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CNH vs TEX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? CNH Industrial (CNH) vs. Terex (TEX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different demand cycles: CNH is navigating a trough in the agricultural equipment cycle, while Terex benefits from more resilient, mostly North American end markets such as utilities, waste, and emergency services.
- Momentum vs. fundamentals: CNH has delivered stronger recent price momentum (up roughly 40% year to date), but Terex has shown steadier earnings growth and raised its full-year outlook.
- Valuation contrast: CNH trades at a notably higher price-to-earnings multiple amid depressed earnings, whereas Terex carries a more moderate valuation relative to its profit profile.
- Margins under pressure: Both companies cite tariffs and input costs as headwinds, though Terex reports minimal tariff impact because most of its U.S. sales are U.S.-manufactured.
- Catalyst profiles: CNH leans on a cyclical recovery and precision-technology growth, while Terex leans on acquisition synergies, backlog conversion, and infrastructure tailwinds.
Introduction
CNH Industrial (CNH) and Terex Corporation (TEX) are both heavyweights in the capital-equipment and machinery sector, yet they serve different parts of that market. CNH is a global manufacturer of agricultural and construction equipment under brands such as Case IH and New Holland, while Terex produces lifting, materials-processing, and specialty-vehicle equipment. This stock comparison is relevant for investors evaluating how relative performance, market positioning, and cyclical exposure differ across two industrial names that often move together on broad economic sentiment but diverge sharply on fundamentals. Comparing them side by side can help clarify which profile — cyclical recovery or steadier growth — fits a given portfolio or trading strategy.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial is a leading producer of agriculture and construction machinery, with a significant financial-services arm that finances equipment purchases. Recent market activity has been notably strong: the stock has climbed roughly 40% year to date, supported by improving investor sentiment around a potential agriculture-cycle trough, dealer-inventory normalization, and aging equipment fleets. In its latest quarterly report, consolidated revenues rose 2% year over year to about $4.8 billion, while construction sales advanced 12% on North American demand. However, profitability remains constrained — agriculture margins narrowed on tariffs, weaker South American volumes, and elevated input costs, and the company continues to manage an L-shaped, or slow and flat, recovery outlook. Management nonetheless raised full-year guidance, citing positive pricing and cost discipline. The key tension for CNH is that strong price momentum sits alongside cyclically depressed earnings and a relatively rich earnings multiple.
TEX Overview and Recent Performance
Terex Corporation manufactures lifting and material-handling equipment and, following its acquisition of REV Group, a diversified specialty-vehicles portfolio spanning fire and emergency vehicles, waste and recycling trucks, and utility equipment. The company has pivoted deliberately toward resilient, U.S.-centric end markets; roughly 80% of revenue is generated in North America, with most U.S. sales manufactured domestically. Recent results have been constructive: second-quarter sales grew strongly on a pro forma basis, adjusted earnings per share beat analyst expectations, and the company raised its full-year sales and earnings outlook. Terex also reported a healthy backlog of about $7.1 billion, providing forward visibility. Analysts have responded favorably, with at least one major firm upgrading the stock on expectations that materials-processing and specialty-vehicle profits will accelerate. Relative to CNH, Terex's recent stock behavior has been steadier than spectacular, reflecting its more predictable end-market exposure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies are classified as industrial machinery, their business models and growth drivers differ substantially. CNH is tied closely to global agricultural commodity prices and farmer profitability, making it a cyclical, economy-sensitive name; its construction segment provides some diversification but remains secondary. Terex, by contrast, has shifted toward specialty vehicles and infrastructure-related equipment with more stable, largely North American demand. This difference shows up in risk profiles: CNH faces concentrated exposure to a soft agriculture market and a weak South American economy, while Terex's principal risks center on integration execution and broader macroeconomic or tariff uncertainty. On momentum, CNH has outperformed sharply in recent weeks, while Terex has posted steadier gains. From a valuation standpoint, CNH's higher earnings multiple reflects an anticipated recovery that has not yet fully materialized, whereas Terex's valuation is more aligned with current profitability. Sector exposure also diverges: CNH leans agricultural, while Terex skews toward utilities, waste, and emergency services — areas with infrastructure and data-center-driven tailwinds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor Terex (TEX) for its current combination of trend consistency, stability, and catalysts. Terex offers rising guidance, a sizable backlog, a more resilient North American demand base, and recent analyst upgrades — characteristics that align with trend-following and stability-weighted models. CNH's stronger short-term momentum is notable, but it is accompanied by cyclically depressed earnings, a rich valuation multiple, and lingering regional and tariff pressures, which may reduce confidence in the durability of its trend. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: if agricultural conditions stabilize faster than expected, CNH's recovery-driven upside could shift the balance. Investors should weigh these relative positioning factors against their own time horizon and risk tolerance.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CNH is a Hold and TEX is a Buy.
CNH's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for CNH entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 198 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 159 of the 198 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CNH as a result. In 59 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CNH turned negative on September 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
CNH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNH's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.85% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNH advanced for three days, in 181 of 295 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
CNH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.401) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (46.320) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
TEX's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for TEX moved out of oversold territory on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 26 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 26 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 63 cases where TEX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TEX just turned positive on October 20, 2026. Looking at past instances where TEX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +4.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TEX advanced for three days, in 209 of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
TEX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 50-day moving average for TEX moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TEX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for TEX entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 58 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.209) is normal, around the industry mean (2.561). P/E Ratio (24.237) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.171). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.038) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.755) is also within normal values, averaging (1.128).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. TEX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TEX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
CNH | TEX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 10 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | 58 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 85 | 84 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 56 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 3 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TEX's Valuation (58) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (68). This means that TEX’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
TEX's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (100). This means that TEX’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
TEX's SMR Rating (84) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (85). This means that TEX’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TEX (73). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to TEX’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (3) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as TEX (20). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to TEX’s over the last 12 months.
| CNH | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 80% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CNH’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while TEX’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- CNH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TEX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CNH’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TEX’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CNH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TEX’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -3.10% price change this week, while TEX (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -1.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.90%, and the average quarterly price growth was -6.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
CNH is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
TEX is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.15% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | +0.52% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | +0.90% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.81% | ||
| LNN - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | +5.07% | ||
| ASTE - CNH | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| CAT - CNH | 48% Loosely correlated | -4.89% | ||
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TEX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TEX has been closely correlated with OSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if TEX jumps, then OSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TEX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEX | 100% | -1.81% | ||
| OSK - TEX | 66% Closely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| MTW - TEX | 60% Loosely correlated | -2.64% | ||
| CAT - TEX | 58% Loosely correlated | -4.89% | ||
| ASTE - TEX | 55% Loosely correlated | -1.67% | ||
| PCAR - TEX | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.57% | ||
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