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AGCO vs CNH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. CNH Industrial (CNH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AGCO and CNH operate in the same cyclical agricultural-equipment downturn, but their recent momentum, catalysts, and valuations have diverged meaningfully.
- CNH has shown stronger relative performance, gaining roughly 40% or more year-to-date, supported by a portfolio-simplification catalyst and raised full-year guidance.
- AGCO trades at a notably lower forward earnings multiple, yet has trimmed its full-year outlook multiple times amid softer Europe and Latin America demand.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on observable trend consistency, catalysts, and relative positioning, the AI would currently lean toward CNH.
- For deeper context on each name, explore AGCO Major News and AGCO Today's Price Move, as well as CNH Major News and CNH Today's Price Move.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning around names like these, browse the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
For investors and traders tracking the agricultural-machinery sector, AGCO and CNH are two of the most closely watched names. Both manufacture tractors, combines, and precision-farming equipment and are sensitive to the same macro forces — crop prices, farm incomes, interest rates, and input costs. This stock comparison is especially relevant for those who want to understand how two competitors can diverge in market positioning even while facing an identical industry cycle. Because the two stocks have moved differently in recent months, examining their relative performance, catalysts, and risk profiles can help clarify which name currently offers stronger momentum versus deeper value.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation is a global agricultural-equipment maker whose brands include Fendt, Massey Ferguson, Valtra, and the PTx precision-agriculture platform. The company has emphasized a "Farmer-First" strategy built around premium machines, retrofit-first technology, and a digital distribution model called FarmerCore.
Recent market activity has reflected a challenging demand environment. In its most recent quarter, net sales declined on a year-over-year basis, with strength in North America (including market-share gains in high-horsepower tractors) offset by softer results in Europe, the Middle East, and Latin America. Management has described global industry demand as the weakest in more than a decade and has lowered its full-year sales and earnings outlook on multiple occasions. Cost-efficiency programs and tariff refunds under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA, a U.S. law under which certain import tariffs were imposed) have partially cushioned margins. The shares trade at a relatively modest forward earnings multiple, reflecting the market's caution about the timing of an agricultural recovery.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial manufactures agricultural equipment under the Case IH and New Holland brands, alongside a construction-equipment business. In recent weeks, the company has accelerated its transformation into a pure-play agricultural-technology company by announcing a definitive agreement to sell a majority (70%) stake in its construction business to Japan's Kobe Steel (Kobelco) for roughly $700 million, retaining a minority interest.
This restructuring catalyst helped drive a sharp rally in the stock, which has climbed significantly year-to-date. The most recent quarterly results included a year-over-year increase in adjusted earnings per share that was supported in part by one-time IEEPA tariff refunds, while reported net income was weighed down by a non-cash tax valuation allowance in Brazil. Management raised its full-year adjusted earnings and free-cash-flow guidance, citing cost discipline and improving North American cycle indicators. Notably, the shares trade at a premium forward multiple relative to peers, as the market prices in a cleaner, more focused business ahead of the deal's expected close.
Trending AI Robots
For traders who prefer a data-driven approach, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page offers a curated view of automated strategies. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots covering thousands of tickers, each with its own trading style, timeframe, performance history, and set of statistics. Because not every bot suits every market condition, the platform highlights only those whose configurations and recent results align with the current environment. This curated section can be a useful starting point for evaluating whether an algorithmic approach to names like AGCO and CNH matches your own analytical process. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to review the available strategies.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The core contrast between the two stocks is momentum versus valuation. CNH currently carries stronger relative momentum, a tangible restructuring catalyst in the Kobelco joint venture, and upwardly revised guidance — but it also trades at a premium forward earnings multiple that already anticipates much of that improvement. AGCO, by comparison, offers a lower valuation and notable North American strength, but its repeated guidance reductions and weaker European and Latin American demand introduce greater near-term uncertainty.
On the risk side, both companies face elevated input costs, pressured farm incomes, and tariff-related volatility. CNH carries additional execution risk tied to completing and integrating its portfolio simplification, while AGCO remains more exposed to the pace of recovery in its European and South American dealer channels. In essence, CNH represents a catalyst-driven, higher-multiple story, whereas AGCO represents a value-oriented exposure to the same cyclical trough.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing trend consistency, recent catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward CNH. The stock's stronger year-to-date performance, the portfolio-simplification announcement, and upwardly revised guidance collectively suggest more favorable momentum and a clearer catalyst path than AGCO currently presents. That said, this is a probabilistic assessment rather than a definitive forecast: CNH's elevated valuation leaves less margin for error, and any delay in the construction-division transaction or renewed weakness in agricultural demand could shift the balance. The AI's lean toward CNH reflects momentum and catalyst strength, not a judgment that AGCO lacks long-term merit.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a StrongBuy and CNH is a StrongBuy.
AGCO's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for AGCO moved out of oversold territory on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 76%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AGCO as a result. In 65 of 94 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGCO just turned positive on October 29, 2026. Looking at past instances where AGCO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
Following a +5.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGCO advanced for three days, in 199 of 320 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 64 cases where AGCO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
AGCO moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AGCO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGCO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
AGCO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AGCO entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AGCO’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.895) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (15.254) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.931) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.847) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGCO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for CNH turns positive, indicating new upward trend
CNH saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 92 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 71 of the 92 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNH's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CNH just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where CNH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +13.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNH advanced for three days, in 175 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 44 of 63 cases where CNH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
CNH moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CNH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
CNH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for CNH entered a downward trend on November 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 7 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 68 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.397) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (46.240) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.362) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.926) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
AGCO | CNH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 98 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 61 | 85 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 7 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (53) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (68). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (98) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (100). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (61) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (85). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (44). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (79). This means that CNH’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | CNH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 60% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 63% | 8 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 78% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while CNH’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- CNH’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNH’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- CNH’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а +1.10% price change this week, while CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was +6.40% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was +6.57%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.34%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Feb 09, 2027.
CNH is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (+6.57% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | -4.16% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 77% Closely correlated | -2.93% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
| LNN - CNH | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.84% | ||
| ASTE - CNH | 50% Loosely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| CAT - CNH | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.61% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
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| SKF | 22.07 | 0.33 | +1.53% |
| ProShares UltraShort Financials (SKF) | |||
| BBHY | 44.13 | -0.20 | -0.46% |
| JPMorgan BetaBuilders USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (BBHY) | |||
| BBCA | 103.85 | -0.67 | -0.64% |
| JPMorgan BetaBuilders Canada ETF (BBCA) | |||
| GDMA | 39.49 | -0.47 | -1.18% |
| Gadsden Dynamic Multi-Asset ETF (GDMA) | |||
| PJIO | 57.38 | -1.13 | -1.94% |
| PGIM Jennison Focused International Equity ETF (PJIO) | |||