants have focused on upcoming third-quarter 2026 results as a potential catalyst, with sentiment reflecting expectations for continued profitability in core segments.
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Overview and Recent Performance
Toronto-Dominion Bank provides retail, commercial, and wealth-management services primarily in Canada and the United States. The stock has posted stronger relative gains in recent market activity compared with several domestic peers, driven by consistent earnings delivery and favorable positioning in U.S. consumer banking. Broader market activity has highlighted steady deposit growth and controlled credit costs. Investor attention has centered on the bank’s ability to sustain momentum in a competitive North American landscape.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
BNS and TD share similar core exposures to Canadian banking yet diverge in geographic emphasis and growth drivers. BNS carries greater emerging-market sensitivity through its international operations, introducing additional volatility but also diversification benefits. TD maintains a heavier concentration in stable North American retail and wealth segments, contributing to comparatively steadier recent momentum. Valuation metrics and return profiles reflect these differences, with TD showing stronger recent price appreciation while BNS offers potentially higher upside from analyst revisions. Sector-wide risks such as interest-rate movements and regulatory developments affect both, though their impact varies by loan-book composition and funding profiles.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including recent price momentum, analyst sentiment trends, and relative stability of earnings delivery, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term positioning to TD. The bank’s stronger year-to-date and one-year returns, combined with consistent outperformance versus peers, support this probabilistic assessment in the prevailing market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BNS is a StrongBuy and TD is a StrongBuy.
| BNS | TD | BNS / TD | |
| Capitalization | 114B | 197B | 58% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 26.815 | 28.418 | 94% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.86 | 17.88 | 94% |
| Revenue | 39.4B | 65.1B | 61% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 349B | 454B | 77% |
BNS | TD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | 76 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 3 | 3 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BNS's Valuation (52) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as TD (75). This means that BNS’s stock grew similarly to TD’s over the last 12 months.
TD's Profit vs Risk Rating (30) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BNS (54). This means that TD’s stock grew similarly to BNS’s over the last 12 months.
TD's SMR Rating (3) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BNS (3). This means that TD’s stock grew similarly to BNS’s over the last 12 months.
BNS's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as TD (42). This means that BNS’s stock grew similarly to TD’s over the last 12 months.
TD's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BNS (40). This means that TD’s stock grew somewhat faster than BNS’s over the last 12 months.
| BNS | TD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 48% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 49% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 42% | N/A |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BNS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TD’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- BNS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BNS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BNS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
BNS (@Major Banks) experienced а -0.39% price change this week, while TD (@Major Banks) price change was -0.54% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was -0.86%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.40%, and the average quarterly price growth was +35.41%.
Reported Earning Dates
BNS is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
TD is expected to report earnings on Dec 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (-0.86% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
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BNS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BNS has been closely correlated with RY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BNS jumps, then RY could also see price increases.
TD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TD has been closely correlated with RY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TD jumps, then RY could also see price increases.