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CMI vs GEV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. GE Vernova Inc. (GEV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- GEV has significantly outperformed CMI with 68% YTD gains compared to CMI's 33%, driven by AI data center demand.
- Both stocks benefit from power generation trends, but GEV's $294B market cap dwarfs CMI's $93B, reflecting greater scale.
- CMI offers a higher dividend yield of 1.16% versus GEV's 0.14%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent Q1 2026 earnings beats for both: CMI raised full-year guidance on power systems strength; GEV reported $13B orders and backlog growth.
- GEV shows higher volatility (beta 1.31) than CMI, with elevated P/E ratios signaling growth premiums.
- Market sentiment favors electrification plays like GEV, while CMI provides diversified stability.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CMI and GEV, two leaders in power solutions amid surging demand for energy infrastructure. Both companies serve industrial and data center markets, but differ in focus: engines and generators for Cummins versus turbines and electrification for GE Vernova. Traders seeking momentum in AI-driven power needs and investors eyeing relative performance in industrials will find value here. Recent earnings highlight contrasts in growth trajectories and market positioning, offering insights into sector rotation and stock comparison dynamics.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins Inc. (CMI) is a global power solutions provider, designing engines, generators, and electrified systems for transportation, construction, and industrial uses. In recent market activity, shares have risen 33% YTD and 127% over the past year, recently closing at $674.88 after hitting 52-week highs near $689. Q1 2026 earnings featured $8.4B revenue (up 3% YoY), adjusted EPS of $6.15 beating estimates, and raised full-year guidance to 8-11% revenue growth, fueled by power systems demand including data centers. Sentiment reflects analyst upgrades like Truist's $730 target, though truck segment softness tempers gains. Trading at a P/E of 35.1 with $93B market cap, CMI balances stability and AI-related catalysts.
GEV Overview and Recent Performance
GE Vernova Inc. (GEV), spun off from General Electric in 2024, specializes in power generation (gas, nuclear, hydro), wind turbines, and electrification technologies for grid solutions and storage. Shares have surged 68% YTD and 174% over the past year, closing at $1,095 amid all-time highs, with a $294B market cap. Recent Q1 2026 results showed strong revenue growth, $13B orders (up significantly), and a $150B backlog, driven by AI power infrastructure and hybrid projects like Texas gas-nuclear plants. Analyst targets average $1,207, though some downgrades note valuation risks at P/E 32. Momentum persists from data center tailwinds, with beta at 1.31 signaling volatility.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
CMI and GEV operate in power infrastructure but diverge in business models: CMI's diversified engines span trucks and generators for steady revenue ($34B TTM), while GEV's focus on large-scale turbines, wind, and grid tech ($39B TTM) targets electrification. Growth drivers favor GEV's AI data center backlog versus CMI's power systems uptick. Recent momentum shows GEV's 68% YTD edge over CMI's 33%, with GEV's higher ROE (76%) but elevated risks from project execution and policy shifts. CMI offers lower beta (around 1.14) and superior dividends; GEV provides scale ($294B vs. $93B mcap) and sector exposure to renewables. Sentiment leans bullish on both amid power demand, trading off stability for growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors GEV due to superior trend consistency, explosive backlog growth, and positioning in AI power infrastructure, with 68% YTD gains and strong order momentum outweighing valuation premiums. CMI trails on relative performance despite earnings beats and stability, suggesting GEV holds higher probabilistic upside in the near term amid energy transition catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a StrongBuy and GEV is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileGEV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- GEV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GEV’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GEV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +6.99% price change this week, while GEV (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -0.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +7.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +20.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
GEV is expected to report earnings on Jul 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (+1.32% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CMI | GEV | CMI / GEV | |
| Capitalization | 97B | 288B | 34% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 2.52B | 208% |
| Gain YTD | 38.118 | 64.408 | 59% |
| P/E Ratio | 36.50 | 31.36 | 116% |
| Revenue | 33.9B | 39.4B | 86% |
| Total Cash | 3.18B | 10.2B | 31% |
| Total Debt | 8.24B | 2.81B | 294% |
CMI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 75 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CMI | GEV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 63% | 7 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 54% | 5 days ago 63% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 90% |
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with DOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then DOV could also see price increases.
GEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEV has been loosely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GEV jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.