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CHRW vs EXPD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) vs. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRW has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 14.82% compared to EXPD's modest 0.31% gain, reflecting robust recent momentum.
- CHRW trades at a higher trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 38.08 versus EXPD's 24.97, signaling greater growth expectations amid upcoming earnings.
- EXPD boasts superior profitability with a 7.32% profit margin and 35.43% return on equity (ROE), compared to CHRW's 3.62% margin and 32.91% ROE.
- Both firms operate in the integrated freight and logistics industry, facing similar sector headwinds, but CHRW shows lower beta (0.94) for reduced volatility versus EXPD's 1.08.
- Analysts anticipate 6% EPS (earnings per share) growth for CHRW's next report, while EXPD faces a projected 10.2% decline, though with potential for a beat.
Introduction
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) and Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) are leading players in the integrated freight and logistics sector, providing third-party logistics (3PL) services including freight forwarding and supply chain management. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance, and key metrics, offering insights for investors tracking industrials exposure amid fluctuating freight volumes and global trade dynamics. Traders focused on relative performance and upcoming catalysts in transportation stocks will find value in evaluating these peers' contrasts in momentum and valuation.
CHRW Overview and Recent Performance
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is a global 3PL provider specializing in truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), intermodal, ocean, and air freight services, connecting shippers with carriers through its Navisphere platform. In recent market activity, CHRW shares have exhibited strong upward momentum, with a 13% gain over the past month and 14.82% YTD return, trading near the upper end of its 52-week range (86.58–203.34). This performance has been influenced by anticipation of Q1 earnings growth, positive analyst updates like Susquehanna's maintained Positive rating, and broader recovery in freight demand. Sentiment has improved on operational efficiencies and share repurchases, though high P/E (38.08 trailing) raises valuation scrutiny versus peers.
EXPD Overview and Recent Performance
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) delivers customized logistics solutions, with a focus on air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and distribution across global networks. Recent weeks have seen mixed stock behavior for EXPD, with flat YTD performance at 0.31% and shares within a 52-week range of 106.00–167.19. Influences include cautious outlook for Q1 earnings amid expected EPS decline, offset by a positive Earnings Surprise Prediction (ESP) suggesting a potential beat. Analyst holds persist, with stable profitability supporting resilience in softer freight markets, though higher beta (1.08) indicates greater market sensitivity.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CHRW and EXPD thrive in the freight and logistics space, but CHRW emphasizes North American truckload brokerage while EXPD leads in international air/sea forwarding, exposing EXPD more to global trade volatility. Growth drivers diverge: CHRW benefits from digital platform expansions and domestic volume recovery, versus EXPD's strength in high-margin customs services. Recent momentum favors CHRW with superior returns, but EXPD offers lower valuation (forward P/E 24.57 vs. 30.67), higher margins (7.32% vs. 3.62%), and conservative debt/equity (24.20% vs. 75.60%). Risk factors include freight rate pressures for both, with EXPD's international tilt adding currency exposure. Market sentiment leans positive for CHRW pre-earnings, while EXPD trades as a steadier value play.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor CHRW in the current environment, driven by consistent upward trend, stronger relative performance, and positive earnings catalysts positioning it ahead of EXPD. While EXPD provides stability through superior margins, CHRW's momentum and lower volatility offer higher probability of near-term outperformance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CHRW is a Buy and EXPD is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRW’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileEXPD’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- CHRW’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- EXPD’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRW’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXPD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRW’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- EXPD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRW (@Other Transportation) experienced а +3.40% price change this week, while EXPD (@Other Transportation) price change was +2.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was +1.42%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.24%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.61%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
EXPD is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (+1.42% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| CHRW | EXPD | CHRW / EXPD | |
| Capitalization | 21.7B | 21B | 103% |
| EBITDA | 896M | 1.14B | 79% |
| Gain YTD | 15.298 | 8.226 | 186% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.27 | 25.92 | 144% |
| Revenue | 16.2B | 11.2B | 145% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 544M | - |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 565M | 291% |
CHRW | EXPD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 33 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 46 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 27 | 26 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 17 | 25 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 15 | 22 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CHRW's Valuation (52) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (74). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Profit vs Risk Rating (20) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (46). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
EXPD's SMR Rating (26) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as CHRW (27). This means that EXPD’s stock grew similarly to CHRW’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's Price Growth Rating (17) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (25). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRW's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as EXPD (22). This means that CHRW’s stock grew similarly to EXPD’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRW | EXPD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 52% | 9 days ago 47% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 55% |
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CHRW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRW has been loosely correlated with EXPD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 64% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CHRW jumps, then EXPD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRW | 100% | +0.07% | ||
| EXPD - CHRW | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.19% | ||
| LSTR - CHRW | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| XPO - CHRW | 46% Loosely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| HUBG - CHRW | 37% Loosely correlated | -1.25% | ||
| RLGT - CHRW | 36% Loosely correlated | N/A | ||
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EXPD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXPD has been loosely correlated with CHRW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EXPD jumps, then CHRW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EXPD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXPD | 100% | +0.19% | ||
| CHRW - EXPD | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.07% | ||
| XPO - EXPD | 61% Loosely correlated | -0.15% | ||
| LSTR - EXPD | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| HUBG - EXPD | 41% Loosely correlated | -1.25% | ||
| JBHT - EXPD | 37% Loosely correlated | +0.58% | ||
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