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CVNA vs SE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Carvana Co. (CVNA) vs. Sea Limited (SE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CVNA is a U.S. online used-car retailer that delivered record 2025 results, including 43% unit growth and its first year of substantial profitability, and was added to the S&P 500 index.
- SE is a Singapore-based consumer internet company spanning e-commerce (Shopee), digital financial services (SeaMoney/Monee), and gaming (Garena), with 2025 revenue up 36%.
- Both names posted strong top-line momentum in recent periods, but investor sentiment diverged sharply: CVNA was rewarded for margin expansion, while SE sold off after an earnings-per-share (EPS) miss.
- CVNA's story is a high-multiple, single-market turnaround; SE offers diversified, emerging-market growth but carries higher execution and competitive risk.
- The two companies operate in entirely different sectors, making this a contrast between a U.S. consumer-cyclical disruptor and a broad Southeast Asia and Latin America digital platform.
Introduction
Comparing CVNA and SE is less about direct rivalry than about two very different growth narratives. Carvana (CVNA) has evolved from a distressed online auto retailer into a profitable, index-included e-commerce platform, while Sea Limited (SE) runs a diversified portfolio of e-commerce, fintech, and gaming businesses across fast-growing markets. Growth-oriented investors weighing relative performance, market positioning, and risk exposure may find this stock comparison useful, as the two companies illustrate contrasting paths to scale: a focused U.S. turnaround versus a broad, multi-segment emerging-market operator. Understanding their recent momentum and structural differences can clarify which profile better fits a given portfolio objective.
CVNA Overview and Recent Performance
CVNA, the online used-vehicle retailer headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, has been among the market's more notable turnaround stories. The company sells and finances cars almost entirely online, supported by a national reconditioning and logistics network. In its most recent full fiscal year, Carvana sold 596,641 retail units, up 43% year over year, generating record revenue of roughly $20.3 billion, up 49%. Net income reached about $1.9 billion, and Adjusted EBITDA (a measure of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, and certain non-cash items) climbed to $2.2 billion, an 11% margin.
Recent market activity has reinforced this momentum. Carvana's inclusion in the S&P 500 index attracted passive institutional capital and lifted its market capitalization past $100 billion for the first time. Sentiment has been driven by margin expansion, aggressive unit growth, and management's long-term target of reaching 3 million retail units annually at a 13.5% Adjusted EBITDA margin by 2030–2035. Countervailing considerations include a subprime-leaning customer base, an elevated forward valuation, and periodic insider selling, which some investors view as signals of a fully priced stock.
SE Overview and Recent Performance
SE, or Sea Limited, is a Singapore-headquartered consumer internet company operating three segments: Shopee (e-commerce), SeaMoney/Monee (digital financial services), and Garena (digital entertainment). In its latest full fiscal year, Sea generated revenue of approximately $22.9 billion, up 36% year over year, with net income rising to about $1.6 billion and Adjusted EBITDA up 75% to $3.4 billion. Shopee served roughly 400 million active buyers, while Monee's loan book expanded rapidly and Garena averaged more than 100 million daily players.
Despite record results, Sea's shares declined sharply in recent weeks after its quarterly report, as diluted EPS came in below consensus and management guided to roughly 25% Shopee gross merchandise value (GMV) growth for 2026. The reaction highlights how sensitive Sea's valuation is to profitability and near-term growth expectations. Broader investor sentiment has been shaped by competitive pressures in Southeast Asia e-commerce, credit-risk management in a fast-growing loan portfolio, and the ongoing balance between reinvestment and margin preservation.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast is business model concentration. CVNA is a single-product, single-geography operator whose fortunes hinge on the U.S. used-car market, financing conditions, and used-vehicle pricing. SE, by contrast, is diversified across e-commerce, fintech, and gaming in multiple emerging markets, which can smooth volatility but also introduces currency, regulatory, and competitive complexity.
On growth drivers, CVNA is scaling unit volume and improving unit economics in a large but slower-growing U.S. market, while SE is monetizing higher-growth digital economies. Recent momentum has favored CVNA, whose shares have benefited from profitability inflection and index inclusion, whereas SE's post-earnings pullback reflected profit-expectation disappointment despite strong revenue. From a risk standpoint, CVNA's leverage is a subprime-heavy credit book and a rich multiple; SE's risks include e-commerce competition, a rapidly expanding loan portfolio, and execution on its 2026 GMV guidance. Sentiment thus rewards CVNA's clarity and margin story while demanding more proof from SE on profitability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability of catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor CVNA in the current environment. CVNA has exhibited a more sustained uptrend, backed by record unit economics, profitability, and a recent index-inclusion catalyst, whereas SE's momentum has been disrupted by an earnings miss and softer forward guidance. That said, the verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: SE's diversified growth and depressed valuation could re-rate if it demonstrates durable profitability. The AI's preference reflects current trend quality and momentum, not a prediction of long-term fundamental superiority.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVNA is a Hold and SE is a Hold.
CVNA's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVNA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in 268 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
CVNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVNA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
CVNA moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for CVNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for CVNA entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 71 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (10.811) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.313). P/E Ratio (31.995) is within average values for comparable stocks, (44.786). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.007) among similar stocks. CVNA's P/S Ratio (2.960) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.919).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
SE's RSI Indicator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for SE moved out of oversold territory on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 36 of the 43 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 84%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 50 of 61 cases where SE's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SE as a result. In 64 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SE just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where SE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +0.71% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SE advanced for three days, in 255 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for SE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The Aroon Indicator for SE entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.693) is normal, around the industry mean (56.916). P/E Ratio (38.189) is within average values for comparable stocks, (37.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.951) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.379) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
CVNA | SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 70 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 78 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVNA's Valuation (71) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as SE (80) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as SE (100) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew similarly to SE’s over the last 12 months.
CVNA's SMR Rating (19) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SE (58) in the Internet Software Or Services industry. This means that CVNA’s stock grew somewhat faster than SE’s over the last 12 months.
SE's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as CVNA (78) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
SE's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Internet Software Or Services industry is in the same range as CVNA (98) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that SE’s stock grew similarly to CVNA’s over the last 12 months.
| CVNA | SE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 24 days ago 85% | 9 days ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 83% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SE’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVNA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SE’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CVNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- SE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а -4.08% price change this week, while SE (@Internet Retail) price change was +4.96% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -0.72%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -3.76%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was -22.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
SE is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-0.72% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
@Internet Retail (-3.76% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | +4.59% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | +6.82% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | +5.53% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +7.54% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +7.45% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | +4.85% | ||
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