Advertisement
DUK vs EXC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. Exelon Corporation (EXC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DUK has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at 10.65% compared to EXC's 7.59%, reflecting better relative momentum in recent market activity.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields around 3.3% for DUK and 3.6% for EXC, making them suitable for income-focused investors.
- DUK's larger market capitalization of approximately $100 billion provides greater scale compared to EXC's $47.5 billion.
- Recent regulatory approvals and customer savings initiatives have bolstered sentiment for both utilities amid rising energy demands from data centers.
- DUK trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.38 versus EXC's 17.03, indicating different valuations in the sector.
- Utility sector stability positions both as defensive plays, though DUK shows edge in growth catalysts.
Introduction
This comparison examines DUK and EXC, two prominent U.S. electric utility stocks, highlighting their relative performance, valuations, and market positioning. Both operate in the regulated utilities sector, offering stability and reliable dividends amid economic uncertainty and rising power demands from AI data centers. Income-oriented investors and those seeking defensive holdings in volatile markets will find value in understanding their contrasts in scale, growth drivers, and recent trends. This analysis draws on key financial metrics and developments to aid informed stock comparisons.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is a leading energy provider serving over 8 million customers across the Southeast, Midwest, and Florida with electricity and natural gas. In recent weeks, DUK shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range (111.22-134.49), supported by positive sentiment around grid investments and data center expansions. Year-to-date gains of 10.65% have outpaced the broader market, driven by regulatory approvals for customer savings and long-term infrastructure plans. Analyst targets average around $139, signaling potential upside, while a forward dividend yield of 3.31% reinforces its appeal. Interest rate sensitivity and capital expenditure needs remain key influences on performance.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) operates as one of the largest U.S. utilities by customer count, primarily through subsidiaries like ComEd in Illinois and Pepco in the Mid-Atlantic, focusing on electric transmission and distribution. Shares have maintained stability within their 52-week range (41.71-50.65), with year-to-date returns of 7.59% amid recent dividend declarations of $0.42 per share and Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) approvals extending cost-saving measures. Efficiency programs delivering billions in customer savings have enhanced sentiment, alongside proposed bill reductions. Trading at a forward dividend yield of 3.61%, EXC benefits from regulatory tailwinds, though earnings expectations for upcoming quarters show modest declines.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page features a curated selection of 25 top-performing AI trading bots out of over 350 available, each leveraging machine learning for real-time signals across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. These bots showcase impressive stats, including annualized returns ranging from +23.53% to +163.10%, win rates of 51.30% to 88.33%, and profit factors up to 11.70. Trading styles vary from short-term (1-day holds) to longer-term (up to 49 days), with risk management like take-profit/stop-loss corridors and focus on hot sectors like semiconductors, data centers, and volatility plays. While none currently highlight DUK or EXC, the platform's hundreds of bots cover thousands of tickers with diverse strategies. Investors can explore these trending performers for automated insights tailored to current conditions.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DUK and EXC center on regulated electric utilities, ensuring predictable cash flows but exposing them to interest rate fluctuations and regulatory risks. DUK offers broader diversification with natural gas operations and a larger footprint, driving higher growth potential from Southeast data center booms, while EXC emphasizes urban density in the Northeast with strong efficiency gains. Recent momentum favors DUK with superior YTD returns and scale advantages, versus EXC's lower P/E valuation suggesting relative value. Sector exposure is similar in renewables and transmission upgrades, but DUK edges in analyst optimism. Trade-offs include EXC's higher yield against DUK's stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI models currently lean toward DUK over EXC, based on stronger trend consistency, higher year-to-date relative performance, and positive catalysts like grid expansion plans. While both exhibit low beta profiles (around 0.40) for stability, DUK's larger scale and upside to analyst targets position it favorably in the current utility environment, though outcomes depend on broader market dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and EXC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileEXC’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- EXC’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EXC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- EXC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -1.97% price change this week, while EXC (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.60% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -1.15%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.59%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.06%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-1.15% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | EXC | DUK / EXC | |
| Capitalization | 97.5B | 46B | 212% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 9.19B | 191% |
| Gain YTD | 7.615 | 4.072 | 187% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.24 | 16.48 | 117% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 24.8B | 134% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 713M | 300% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 51.2B | 178% |
DUK | EXC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 54 | 51 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 52 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 70 | 71 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EXC's Valuation (52) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (56). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (37). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (70) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (71). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (60). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (49). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | EXC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 45% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 45% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 40% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 39% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 39% | 6 days ago 44% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 29% | 1 day ago 30% |
Advertisement
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ZSC | 31.50 | 0.74 | +2.42% |
| USCF Sustainable Commodity Strategy | |||
| FRDU | 26.54 | N/A | N/A |
| Direxion Daily F Bull 2X ETF | |||
| SPMB | 22.22 | -0.09 | -0.40% |
| State Street SPDR Port Mortg Bckd Bd ETF | |||
| BGB | 11.45 | -0.06 | -0.52% |
| Blackstone Strategic Credit 2027 Term Fund | |||
| WEBL | 23.33 | -0.22 | -0.93% |
| Direxion Daily Dow Jones Int Bl 3X ETF | |||
DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.