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DUK vs PNW
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy (DUK) vs. Pinnacle West Capital (PNW) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both DUK and PNW offer compelling dividend yields near 3.3-3.5%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- PNW has outperformed with a year-to-date (YTD) return of 17.88%, compared to DUK's 10.65%.
- Valuations are similar, with trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 20 for both stocks.
- DUK benefits from its larger scale and multi-state operations, while PNW leverages growth in Arizona's Phoenix market.
- Low betas (0.40 for DUK, 0.46 for PNW) highlight their defensive profiles relative to the broader market.
- Recent dividend declarations and upcoming Q1 earnings add near-term catalysts for both.
Introduction
In the utilities sector, DUK and PNW stand out as regulated electric utility providers offering stability and income. This stock comparison examines their business models, recent performance, and market positioning amid rising energy demands from data centers and economic growth. Income-oriented investors and those seeking defensive plays in volatile markets may find value in evaluating relative performance, dividend reliability, and growth prospects between these two peers.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK), a leading U.S. energy holding company, serves millions across the Southeast and Midwest with electric and natural gas operations. With a market capitalization exceeding $100 billion, it emphasizes grid modernization and renewable integration. In recent market activity, DUK shares have traded around $128.60, reflecting a YTD gain of 10.65% amid broader sector gains. Sentiment has been supported by a recent quarterly dividend increase to $1.065 per share and announcements on long-term grid investments, including battery storage projects. However, shares dipped modestly in recent weeks due to interest rate sensitivity typical of utilities, though its low beta of 0.40 underscores stability. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 5 are anticipated to highlight operational resilience.
PNW Overview and Recent Performance
Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (PNW) operates through its Arizona Public Service subsidiary, delivering electricity to the growing Phoenix metropolitan area. Its $12.5 billion market cap reflects a focused regional strategy. Shares recently closed near $103.54, with a robust YTD return of 17.88% driven by strong local demand. Key influences include a quarterly dividend declaration of $0.91 per share and hitting a 52-week high amid Phoenix's economic expansion. Recent weeks saw positive analyst commentary on earnings potential, despite higher operating costs. With a beta of 0.46, PNW maintains a defensive stance, and Q1 results due May 4 project revenue growth of 4.64%.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both DUK and PNW operate regulated utility models, generating stable cash flows from essential services, but differ in scale and geography. DUK's diversified footprint across multiple states provides broader exposure to renewables and grid upgrades, contrasting PNW's concentrated Arizona operations benefiting from regional population and data center growth. Recent momentum favors PNW with superior YTD returns and 52-week highs, while DUK offers greater liquidity. Risk factors include interest rate fluctuations impacting dividend stocks, though low betas mitigate volatility. Sector tailwinds like AI-driven power demand support both, with market sentiment leaning positive on growth catalysts versus DUK's established stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently leans toward PNW based on stronger recent momentum, superior YTD performance, and regional growth drivers positioning it favorably in the utilities sector. While DUK excels in scale and consistency, PNW's relative outperformance suggests higher probability of near-term upside amid observable trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Buy and PNW is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePNW’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PNW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PNW’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PNW’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.60% price change this week, while PNW (@Electric Utilities) price change was +0.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
PNW is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | PNW | DUK / PNW | |
| Capitalization | 97.4B | 12.5B | 779% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 2.2B | 799% |
| Gain YTD | 8.458 | 18.807 | 45% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.23 | 19.30 | 100% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 5.46B | 608% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | 6.41M | 33,391% |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 15.1B | 604% |
DUK | PNW | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 44 Fair valued | 55 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 74 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | 29 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
DUK's Valuation (44) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PNW (55). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to PNW’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PNW (28). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to PNW’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PNW (74). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to PNW’s over the last 12 months.
PNW's Price Growth Rating (29) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (52). This means that PNW’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
PNW's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (53). This means that PNW’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | PNW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 51% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 41% | 13 days ago 48% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 28% | 2 days ago 46% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.