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CNH vs OSK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. Oshkosh (OSK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CNH is a global agricultural and construction equipment maker navigating a prolonged soft agricultural cycle, while OSK builds specialty vehicles for defense, fire, emergency, and commercial markets.
- CNH shares have outperformed year-to-date, but its earnings multiple is elevated relative to the machinery industry, reflecting valuation risk.
- OSK delivered stronger revenue growth and a record backlog, yet trimmed its full-year earnings guidance on slower fire-truck production.
- CNH's relative performance has been driven by cycle-recovery positioning, while OSK's is tied to backlog conversion and the Next Generation Delivery Vehicle (NGDV) ramp.
- Both names face margin pressure from tariffs, input costs, and product mix, but their demand drivers and sector exposures differ materially.
Introduction
Industrial equipment manufacturers rarely move in lockstep, and the stock comparison between CNH and OSK illustrates why. CNH Industrial serves agricultural and construction customers tied closely to farm incomes and commodity cycles, while Oshkosh spans defense, fire and emergency vehicles, and access equipment used on infrastructure and data-center projects. Their divergent end markets create different growth drivers, risk profiles, and market positioning. This comparison is most relevant to investors weighing cyclical recovery plays against more diversified specialty-vehicle franchises, and to traders tracking relative momentum between two well-known industrial names with contrasting recent price behavior.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial designs, manufactures, and sells agricultural and construction equipment across North America, Europe, South America, and Asia Pacific, supported by a captive financial-services arm. Recent market activity has been constructive for the stock, which has posted a strong year-to-date advance and maintained positive momentum over the trailing one-month period, even as very short-term trading has cooled.
That resilience reflects several factors. In its most recent quarterly report, CNH delivered revenue growth of about 2% year over year, with construction sales up roughly 12% on stronger North American shipment volumes, partly offsetting a still-weak agricultural equipment cycle. Management raised its full-year industrial outlook, citing improved pricing, cost-saving initiatives, and a modest benefit from lower tariff rates. Investor sentiment has also been supported by the company's push into precision technology, connectivity, and recurring software and services revenue. At the same time, headwinds persist: agriculture margins narrowed on tariff pressure, South American demand fell sharply, and financial-services delinquencies ticked higher amid economic pressure on farmers in Brazil.
OSK Overview and Recent Performance
Oshkosh Corporation manufactures specialty vehicles and equipment, including defense vehicles, fire and emergency apparatus, refuse and recycling trucks, and access equipment such as aerial work platforms. Recent performance has been mixed, with the stock registering solid gains earlier in the year before pulling back below its 20-day moving average in recent weeks as analysts recalibrated expectations.
In its latest quarter, Oshkosh grew revenue roughly 7% year over year to about $2.9 billion, driven by higher sales volume and improved pricing, and ended the period with a sizable backlog of approximately $14.75 billion. Access segment sales advanced on strong orders tied to infrastructure projects and data centers, while the Transport segment benefited from accelerating production of the NGDV. However, adjusted operating margin contracted on unfavorable product and customer mix and higher manufacturing overhead. Management lowered its full-year earnings outlook to roughly $11 per share, reflecting slower-than-expected improvement in fire-truck production, even as it raised its sales forecast and generated significantly stronger free cash flow. Analyst sentiment remains generally constructive, though recent price-target reductions signal a more measured view.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks lies in their end-market exposure. CNH is heavily leveraged to agricultural capital spending, which remains subdued amid weak farm profitability, low commodity prices, and elevated input costs. Its growth story is anchored to a cyclical trough-to-recovery thesis, complemented by technology and services expansion. OSK, by comparison, draws demand from more diversified sources—defense budgets, municipal fire and refuse fleets, and non-residential construction—giving it a somewhat less cyclical revenue base but exposing it to execution risk on production ramps and government contracting.
On momentum, CNH has shown stronger relative performance over the trailing year-to-date period, while OSK's price action has been more volatile and recently below its 20-day moving average. Valuation also differs: CNH trades at a notably higher price-to-earnings multiple than the broader machinery peer group, whereas OSK's multiple is more modest. Risk factors likewise diverge—CNH faces regional demand softness in South America and Europe plus tariff-driven margin compression, while OSK contends with production bottlenecks, product mix pressure, and the timing of defense contract pricing. Both companies are returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks, but their catalysts are distinct: an agricultural replacement cycle for CNH versus NGDV and fire-truck throughput for OSK.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely express a modest preference for the stock displaying more consistent trend behavior and a clearer near-term catalyst path. On a relative positioning basis, CNH's steadier year-to-date trend and constructive price action are offset by an elevated valuation and a still-soft agriculture backdrop. OSK's stronger revenue growth and record backlog are counterbalanced by margin compression and a guidance reduction. Probabilistically, the AI framework would tend to favor the name with greater trend consistency and more visible execution catalysts, while flagging both for sector-level tariff and margin risk. As always, such a verdict reflects current data rather than a guaranteed outcome, and positioning can shift as new earnings and order data emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNH is a Hold and OSK is a StrongBuy.
CNH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for CNH entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 159 of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CNH as a result. In 59 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CNH turned negative on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
CNH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNH advanced for three days, in 181 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
CNH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.401) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (46.320) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
OSK's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for OSK moved out of oversold territory on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 26 of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OSK as a result. In 51 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OSK just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where OSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +5.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OSK advanced for three days, in 213 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
OSK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for OSK moved below the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for OSK entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 27 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.831) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (15.278) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). OSK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.298) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.869) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
CNH | OSK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CNH's Valuation (68) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as OSK (86). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to OSK’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CNH (100). This means that OSK’s stock grew somewhat faster than CNH’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's SMR Rating (63) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (85). This means that OSK’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as OSK (60). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to OSK’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as OSK (27). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to OSK’s over the last 12 months.
| CNH | OSK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 62% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 67% | 15 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 65% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while OSK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CNH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OSK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OSK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.10% price change this week, while OSK (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +4.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +48.68%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.80%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
OSK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+48.68% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | +0.52% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | +0.90% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.81% | ||
| LNN - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| ASTE - CNH | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| CAT - CNH | 48% Loosely correlated | -4.89% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| CSB | 64.97 | 1.32 | +2.08% |
| VictoryShares US Small Cap High Dividend Volatility Wtd ETF (CSB) | |||
| EUDG | 38.10 | -0.03 | -0.08% |
| WisdomTree Europe Quality Dividend Growth Fund (EUDG) | |||
| XLY | 115.01 | -0.52 | -0.45% |
| State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) | |||
| NBCR | 34.19 | -0.39 | -1.14% |
| Neuberger Core Equity ETF (NBCR) | |||
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| Direxion Daily MSCI Mexico Bull 3X ETF (MEXX) | |||