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ESLT vs KRMN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) vs. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ESLT is an established, globally diversified defense contractor with a record backlog of roughly $25.2 billion, while KRMN is a fast-growing, post-IPO aerospace and defense supplier with a record backlog near $1.32 billion.
- ESLT has delivered steadier, positive momentum in recent months, whereas KRMN has experienced sharp volatility, including a drawdown of more than 40% from its January 2026 peak.
- KRMN is growing revenue faster (over 50% year over year in recent quarters), but its acquisition-led strategy has pressured cash flow and raised leverage.
- ESLT trades at a premium valuation with a roughly neutral analyst consensus, while KRMN's valuation has compressed substantially from its highs.
- Both companies benefit from elevated global defense spending, but their risk profiles differ meaningfully: stability and breadth for ESLT versus higher growth and higher volatility for KRMN.
Introduction
Investors evaluating defense and aerospace equities often weigh the trade-off between an established, diversified contractor and a younger, high-growth supplier. This stock comparison examines ESLT, Elbit Systems Ltd., and KRMN, Karman Holdings Inc. (Karman Space & Defense), two companies serving elevated global defense demand but from very different positions. ESLT is a large, internationally diversified defense technology firm, while KRMN is a smaller, rapidly scaling provider of mission-critical systems for space, missile defense, and hypersonics programs. This analysis is relevant to traders assessing relative performance and to investors comparing market positioning, growth drivers, and risk across two distinct profiles within the same broad sector.
ESLT Overview and Recent Performance
ESLT, or Elbit Systems Ltd., is an Israel-based defense technology company developing air, land, and naval systems, including unmanned platforms, electronic warfare, cyber, and command-and-control solutions, for defense and homeland security customers worldwide. In recent weeks, the stock has drawn attention for a series of contract wins, including an approximately $235 million agreement to supply rocket artillery systems to a European customer, and the completed acquisition of International Submarine Engineering, a Canadian specialist in autonomous underwater vehicles.
Recent market activity has reflected solid momentum: shares have gained more than 30% year to date and over 50% across the trailing 12 months. The company reports a record backlog near $25.2 billion, with close to 70% generated by customers outside Israel, supporting revenue visibility. That said, the stock carries an elevated valuation, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio above 50, and a generally neutral-to-hold analyst consensus. Momentum and quality signals have trended bullish, while valuation remains the primary point of caution.
KRMN Overview and Recent Performance
KRMN, or Karman Holdings Inc., is a Huntington Beach, California-based designer and manufacturer of mission-critical systems—including payload protection, interstage, and propulsion components—for hypersonics, missile defense, space and launch, tactical missiles, and maritime defense programs. The company went public in February 2025 at $22 per share and subsequently rallied to a peak above $110 in January 2026 before pulling back sharply.
In recent months, KRMN has reported rapid growth, with revenue rising more than 50% year over year in recent quarters and adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margins near 30%. Bookings have been strong, and backlog reached a record level around $1.32 billion. However, its acquisition-heavy expansion—five deals completed since the IPO—has weighed on cash flow and increased leverage, and a secondary offering in 2026 added to supply. The stock's index inclusion in the S&P SmallCap 600 provided a catalyst, but overall sentiment has been tempered by valuation and cash-conversion concerns.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies sit at opposite ends of the defense-spectrum maturity curve. ESLT is a broad, internationally diversified contractor with thousands of employees, a multi-year backlog, and a global footprint across air, land, sea, and cyber domains. Its growth is steady rather than explosive, and its profitability is consistent. KRMN, by contrast, is a smaller, nimbler supplier concentrated in high-priority U.S. programs, delivering faster revenue expansion but relying more heavily on acquisitions to scale.
On momentum, ESLT has shown more stable relative performance in recent weeks, while KRMN has swung from a 2025 standout to a stock more than 40% below its peak. Risk factors also diverge: KRMN's leverage, integration risk, and limited near-term free cash flow contrast with ESLT's stronger balance sheet and diversified revenue base. Valuation cuts both ways—ESLT trades at a premium multiple, while KRMN's multiple has reset sharply lower. In short, this comparison pits consistency and breadth against higher growth with higher volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ESLT in the current environment. The company's record backlog, diversified international revenue, steady momentum, and consistent profitability present a more stable trend profile than KRMN's faster-growing but more volatile, leverage-sensitive setup. KRMN's elevated growth and expanding backlog could support favorable signals if cash flow and deleveraging improve, but its recent drawdown and acquisition-related uncertainties currently weigh on trend consistency. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current market conditions rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESLT is a Hold and KRMN is a Hold.
ESLT in upward trend: price may jump up because it broke its lower Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026
ESLT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 24 of 33 cases where ESLT's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The 10-day moving average for ESLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +7.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ESLT advanced for three days, in 240 of 346 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ESLT moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 47%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ESLT as a result. In 51 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ESLT turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 54 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.
ESLT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ESLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ESLT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.922) is normal, around the industry mean (5.045). P/E Ratio (47.576) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.993). ESLT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (11.650) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.143) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
KRMN in +10.50% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 29, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where KRMN advanced for three days, in 98 of 106 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for KRMN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 2 of 3 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for KRMN moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 14 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 10 of the 14 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 14 of 24 cases where KRMN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on KRMN as a result. In 17 of 25 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
KRMN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where KRMN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
KRMN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for KRMN entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. KRMN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.754) is normal, around the industry mean (5.045). KRMN has a moderately high P/E Ratio (126.556) as compared to the industry average of (17.993). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.058) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.299) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. KRMN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
ESLT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 94 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ESLT | KRMN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 47% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESLT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while KRMN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ESLT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KRMN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESLT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KRMN’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESLT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- KRMN’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ESLT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а -9.73% price change this week, while KRMN (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -10.03% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -12.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -16.65%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESLT is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
KRMN is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-12.53% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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ESLT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESLT has been loosely correlated with DRS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ESLT jumps, then DRS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESLT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESLT | 100% | -7.03% | ||
| DRS - ESLT | 51% Loosely correlated | -8.59% | ||
| KTOS - ESLT | 49% Loosely correlated | -12.27% | ||
| MRCY - ESLT | 44% Loosely correlated | -10.66% | ||
| KRMN - ESLT | 42% Loosely correlated | -13.52% | ||
| VOYG - ESLT | 42% Loosely correlated | -7.05% | ||
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KRMN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KRMN has been closely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if KRMN jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KRMN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRMN | 100% | -13.52% | ||
| KTOS - KRMN | 66% Closely correlated | -12.27% | ||
| MRCY - KRMN | 57% Loosely correlated | -10.66% | ||
| CW - KRMN | 53% Loosely correlated | -9.17% | ||
| RKLB - KRMN | 53% Loosely correlated | -3.78% | ||
| BWXT - KRMN | 52% Loosely correlated | -7.83% | ||
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IWX | 116.73 | 3.34 | +2.95% |
| iShares Russell Top 200 Value ETF (IWX) | |||
| EMDV | 46.91 | 0.41 | +0.89% |
| ProShares MSCI Emerging Markets Dividend Growers ETF (EMDV) | |||
| BALQ | 52.60 | 0.41 | +0.79% |
| iShares Nasdaq Premium Income Active ETF (BALQ) | |||
| IBHG | 21.71 | 0.04 | +0.18% |
| iShares iBonds 2027 Term High Yield and Income ETF (IBHG) | |||
| TAIL | 10.02 | -0.08 | -0.79% |
| Cambria Tail Risk ETF (TAIL) | |||