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CMI vs DOV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Cummins Inc. (CMI) vs. Dover Corporation (DOV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Cummins Inc. (CMI) has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 29%, outpacing Dover Corporation (DOV)'s 16% gains amid recent market activity.
- Both companies operate in the Specialty Industrial Machinery industry within the Industrials sector, offering exposure to engineered products and power solutions.
- DOV recently beat Q1 2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates with $2.28 versus $2.27 expected, driving shares higher and prompting analyst price target increases.
- CMI approaches its Q1 earnings with forecasts for a slight EPS decline and recent insider sales totaling about $17 million, contributing to mixed sentiment.
- CMI's larger market cap of $90.9 billion dwarfs DOV's $30.4 billion, reflecting scale differences in their industrial operations.
- Tickeron's Trending AI Robots showcase bots with win rates up to 88% and annualized returns exceeding 160%, curating top performers for current conditions.
Introduction
This CMI vs DOV stock comparison examines two leaders in the Specialty Industrial Machinery space, both navigating industrial cycles, supply chain dynamics, and economic shifts. Investors seeking diversified industrials exposure or traders eyeing relative performance will find value here. With recent earnings cycles highlighting contrasts in momentum and analyst views, this analysis illuminates market positioning, growth drivers, and sentiment in the current environment.
CMI Overview and Recent Performance
Cummins Inc. (CMI) designs and manufactures engines, power generation systems, and electrified solutions worldwide, operating through segments like Engine, Distribution, Components, Power Systems, and Accelera. Trading near its 52-week high of around $675 with a market cap of $90.9 billion, CMI boasts a trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 32.05 and a beta of 1.27, indicating moderate volatility relative to the market. In recent weeks, shares have reflected YTD gains of 29%, supported by strong Q4 2025 results, but sentiment has turned cautious ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on May 5. Analysts anticipate a 2.9% EPS drop, coupled with $17 million in insider sales, tempering optimism despite raised price targets like Truist Securities' $730.
DOV Overview and Recent Performance
Dover Corporation (DOV) delivers engineered products, components, and digital solutions across segments including Engineered Products, Clean Energy & Fueling, Imaging & Identification, Pumps & Process Solutions, and Climate & Sustainability Technologies. With a market cap of $30.4 billion, trailing P/E of 28.26, and beta of 1.21, DOV trades close to its 52-week high of $238. Recent market activity has been buoyant, with YTD returns of 16% accelerating after Q1 2026 results on April 23 showed adjusted EPS of $2.28 beating estimates by a penny and revenue of $2.05 billion. Shares rose 6.5% post-earnings, bolstered by reaffirmed guidance, a new data center product launch, and analyst upgrades like Seaport's $265 target.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, CMI focuses on powertrains and electrification for engines and generators, while DOV offers broader diversification into pumps, imaging, and climate tech. Growth drivers differ: CMI benefits from data center demand and aftermarket parts, but faces truck cycle risks; DOV leverages clean energy and product innovation. Recent momentum favors DOV post-earnings surge versus CMI's pre-earnings caution. Risk profiles align with similar betas around 1.2, though CMI's scale provides stability. Sector exposure ties both to industrials recovery, but DOV shows stronger recent sentiment via analyst hikes, contrasting CMI's insider activity.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI leans toward DOV in the current environment, citing recent earnings beats, reaffirmed guidance, and upward analyst revisions as stronger near-term catalysts compared to CMI's anticipated EPS softness and insider sales. While CMI holds superior YTD momentum and market position, DOV's trend consistency positions it probabilistically better for relative outperformance amid industrials volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CMI is a Hold and DOV is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CMI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileDOV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- DOV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CMI’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DOV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CMI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DOV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CMI (@Industrial Machinery) experienced а -9.06% price change this week, while DOV (@Industrial Machinery) price change was -7.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Industrial Machinery industry was -1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.53%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
CMI is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
DOV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Industrial Machinery (-1.15% weekly)The industry makes and maintains machines for consumers, the industry, and most other companies. While it has traditionally been categorized as heavy industry, some smaller companies are also branching into the light category. The industry is pivotal in providing the equipment for production in businesses like agriculture, mining, industry and construction, gas, electricity and water utilities. It also supplies supporting equipment for almost all sectors of the economy, such as equipment for heating, and air conditioning of buildings. Illinois Tool Works Inc., Parker-Hannifin Corporation and Rockwell Automation Inc are some of the major U.S. companies operating in this industry.
| CMI | DOV | CMI / DOV | |
| Capitalization | 91.3B | 28.8B | 317% |
| EBITDA | 5.23B | 1.88B | 278% |
| Gain YTD | 30.475 | 9.980 | 305% |
| P/E Ratio | 37.66 | 28.68 | 131% |
| Revenue | 33.9B | 8.28B | 409% |
| Total Cash | 3.18B | 1.64B | 194% |
| Total Debt | 8.24B | 3.29B | 250% |
CMI | DOV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 83 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 42 Fair valued | 46 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 6 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 57 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CMI's Valuation (42) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (46) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DOV (44) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than DOV’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's SMR Rating (41) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (57) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
DOV's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry is in the same range as CMI (40) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that DOV’s stock grew similarly to CMI’s over the last 12 months.
CMI's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as DOV (33) in the Miscellaneous Manufacturing industry. This means that CMI’s stock grew similarly to DOV’s over the last 12 months.
| CMI | DOV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 65% | 10 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 54% | 3 days ago 52% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 50% | 3 days ago 60% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 35% |
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CMI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CMI has been closely correlated with DOV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CMI jumps, then DOV could also see price increases.