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CMI vs GEV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins (CMI) vs. GE Vernova (GEV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cummins (CMI) is a diversified power and engine manufacturer benefiting from data-center power-generation demand, while GE Vernova (GEV) is a more concentrated play on gas turbines, grid equipment, and electrification.
- Both companies raised full-year guidance in recent weeks, driven by accelerating electricity demand tied to artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers.
- GEV has delivered sharply stronger relative momentum in 2026, while CMI has been more range-bound and offers a meaningful dividend.
- GEV trades at a higher valuation and carries exposure to a loss-making wind business; CMI faces cyclical weakness in North American truck and engine markets.
- Investors seeking growth and backlog visibility may weigh GEV, while those prioritizing income and a lower forward valuation may consider CMI.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines CMI (Cummins Inc.) and GEV (GE Vernova Inc.), two industrial companies whose fortunes have become closely tied to the same megatrend: surging demand for electricity to power data centers and AI workloads. Although both operate in the power sector, they occupy different positions within it. Cummins is an established engine and power-systems company with a diversified, dividend-paying profile, while GE Vernova is a newer pure-play energy company formed through a spin-off. This comparison is relevant for investors evaluating how to gain exposure to the electrification theme while balancing growth, valuation, income, and cyclical risk.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
CMI, headquartered in Columbus, Indiana, designs and manufactures engines, power-generation systems, components, and related distribution services, alongside its Accelera zero-emissions business. In recent market activity, the stock has been more range-bound than its energy peers, reflecting a tug-of-war between strong power demand and softer North American truck markets.
In its most recent quarterly results, Cummins reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) up modestly year over year, with total revenue rising in the low single digits. The standout was its Power Systems segment, which grew sales roughly 19% on power-generation demand, particularly for data-center applications, with an EBITDA margin (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) approaching 30%. By contrast, the Engine and Components segments declined on weaker U.S. heavy- and medium-duty truck demand. Management raised its full-year revenue and margin outlook, citing strengthening North American on-highway and power-generation demand. Cummins also continues to return capital through dividends and buybacks, with a dividend yield near 1.7%.
GEV Overview and Recent Performance
GEV, based in Cambridge, Massachusetts, is a purpose-built energy company operating through Power, Electrification, and Wind segments. Spun off from General Electric, it has become one of the most prominent beneficiaries of the AI-driven electricity build-out. Its shares have surged roughly 70% in 2026, though they pulled back from a mid-year record high in recent weeks.
GE Vernova's recent quarterly results showed orders up about 71% organically, with Power orders up roughly 59% and Electrification orders up about 86%. Its total backlog reached $163 billion, and its combined gas power equipment backlog plus slot reservation agreements (SRAs) grew to 100 gigawatts (GW). Management raised full-year revenue, adjusted EBITDA margin, and free cash flow guidance. The company also booked significant data-center equipment orders. However, its Wind segment remains loss-making, and the stock trades at a premium valuation, leaving it sensitive to execution risk and any slowdown in order momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ in business model and risk profile. CMI is diversified across engines, components, power systems, and distribution, which tempers its exposure to any single market but also ties it to cyclical truck demand. GEV is more concentrated in gas turbines and grid equipment, giving it outsized leverage to the electrification and data-center boom.
On growth, GEV has shown faster order and backlog expansion, while CMI's growth has been more measured. On valuation, CMI trades at a lower forward P/E ratio (price-to-earnings multiple) and pays a dividend, whereas GEV commands a premium multiple reflecting its momentum. In terms of risk, CMI faces North American truck cyclicality and emissions-policy uncertainty, while GEV faces wind-segment losses, project lumpiness, and a demanding valuation. Market sentiment has favored GEV as the higher-growth story, while CMI is viewed as a steadier, income-oriented alternative within the same power-demand theme.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor GEV in the current environment. The stock has exhibited stronger and more persistent trend consistency, supported by accelerating order growth, record backlog, slot reservation agreements extending years into the future, and upward guidance revisions. These catalysts create a relatively clearer momentum and positioning profile. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: GEV's elevated valuation and wind-segment losses introduce volatility risk, while CMI offers a more balanced, income-generating profile that may appeal under different market conditions. AI-based analysis weighs trend strength and catalysts over yield, which currently tilts the comparison toward GEV.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a StrongBuy and GEV is a Hold.
CMI's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for CMI moved out of oversold territory on September 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 21 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 15 of the 21 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 71%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CMI just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where CMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +3.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CMI advanced for three days, in 218 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 62 cases where CMI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CMI as a result. In 52 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The 50-day moving average for CMI moved below the 200-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
CMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CMI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 30 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CMI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.810) is normal, around the industry mean (4.327). P/E Ratio (27.593) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.298). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.110) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
GEV in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for GEV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 7 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GEV as a result. In 34 of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GEV turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 16 of the 25 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
GEV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GEV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
GEV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GEV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 3 of 3 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +0.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GEV advanced for three days, in 154 of 175 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 154 of 173 cases where GEV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GEV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: GEV's P/B Ratio (20.624) is slightly higher than the industry average of (4.387). P/E Ratio (26.211) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.178). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.858) is also within normal values, averaging (1.879). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.032) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.094) is also within normal values, averaging (186.943).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GEV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
CMI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 30 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CMI | GEV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 14 days ago 88% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 2 days ago 89% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while GEV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GEV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GEV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GEV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а +3.09% price change this week, while GEV (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -1.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -7.37%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.92%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
GEV is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-7.37% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.
GEV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GEV has been closely correlated with ETN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GEV jumps, then ETN could also see price increases.