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DKS vs HD
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) vs. The Home Depot (HD) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DKS reported a 62.7% year-over-year sales increase in Q1 2026, driven primarily by the Foot Locker acquisition, while HD posted a more modest 4.8% sales rise with comparable-store sales up 0.6%.
- Recent market activity shows DKS shares trading near $223 after volatility tied to integration costs, compared to HD closing around $336 amid broader retail sector pressures.
- DKS lowered its full-year profit outlook due to margin pressures from the acquisition, whereas HD reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance of 2.5% to 4.5% total sales growth.
- DKS benefits from athletic retail tailwinds and loyalty program enhancements, while HD emphasizes pro-customer expansion and delivery initiatives amid housing market softness.
- Sector exposure differs notably: DKS is concentrated in sporting goods and apparel, contrasting with HD’s position in home improvement and professional services.
- Relative performance reflects trade-offs between DKS’s acquisition-driven growth and HD’s scale and dividend stability in the current environment.
Introduction
This comparison examines DKS and HD, two established retailers operating in distinct consumer discretionary segments. Dick's Sporting Goods focuses on athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment, while The Home Depot serves the home improvement and construction markets. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors evaluating relative performance, sector-specific momentum, and risk profiles amid evolving retail dynamics. It highlights observable trends in sales, margins, and market positioning without forecasting outcomes.
DKS Overview and Recent Performance
Dick's Sporting Goods operates as a leading sporting goods retailer with an extensive store network and e-commerce presence. In recent weeks, the company integrated its Foot Locker acquisition, which boosted consolidated net sales by 62.7% year-over-year in the first quarter of fiscal 2026. Stock behavior reflected volatility linked to integration expenses, with shares trading in the low-to-mid $220 range after earlier gains. Sentiment has been influenced by strong demand for sneakers and apparel alongside margin pressures from the acquired business. The firm also enhanced its ScoreCard loyalty program with a new paid tier, aiming to deepen customer engagement during this period of transition.
HD Overview and Recent Performance
The Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer, with significant scale in both consumer and professional channels. Recent market activity shows modest comparable sales growth of 0.6% in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, supported by total sales of $41.8 billion. Shares have experienced downward pressure, closing near $336 amid broader market movements and housing-related caution. The company reaffirmed its annual sales growth guidance and continues to expand pro-focused services and delivery options, including initiatives for military families. Performance has been shaped by steady demand in core categories despite softer housing market conditions.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DKS and HD differ fundamentally in business models: the former centers on discretionary athletic and lifestyle products, while the latter serves essential home repair and professional construction needs. Growth drivers for DKS include acquisition synergies and loyalty initiatives, contrasting with HD’s emphasis on distribution expansion and comparable-store stability. Recent momentum favors DKS on headline sales growth but highlights integration risks, whereas HD demonstrates resilience through reaffirmed guidance amid sector headwinds. Risk factors for DKS involve acquisition-related margin compression; HD faces exposure to housing cycles and interest-rate sensitivity. Market sentiment reflects these trade-offs, with both stocks navigating retail volatility from different starting points.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to HD due to its demonstrated stability in guidance reaffirmation and scale advantages. DKS shows stronger near-term sales momentum from structural changes but carries elevated integration variability. This assessment draws from recent earnings patterns and sector resilience metrics rather than forward projections.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DKS is a Buy and HD is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DKS’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileHD’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DKS’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- HD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DKS’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DKS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- HD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DKS (@Specialty Stores) experienced а -5.64% price change this week, while HD (@Home Improvement Chains) price change was -3.86% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Specialty Stores industry was +3.19%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.72%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.68%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Home Improvement Chains industry was -0.71%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.37%.
Reported Earning Dates
DKS is expected to report earnings on Aug 25, 2026.
HD is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Specialty Stores (+3.19% weekly)The specialty stores sector includes companies dedicated to the sale of retail products focused on a single product category, such as clothing, carpet, books, or office supplies. A specialty store could face intense competition from big-box departmental chains, and therefore offering an adequate collection of the product type it specializes in is key in maintaining/growing its market.
@Home Improvement Chains (-0.71% weekly)The home improvement chains industry sells home improvement merchandise and do-it-yourself repair and building goods. Customers include individual contractors or construction managers on one hand; on the other hand, there are retail consumers who’d either buy raw materials/items from the store to do a project on their own, or pay extra for installation services. Products sold include fencing supplies, lumber materials, hardware, lighting fixtures, plumbing supplies, home decor items, bathroom remodel items, roofing materials, tools and wallboard to name a few. The Home Depot Inc., Lowe’s Companies, Inc. and Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. are some of the biggest home improvement retailing companies in the U.S. Allowing all types of customers the flexibility to choose or buy products both offline and online and then having the products shipped to the respective sites/homes are some of the potential drivers of a home improvement chain’s popularity. Many big-box home improvement chains are looking to expand their overseas presence. Supply-chain efficiency and distribution management are some of the key ingredients to grow/make profit in this industry.
| DKS | HD | DKS / HD | |
| Capitalization | 19.3B | 336B | 6% |
| EBITDA | 1.86B | 25.1B | 7% |
| Gain YTD | 10.489 | -0.637 | -1,647% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.04 | 23.94 | 88% |
| Revenue | 19.2B | 167B | 11% |
| Total Cash | 998M | 1.6B | 62% |
| Total Debt | 7.79B | 63.2B | 12% |
DKS | HD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 23 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 54 Fair valued | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 11 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 52 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 22 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 41 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DKS's Valuation (54) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as HD (71) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that DKS’s stock grew similarly to HD’s over the last 12 months.
DKS's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HD (70) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that DKS’s stock grew somewhat faster than HD’s over the last 12 months.
HD's SMR Rating (11) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DKS (44) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew somewhat faster than DKS’s over the last 12 months.
HD's Price Growth Rating (52) in the Home Improvement Chains industry is in the same range as DKS (52) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that HD’s stock grew similarly to DKS’s over the last 12 months.
DKS's P/E Growth Rating (22) in the Specialty Stores industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HD (56) in the Home Improvement Chains industry. This means that DKS’s stock grew somewhat faster than HD’s over the last 12 months.
| DKS | HD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 52% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 55% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 56% |
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DKS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DKS has been loosely correlated with FND. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if DKS jumps, then FND could also see price increases.