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CBOE vs ICE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) vs. Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CBOE has significantly outperformed ICE in recent market activity, with year-to-date gains of approximately 20.6% compared to ICE's modest 2.2%.
- ICE boasts a larger market capitalization of $89.4 billion versus CBOE's $31.6 billion, reflecting its broader operations including the NYSE.
- Both stocks trade at similar trailing P/E ratios (price-to-earnings) around 28, but CBOE shows higher return on equity (ROE, a measure of profitability relative to shareholders' equity) at 23.4% versus ICE's 11.9%.
- Recent trading volumes and average daily volume (ADV) have hit records for both, driven by market volatility, with ICE reporting up to 45% year-over-year growth in certain segments.
- CBOE exhibits lower volatility with a beta of 0.37, appealing to stability-focused investors, while ICE tracks the market more closely at 1.04.
- Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings are anticipated to show EPS (earnings per share) growth for both, with positive analyst revisions.
Introduction
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) are leading operators in the global exchanges sector, providing platforms for derivatives trading, clearing, and data services. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders seeking exposure to market volatility and investors interested in financial infrastructure amid fluctuating economic conditions. Both companies benefit from increased trading activity in recent weeks, but differ in scale, focus, and performance. Investors tracking relative performance and sector positioning can use this analysis to evaluate opportunities in exchange stocks, especially with upcoming earnings reports highlighting growth potential.
CBOE Overview and Recent Performance
Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) operates a leading derivatives and securities exchange network, renowned for its options trading platforms like the Cboe Options Exchange. In recent market activity, CBOE shares have shown strong upward momentum, gaining over 20% year-to-date and 43% over the past year, trading around $302 with a market cap of $31.6 billion. This performance follows record diluted EPS of $2.97 in Q4 2025, up 60% year-over-year, fueled by elevated volatility and robust trading volumes. Sentiment has been bolstered by analyst upgrades, including Piper Sandler's raised price target, and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on May 1, with expected EPS growth. Factors like new volatility indices and share buybacks have supported positive price behavior and investor confidence.
ICE Overview and Recent Performance
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), owner of the New York Stock Exchange and various futures exchanges, provides technology, data, and clearing services across asset classes including energy and mortgages. Shares have experienced more tempered movement in recent weeks, up about 2% year-to-date and over the past year, trading near $158 with a substantial $89.4 billion market cap. Key drivers include record ADV surges, such as 45% year-over-year in total ADV and 32% in energy for Q1 2026 to date, amid commodity volatility. Analyst optimism persists ahead of April 30 Q1 earnings, projecting 29% EPS growth to $2.22, though broader market pressures have capped gains. Strong free cash flow and segment diversification have underpinned stability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CBOE and ICE thrive on trading volumes but diverge in business models: CBOE specializes in options and volatility products, while ICE offers broader exposure via equities, commodities, fixed income, and mortgage technology. Growth drivers reflect this—CBOE leverages equity volatility, posting superior recent momentum, versus ICE's energy and data services amid record ADV. Risk factors include regulatory scrutiny for both, but CBOE's lower beta signals reduced volatility. Sector exposure favors ICE for diversification, yet CBOE edges in profitability with higher ROE and net margins in recent quarters. Market sentiment tilts toward CBOE on stronger price trends, though ICE's scale provides stability trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward CBOE based on consistent upward trends, superior relative performance in recent months, higher ROE, and positive pre-earnings catalysts like volume surges. While ICE offers scale and diversification advantages, its lagging momentum reduces short-term appeal. This probabilistic edge for CBOE may shift with Q1 results, emphasizing trend consistency and stability in the exchanges sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CBOE is a Hold and ICE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CBOE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileICE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CBOE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- ICE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CBOE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ICE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CBOE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- ICE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CBOE (@Financial Publishing/Services) experienced а -12.61% price change this week, while ICE (@Financial Publishing/Services) price change was -6.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Financial Publishing/Services industry was -5.08%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.76%, and the average quarterly price growth was -19.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
CBOE is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
ICE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Financial Publishing/Services (-5.08% weekly)The financial publishing /services sector includes companies that provide informational products and services that are of value to investors, financial/analytics professionals and other interested readers. The products include real-time stock quotes, financial news and analyses. Think S&P Global, Inc., Moody`s Corporation, Thomson-Reuters Corp and IHS Markit Ltd. Information is critical in making financial or investment decisions, and what makes this industry’s output relevant at all times, across various economic conditions.
| CBOE | ICE | CBOE / ICE | |
| Capitalization | 26.9B | 75.2B | 36% |
| EBITDA | 1.91B | 7.53B | 25% |
| Gain YTD | 2.451 | -18.342 | -13% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.86 | 19.12 | 114% |
| Revenue | 4.79B | 13.1B | 37% |
| Total Cash | 2.17B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.59B | 21B | 8% |
CBOE | ICE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 52 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 79 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 71 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 38 | 62 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 77 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ICE's Valuation (57) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as CBOE (79). This means that ICE’s stock grew similarly to CBOE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Profit vs Risk Rating (38) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ICE (71). This means that CBOE’s stock grew somewhat faster than ICE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's SMR Rating (38) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as ICE (62). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as ICE (64). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
CBOE's P/E Growth Rating (77) in the Investment Banks Or Brokers industry is in the same range as ICE (92). This means that CBOE’s stock grew similarly to ICE’s over the last 12 months.
| CBOE | ICE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 53% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 61% | 8 days ago 51% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 33% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 34% | 2 days ago 61% |
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CBOE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CBOE has been loosely correlated with CME. These tickers have moved in lockstep 63% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CBOE jumps, then CME could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CBOE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBOE | 100% | +2.76% | ||
| CME - CBOE | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| ICE - CBOE | 40% Loosely correlated | -1.90% | ||
| MKTX - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | -2.67% | ||
| TW - CBOE | 29% Poorly correlated | -1.27% | ||
| ARBK - CBOE | 22% Poorly correlated | -1.34% | ||
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ICE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ICE has been loosely correlated with NDAQ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 61% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ICE jumps, then NDAQ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ICE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE | 100% | -1.90% | ||
| NDAQ - ICE | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| MCO - ICE | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| SPGI - ICE | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| TW - ICE | 52% Loosely correlated | -1.27% | ||
| TRU - ICE | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.26% | ||
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