This stock comparison examines CRGY and PBR, two energy firms navigating volatile oil markets. CRGY, a U.S.-focused explorer and producer, contrasts with PBR, Brazil's state-influenced integrated major. Traders seeking upstream exposure may eye CRGY's growth in Permian and Eagle Ford basins, while investors favoring dividends and scale might prefer PBR's pre-salt output and refining operations. In recent market activity, both have shown resilience amid commodity swings, offering insights into relative performance, sector risks, and positioning for oil price trends.
Crescent Energy Company (CRGY) is an independent exploration and production (E&P) firm targeting crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs primarily in the Eagle Ford, Permian, and Uinta basins. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, it emphasizes acquisition-driven growth and owns extensive mineral and royalty interests across U.S. basins.
In recent market activity, CRGY shares traded around $12.40, within a 52-week range of $7.68-$14.29. Year-to-date gains reached about 49%, with 1-year returns near 56%, outperforming broader indices but facing pullbacks in recent weeks amid energy sector rotation. Q1 2026 results highlighted record production of approximately 341 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (MBoe/d), up significantly year-over-year, alongside adjusted EBITDA of $690 million. Influences include Permian synergies, strong free cash flow generation nearing $629 million TTM (trailing twelve months), and a dividend yield of 3.9%. Sentiment reflects optimism on operational efficiency, tempered by high debt levels (debt-to-equity over 110%) and commodity price sensitivity.
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras (PBR) is a state-controlled integrated energy giant exploring, producing, refining, and marketing oil and gas globally, with core operations in Brazil's offshore pre-salt fields. It spans exploration & production, refining/transport/marketing, and gas/low-carbon energies segments from Rio de Janeiro.
Recent trading placed PBR shares near $20.33, in a 52-week span of $11.04-$22.24. YTD performance exceeded 72%, with 1-year returns over 89%, reflecting robust momentum despite short-term dips. Key drivers include new FPSO (floating production storage and offloading) startups like P-79 at Búzios field, boosting output records, and approvals for Santos Basin unitizations. A high dividend yield around 7.2% supports returns, with TTM P/E at 6.7 and market cap over $131 billion. Sentiment benefits from production growth and sustainability recognitions, offset by Brazilian political risks and refining margin fluctuations.
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CRGY and PBR both thrive in oil & gas but diverge in scale and structure. CRGY's upstream-only model drives growth via U.S. shale acquisitions, yielding high inventory in low-decline assets but exposing it to drilling costs and WTI (West Texas Intermediate) price swings. PBR's integrated operations hedge via refining margins and global exports, with pre-salt catalysts offering long-term reserves, though state control introduces policy risks.
Momentum favors PBR's superior YTD/1Y gains (72%/90% vs. 49%/56%), reflecting scale advantages. Risk profiles differ: CRGY shows higher beta and leverage, while PBR provides stability through diversification. Sector exposure aligns on oil but PBR adds low-carbon initiatives. Market sentiment leans bullish for both amid OPEC+ dynamics, with PBR's cash flows and dividends contrasting CRGY's FCF (free cash flow) growth potential—trade-offs between U.S. purity and international breadth.
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently favors PBR for its trend consistency, higher relative YTD momentum, robust production catalysts like FPSO ramps, and superior stability via integrated operations and dividends. Observable factors include stronger 1-year positioning and lower valuation multiples, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in sustained oil environments above $70/barrel, though CRGY holds appeal for aggressive U.S. shale plays.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CRGY’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePBR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CRGY’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PBR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
CRGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -6.37% price change this week, while PBR (@Integrated Oil) price change was +3.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -5.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.89%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.51%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -4.77%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +27.22%.
CRGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 10, 2026.
PBR is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
@Integrated Oil (-4.77% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| CRGY | PBR | CRGY / PBR | |
| Capitalization | 3.64B | 112B | 3% |
| EBITDA | 1.26B | 250B | 1% |
| Gain YTD | 33.925 | 52.193 | 65% |
| P/E Ratio | 25.39 | 5.40 | 470% |
| Revenue | 3.81B | 489B | 1% |
| Total Cash | 9.78M | 47.6B | 0% |
| Total Debt | 5.37B | 372B | 1% |
PBR | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 18 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CRGY | PBR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 8 days ago 54% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 8 days ago 57% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 28 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 74% | 11 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 40% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PBR has been loosely correlated with BP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PBR jumps, then BP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PBR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PBR | 100% | -5.66% | ||
| BP - PBR | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| SHEL - PBR | 60% Loosely correlated | -3.56% | ||
| SU - PBR | 58% Loosely correlated | -3.17% | ||
| EQNR - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -5.31% | ||
| CRGY - PBR | 57% Loosely correlated | -4.84% | ||
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