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CVNA vs XLY
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CVNA is a Hold and XLY is a Hold.
CVNA in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for CVNA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CVNA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Aroon Indicator for CVNA entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVNA's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 56 cases where CVNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +1.55% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVNA advanced for three days, in 268 of 332 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
CVNA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CVNA's P/B Ratio (10.579) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.320). P/E Ratio (26.495) is within average values for comparable stocks, (11.107). CVNA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. CVNA's P/S Ratio (2.960) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.919).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. CVNA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
XLY's RSI Indicator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for XLY moved out of oversold territory on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 34 of the 36 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on XLY as a result. In 72 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for XLY just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where XLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
XLY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +0.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XLY advanced for three days, in 278 of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
XLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for XLY entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
CVNA | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 73 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 94 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CVNA | XLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 22 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 84% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CVNA’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while .
- CVNA’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CVNA’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish.
- CVNA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CVNA (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а +2.12% price change this weekfor the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -4.07%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.96%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.76%.
Reported Earning Dates
CVNA is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-4.07% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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CVNA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVNA has been loosely correlated with W. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVNA jumps, then W could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVNA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVNA | 100% | -0.79% | ||
| W - CVNA | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.16% | ||
| JMIA - CVNA | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.01% | ||
| ETSY - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +4.12% | ||
| RVLV - CVNA | 57% Loosely correlated | +3.09% | ||
| GLBE - CVNA | 55% Loosely correlated | +0.46% | ||
More | ||||
XLY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XLY has been loosely correlated with CCL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if XLY jumps, then CCL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To XLY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XLY | 100% | -0.45% | ||
| CCL - XLY | 59% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| HD - XLY | 58% Loosely correlated | +4.33% | ||
| NCLH - XLY | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.32% | ||
| MHK - XLY | 54% Loosely correlated | +9.03% | ||
| CVNA - XLY | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TENM | 28.00 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares Large Cap 10% Target Buffer Mar ETF (TENM) | |||
| RINT | 31.72 | -0.28 | -0.89% |
| International Developed Equity ETF (RINT) | |||
| GQGU | 24.69 | -0.89 | -3.48% |
| GQG US Equity ETF (GQGU) | |||
| SIL | 75.99 | -5.41 | -6.65% |
| Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) | |||
| POEL | 3.60 | -0.50 | -12.20% |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long POET ETF | |||