CRGY
Price
$11.03
Change
-$0.56 (-4.84%)
Updated
Jun 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
3.64B
55 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PBR
Price
$17.32
Change
-$1.06 (-5.77%)
Updated
Jun 15, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
112.12B
52 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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CRGY vs PBR

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Which Stock Would AI Choose? Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) vs. Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • CRGY delivered approximately 49% YTD returns through early May 2026, driven by record Q1 production in key U.S. basins, though recent weeks saw pullbacks amid broader energy sector volatility.
  • PBR outperformed with over 72% YTD gains, bolstered by strong production ramps in Brazil's pre-salt fields and high dividend yield near 7%, but faces geopolitical and regulatory risks.
  • Both stocks benefit from elevated oil prices, but PBR's integrated model provides refining margins, while CRGY focuses on upstream growth via acquisitions.
  • CRGY trades at a smaller market cap ($4.1B) with higher volatility, contrasting PBR's $131B scale and lower P/E ratio (around 6.7).
  • Recent analyst upgrades favor both for relative performance in oil & gas sector, with average price targets implying 20-30% upside.
  • AI models highlight PBR's superior momentum and cash flow stability in current market positioning.

Introduction

This stock comparison examines CRGY and PBR, two energy firms navigating volatile oil markets. CRGY, a U.S.-focused explorer and producer, contrasts with PBR, Brazil's state-influenced integrated major. Traders seeking upstream exposure may eye CRGY's growth in Permian and Eagle Ford basins, while investors favoring dividends and scale might prefer PBR's pre-salt output and refining operations. In recent market activity, both have shown resilience amid commodity swings, offering insights into relative performance, sector risks, and positioning for oil price trends.

CRGY Overview and Recent Performance

Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is an independent exploration and production (E&P) firm targeting crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta basins. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, it emphasizes acquisition-driven growth and owns extensive mineral and royalty interests across U.S. basins.

In recent market activity, CRGY shares traded around $12.40, within a 52-week range of $7.68-$14.29. Year-to-date gains reached about 49%, with 1-year returns near 56%, outperforming broader indices but facing pullbacks in recent weeks amid energy sector rotation. Q1 2026 results highlighted record production of approximately 341 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), up significantly year-over-year, alongside adjusted EBITDA of $690 million. Influences include Permian synergies, strong free cash flow generation nearing $629 million TTM (trailing twelve months), and a dividend yield of 3.9%. Sentiment reflects optimism on operational efficiency, tempered by high debt levels (debt-to-equity over 110%) and commodity price sensitivity.

PBR Overview and Recent Performance

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) is a state-controlled integrated energy giant exploring, producing, refining, and marketing oil and gas globally, with core operations in Brazil's offshore pre-salt fields. It spans exploration & production, refining/transport/marketing, and gas/low-carbon energies segments from Rio de Janeiro.

Recent trading placed PBR shares near $20.33, in a 52-week span of $11.04-$22.24. YTD performance exceeded 72%, with 1-year returns over 89%, reflecting robust momentum despite short-term dips. Key drivers include new FPSO (floating production storage and offloading) startups like P-79 at Búzios field, boosting output records, and approvals for Santos Basin unitizations. A high dividend yield around 7.2% supports returns, with TTM P/E at 6.7 and market cap over $131 billion. Sentiment benefits from production growth and sustainability recognitions, offset by Brazilian political risks and refining margin fluctuations.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

CRGY and PBR both thrive in oil & gas but diverge in scale and structure. CRGY's upstream-only model drives growth via U.S. shale acquisitions, yielding high inventory in low-decline assets but exposing it to drilling costs and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) price swings. PBR's integrated operations hedge via refining margins and global exports, with pre-salt catalysts offering long-term reserves, though state control introduces policy risks.

Momentum favors PBR's superior YTD/1Y gains (72%/90% vs. 49%/56%), reflecting scale advantages. Risk profiles differ: CRGY shows higher beta and leverage, while PBR provides stability through diversification. Sector exposure aligns on oil but PBR adds low-carbon initiatives. Market sentiment leans bullish for both amid OPEC+ dynamics, with PBR's cash flows and dividends contrasting CRGY's FCF (free cash flow) growth potential—trade-offs between U.S. purity and international breadth.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI analysis currently favors PBR for its trend consistency, higher relative YTD momentum, robust production catalysts like FPSO ramps, and superior stability via integrated operations and dividends. Observable factors include stronger 1-year positioning and lower valuation multiples, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in sustained oil environments above $70/barrel, though CRGY holds appeal for aggressive U.S. shale plays.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.

VS
CRGY vs. PBR commentary
Jun 16, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CRGY is a Hold and PBR is a Hold.

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 16, 2026
Stock price -- (CRGY: $11.02 vs. PBR: $18.38)
Brand notoriety: CRGY: Not notable vs. PBR: Notable
CRGY represents the Oil & Gas Production, while PBR is part of the Integrated Oil industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: CRGY: 80% vs. PBR: 56%
Market capitalization -- CRGY: $3.64B vs. PBR: $112.12B
CRGY [@Oil & Gas Production] is valued at $3.64B. PBR’s [@Integrated Oil] market capitalization is $112.12B. The market cap for tickers in the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry ranges from $136.77B to $0. The market cap for tickers in the [@Integrated Oil] industry ranges from $584.11B to $0. The average market capitalization across the [@Oil & Gas Production] industry is $9.88B. The average market capitalization across the [@Integrated Oil] industry is $114.53B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

CRGY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).

  • CRGY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
  • PBR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, PBR is a better buy in the long-term than CRGY.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

CRGY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • CRGY’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • PBR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, PBR is a better buy in the short-term than CRGY.

Price Growth

CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -6.37% price change this week, while PBR (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.55% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.51%.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.

Reported Earning Dates

CRGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.

PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil & Gas Production (-5.71% weekly)

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

@Integrated Oil (-4.77% weekly)

Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
PBR($112B) has a higher market cap than CRGY($3.64B). CRGY has higher P/E ratio than PBR: CRGY (25.39) vs PBR (5.40). PBR YTD gains are higher at: 52.193 vs. CRGY (33.925). PBR has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 250B vs. CRGY (1.26B). PBR has more cash in the bank: 47.6B vs. CRGY (9.78M). CRGY has less debt than PBR: CRGY (5.37B) vs PBR (372B). PBR has higher revenues than CRGY: PBR (489B) vs CRGY (3.81B).
CRGYPBRCRGY / PBR
Capitalization3.64B112B3%
EBITDA1.26B250B1%
Gain YTD33.92552.19365%
P/E Ratio25.395.40470%
Revenue3.81B489B1%
Total Cash9.78M47.6B0%
Total Debt5.37B372B1%
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
PBR: Fundamental Ratings
PBR
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
70
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
18
Undervalued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
5
SMR RATING
1..100
39
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
42
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
87
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
50

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
CRGYPBR
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
62%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
83%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
54%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
77%
Bearish Trend 8 days ago
57%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
78%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
77%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
48%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 28 days ago
78%
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
80%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 20 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 11 days ago
59%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 4 days ago
83%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
40%
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CRGY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
PBR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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PBR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PBR
1D Price
Change %
PBR100%
-5.66%
BP - PBR
62%
Loosely correlated
-2.78%
SHEL - PBR
60%
Loosely correlated
-3.56%
SU - PBR
58%
Loosely correlated
-3.17%
EQNR - PBR
57%
Loosely correlated
-5.31%
CRGY - PBR
57%
Loosely correlated
-4.84%
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