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BNS vs TD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) vs. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) are two leading Canadian banks with substantial international operations, offering investors exposure to North American banking trends and dividend income.
- Over recent weeks, TD has demonstrated stronger year-to-date total returns compared to BNS, supported by multiple analyst price target increases and operational momentum in its U.S. segment.
- BNS has benefited from share buyback authorizations and targeted analyst upgrades, reflecting confidence in its international banking and wealth management segments.
- Both stocks trade near 52-week highs with solid long-term performance, though TD shows larger scale in revenue and net income alongside a more pronounced U.S. presence.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for the sector, with recent activity focused on capital returns, earnings visibility, and regulatory developments rather than major negative catalysts.
- Relative positioning highlights trade-offs between BNS’s international diversification and TD’s scale and U.S. growth trajectory.
Introduction
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) represent two prominent large-cap Canadian financial institutions with diversified operations spanning retail banking, wealth management, and capital markets. Investors and traders seeking exposure to the Canadian banking sector often evaluate these names together due to their similar business profiles, dividend histories, and sensitivity to interest rates, economic growth in North America, and regulatory environments. This comparison provides objective data on recent performance, business drivers, and market positioning to assist in portfolio construction or relative-value analysis within the financials sector.
BNS Overview and Recent Performance
Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS), also known as Scotiabank, operates as a major Canadian bank with significant international exposure through operations in Latin America, the Caribbean, and Asia. In recent market activity, the stock has posted solid gains, with trailing twelve-month returns exceeding 50% amid broader sector strength and company-specific catalysts such as a new share repurchase program authorizing up to 15 million shares. Recent analyst commentary has included several price target increases, reflecting optimism around earnings growth in global banking and markets as well as capital return initiatives. Performance has been supported by stable net interest margins and progress on efficiency measures, though the shares have faced occasional hold ratings amid sector-wide valuation considerations.
TD Overview and Recent Performance
Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) maintains a large retail and commercial banking franchise in Canada alongside a substantial U.S. presence through TD Bank. In recent weeks, the stock has outperformed broader benchmarks on a year-to-date basis, trading near the upper end of its 52-week range following multiple upward revisions to price targets by major brokerages. Key influences include upward earnings estimate revisions tied to improved net interest margins in Canadian personal and commercial banking and continued execution in the U.S. segment. The bank has also seen upgrades citing cost discipline and growth potential, contributing to positive sentiment and elevated trading levels relative to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Business models differ in geographic emphasis: BNS maintains broader emerging-market exposure through its international banking operations, while TD derives a larger share of revenue from its established U.S. retail franchise. Growth drivers for TD have centered on U.S. expansion and margin expansion in core Canadian segments, whereas BNS has highlighted capital return programs and targeted international opportunities. Recent momentum favors TD on total return metrics and analyst sentiment breadth, though BNS offers a comparatively higher dividend yield in some periods. Risk factors include interest-rate sensitivity and credit quality for both, with TD carrying additional U.S. regulatory considerations and BNS facing emerging-market volatility. Sector exposure remains aligned within Canadian financials, yet market positioning reflects TD’s scale advantage in net income and BNS’s focus on diversification and buybacks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including earnings scale, return on equity trends, U.S. growth trajectory, capital position, and recent price behavior, Tickeron AI currently assigns a higher probability of near-term outperformance to TD over BNS. The assessment incorporates trend consistency and relative positioning within the sector without implying certainty or forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is BNS is a Buy and TD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
BNS’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- BNS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
BNS’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TD’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- BNS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- TD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
BNS (@Major Banks) experienced а +2.69% price change this week, while TD (@Major Banks) price change was +1.91% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Major Banks industry was +0.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
BNS is expected to report earnings on Aug 25, 2026.
TD is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Major Banks (+0.98% weekly)Major banks are among the biggest companies in the world, often times with global reach and market capitalizations in the multi-billions. Large banks often have multiple arms spanning different disciplines, from deposits, to investment banking, to wealth management and insurance. The biggest banks often have key competitive advantages over smaller players in the industry in terms of brand recognition, cost of capital, and efficiency. Think J.P. Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup.
| BNS | TD | BNS / TD | |
| Capitalization | 106B | 198B | 54% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 17.926 | 26.943 | 67% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.98 | 19.88 | 85% |
| Revenue | 38.4B | 63.8B | 60% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 340B | 474B | 72% |
BNS | TD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 38 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 77 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 5 | 4 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 41 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BNS's Valuation (50) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as TD (77). This means that BNS’s stock grew similarly to TD’s over the last 12 months.
TD's Profit vs Risk Rating (36) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BNS (65). This means that TD’s stock grew similarly to BNS’s over the last 12 months.
TD's SMR Rating (4) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BNS (5). This means that TD’s stock grew similarly to BNS’s over the last 12 months.
TD's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Major Banks industry is in the same range as BNS (41). This means that TD’s stock grew similarly to BNS’s over the last 12 months.
TD's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Major Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BNS (43). This means that TD’s stock grew somewhat faster than BNS’s over the last 12 months.
| BNS | TD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 45% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 45% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 55% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 41% | 2 days ago 49% |
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BNS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BNS has been closely correlated with BMO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BNS jumps, then BMO could also see price increases.
TD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TD has been closely correlated with RY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TD jumps, then RY could also see price increases.