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DUK vs EVRG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. Evergy (EVRG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: DUK is a far larger regulated utility, backed by a $103 billion capital plan, while EVRG runs a more concentrated Kansas–Missouri footprint with a $21.6 billion plan.
- Growth profile: Evergy's 6%–8%+ long-term EPS (earnings per share) target slightly outpaces Duke's 5%–7% range, reflecting a smaller base and faster data-center-led load growth.
- Momentum: EVRG has outperformed in recent months, while DUK has traded more defensively amid heavy capital spending and rate-case activity.
- Income appeal: Both offer comparable dividend yields, but Duke's century-long dividend record adds a distinct stability attribute.
- Risk mix: Duke carries greater execution scale, while Evergy faces more concentrated customer and regulatory exposure.
Introduction
Utilities have re-entered the market spotlight as power demand from data centers, advanced manufacturing, and electrification accelerates. This stock comparison examines two regulated electric utilities at different points on that spectrum: Duke Energy (DUK), a diversified Southeastern and Midwestern operator, and Evergy (EVRG), a focused Kansas and Missouri provider. Traders evaluating relative performance, growth durability, and market positioning may find this comparison useful, whether they seek defensive income, exposure to contracted large-load growth, or a clearer read on how AI-driven tools assess the two names.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy is one of the largest regulated utilities in the United States, serving roughly 7.9 million electric customers across the Carolinas, Florida, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky, plus a gas distribution business. In recent weeks, its share price has hovered near the low-$120s with only modest year-to-date movement, a pattern consistent with a large, mature utility absorbing significant capital commitments.
Sentiment has been shaped by Duke's record $103 billion five-year capital plan, the largest regulated plan in the sector, and by its execution on contracted data-center demand. Management has reported electric service agreements totaling roughly 7.8 gigawatts, with a late-stage pipeline near 15.4 gigawatts and $5–10 billion of potential upside to the capital plan. Recent earnings beat consensus, supported by infrastructure cost recovery and favorable weather, and the company reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $6.55–$6.80 with 5%–7% growth through 2030. Rate-case activity and a high debt load remain watchpoints.
EVRG Overview and Recent Performance
Evergy is a substantially smaller regulated electric utility serving about 1.7 million customers in Kansas and Missouri. Its recent market activity has been more assertive, with the stock advancing by double digits on a year-to-date basis and reaching the low-$80s, reflecting investor enthusiasm for its accelerating load-growth story.
The company has signed five electric service agreements covering roughly 2.5 gigawatts of data-center peak load, reaching about 3 gigawatts when the Panasonic electric-vehicle battery plant is included, and it anticipates at least one additional agreement in 2026. Weather-normalized demand grew 4.7% in its most recent quarter, led by industrial and commercial gains. Evergy reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.14–$4.34 and a 6%–8%+ long-term growth target, projecting rate-base growth near 11.5% through 2030. Analysts have trimmed some price targets amid valuation and concentration considerations, though consensus remains constructive.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies diverge most sharply on scale and growth trajectory. DUK offers diversification across multiple regulatory jurisdictions and fuel types, including the nation's largest regulated nuclear fleet, but its size means data-center demand contributes incrementally to an already large base. EVRG presents a more concentrated bet on Midwestern load growth, where contracted large-load demand is meaningful enough to lift its long-term EPS growth target above Duke's.
On momentum, Evergy has been the stronger relative performer in recent market activity, though its premium valuation and single-region concentration add risk. Duke trades at a more measured multiple with broader downside protection but faces heavier near-term capital and rate-case execution. For income investors, the two are closely matched on dividend yield, but Duke's 100-year record of consecutive quarterly dividends underscores a longer stability history. In short, DUK leans toward defensive scale, while EVRG skews toward higher-growth, higher-concentration positioning.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor EVRG in the current environment. The combination of stronger recent price momentum, a more established upward trend, higher long-term EPS growth guidance, and a visible pipeline of contracted data-center demand gives Evergy the more favorable relative positioning on trend consistency and catalysts. That said, DUK retains the edge on scale, diversification, and balance-sheet stability, which could appeal more under a defensive or risk-off regime. This assessment reflects probabilistic trend analysis rather than a definitive prediction, and conditions can shift as rate-case outcomes and load agreements evolve.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Buy and EVRG is a Buy.
DUK in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026
DUK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 30 of 48 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DUK as a result. In 49 of 98 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DUK just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where DUK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 23 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The 10-day moving average for DUK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +1.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DUK advanced for three days, in 168 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DUK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 41%.
DUK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for DUK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 53 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.818) is normal, around the industry mean (2.074). P/E Ratio (18.829) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.519). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.112) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.035) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.756) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DUK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
EVRG in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
EVRG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 23 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EVRG as a result. In 43 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 51%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EVRG just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where EVRG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
The 10-day moving average for EVRG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 7 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
Following a +2.52% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EVRG advanced for three days, in 174 of 354 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EVRG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 37%.
EVRG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for EVRG entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 52, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EVRG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.916) is normal, around the industry mean (2.074). P/E Ratio (21.185) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.519). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.007) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.033) settles around the average of (0.052) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.106) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
DUK | EVRG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 30 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 59 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EVRG (59). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EVRG’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EVRG (23). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EVRG’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EVRG (74). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EVRG’s over the last 12 months.
EVRG's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (55). This means that EVRG’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
EVRG's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (58). This means that EVRG’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | EVRG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 32% | 2 days ago 35% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 37% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 51% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 41% | 30 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 32% | 2 days ago 37% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 25% | 2 days ago 40% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while EVRG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EVRG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EVRG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- EVRG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +5.48% price change this week, while EVRG (@Electric Utilities) price change was +4.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.39%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.05%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
EVRG is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.39% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
EVRG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EVRG has been closely correlated with LNT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EVRG jumps, then LNT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EVRG | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EVRG | 100% | +2.16% | ||
| LNT - EVRG | 84% Closely correlated | +2.79% | ||
| PNW - EVRG | 82% Closely correlated | +2.62% | ||
| DTE - EVRG | 82% Closely correlated | +2.63% | ||
| OGE - EVRG | 81% Closely correlated | +2.02% | ||
| AEE - EVRG | 81% Closely correlated | +2.31% | ||
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