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AGCO vs CNH
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AGCO Corporation (AGCO) vs. CNH Industrial (CNH) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and CNH Industrial (CNH) both operate in the agricultural equipment sector, facing similar cyclical demand pressures from farm economics and input costs.
- Recent market activity shows AGCO experiencing sharper price declines following second-quarter 2026 earnings that missed expectations and prompted reduced full-year guidance.
- CNH Industrial (CNH) maintains a larger market capitalization and broader exposure across agriculture and construction segments compared to AGCO’s more focused agricultural machinery portfolio.
- Relative performance over recent weeks highlights contrasts in margin stability and geographic diversification, with both companies navigating subdued demand in key markets.
- Sector sentiment remains cautious amid broader agricultural spending trends, influencing investor positioning in these equipment manufacturers.
- Valuation metrics and fundamental scores from analytical platforms indicate varying degrees of attractiveness, supporting differentiated risk-reward profiles for each stock.
Introduction
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) and CNH Industrial (CNH) represent two prominent players in the global agricultural machinery industry, making their stocks a relevant comparison for investors and traders seeking exposure to farm equipment demand cycles. This analysis examines their business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning to assist those evaluating relative opportunities within the industrials sector. Professionals monitoring agribusiness trends and retail investors assessing cyclical equities may find the comparison useful for portfolio construction or sector rotation strategies.
AGCO Overview and Recent Performance
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) designs, manufactures, and distributes agricultural equipment under brands including Fendt, Massey Ferguson, and Valtra, emphasizing precision agriculture technologies. In recent weeks, the stock encountered notable pressure after the company reported second-quarter 2026 results that fell short of analyst expectations on revenue and prompted a significant reduction in full-year outlook. This development contributed to immediate price declines exceeding 8% in some sessions, reflecting investor concerns over demand softness and margin compression in a challenging farm economy. Broader market activity has shown AGCO exhibiting higher volatility tied to earnings announcements, with year-to-date returns remaining modest amid sector headwinds.
CNH Overview and Recent Performance
CNH Industrial (CNH) produces agricultural machinery through Case IH and New Holland brands while also maintaining a construction equipment segment, operating across numerous global markets with a larger overall scale. Recent market activity indicates more measured price movements compared to peers, supported by its diversified revenue streams that include parts, services, and financial offerings. The company has navigated similar demand pressures in agriculture without the same level of guidance adjustments highlighted in recent competitor reports, contributing to relatively steadier sentiment. Market capitalization remains higher than AGCO’s, and performance over recent weeks has reflected ongoing sector caution rather than acute negative catalysts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AGCO Corporation (AGCO) operates as a more concentrated agricultural equipment provider with strong emphasis on precision technologies, whereas CNH Industrial (CNH) benefits from additional construction equipment exposure that can offset agricultural cyclicality. Growth drivers differ in emphasis: AGCO focuses on smart farming solutions for mid-sized operations, while CNH leverages scale in both ag and non-ag segments across broader geographies. Recent momentum favors CNH’s relative stability, as AGCO encountered sharper post-earnings reactions tied to guidance revisions. Risk factors include AGCO’s higher sensitivity to earnings misses versus CNH’s larger debt load and diversified but lower-margin construction business. Market sentiment in recent weeks has treated both stocks cautiously within the equipment sector, though analytical platforms note differences in valuation multiples and fundamental scores that highlight trade-offs between focused exposure and scale.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings reaction patterns, and relative positioning within the agricultural equipment sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favor to AGCO Corporation (AGCO). This assessment stems from indications of potential undervaluation following recent price adjustments and alignment with certain quantitative signals, though outcomes remain subject to evolving market conditions and sector data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGCO is a Buy and CNH is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGCO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileCNH’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGCO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- CNH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGCO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CNH’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGCO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- CNH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGCO (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -15.72% price change this week, while CNH (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -8.07% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.17%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.07%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGCO is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
CNH is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.97% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
| AGCO | CNH | AGCO / CNH | |
| Capitalization | 7.15B | 12.7B | 56% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 2.6B | 43% |
| Gain YTD | -1.614 | 12.244 | -13% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.13 | 32.03 | 44% |
| Revenue | 10.3B | 18.1B | 57% |
| Total Cash | 573M | 1.6B | 36% |
| Total Debt | 2.84B | 26.2B | 11% |
AGCO | CNH | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 53 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | 20 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 63 | 86 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 72 | 69 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 100 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 17 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGCO's Valuation (18) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (20). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (100). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
AGCO's SMR Rating (63) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CNH (86). This means that AGCO’s stock grew similarly to CNH’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's Price Growth Rating (69) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as AGCO (72). This means that CNH’s stock grew similarly to AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
CNH's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for AGCO (100). This means that CNH’s stock grew significantly faster than AGCO’s over the last 12 months.
| AGCO | CNH | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 72% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 61% | 12 days ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 77% |
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AGCO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGCO has been closely correlated with CNH. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGCO jumps, then CNH could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AGCO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AGCO | 100% | -4.64% | ||
| CNH - AGCO | 76% Closely correlated | -0.68% | ||
| DE - AGCO | 70% Closely correlated | -1.13% | ||
| ALG - AGCO | 60% Loosely correlated | +0.79% | ||
| TEX - AGCO | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| PCAR - AGCO | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
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CNH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CNH has been closely correlated with AGCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CNH jumps, then AGCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CNH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CNH | 100% | -0.68% | ||
| AGCO - CNH | 76% Closely correlated | -4.64% | ||
| DE - CNH | 72% Closely correlated | -1.13% | ||
| OSK - CNH | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.36% | ||
| TEX - CNH | 60% Loosely correlated | +1.00% | ||
| PCAR - CNH | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
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