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ESLT vs KTOS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) vs. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ESLT and KTOS both operate in the defense sector with exposure to unmanned systems and advanced technologies, yet differ in scale and market focus.
- ESLT has demonstrated stronger year-to-date performance and maintains a substantial order backlog exceeding $28 billion.
- KTOS reported robust first-quarter revenue growth and raised its full-year 2026 guidance following earnings.
- Relative momentum favors ESLT in recent market activity, while KTOS shows potential volatility tied to contract wins and guidance updates.
- Sector tailwinds from global defense spending support both companies, though ESLT benefits from broader international exposure.
- Market sentiment reflects stability for the larger-capitalization ESLT alongside growth catalysts for KTOS.
Introduction
Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) and Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) represent two distinct players in the aerospace and defense industry, each with specialized portfolios in unmanned systems, electronics, and security solutions. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational developments, and relative positioning amid elevated global defense spending. Institutional investors, active traders, and those monitoring defense technology trends may find the analysis relevant for assessing sector allocation and risk-adjusted exposure in the current market environment.
ESLT Overview and Recent Performance
Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) develops and supplies defense electronics, unmanned aerial vehicles, and integrated systems primarily for military and homeland security applications. In recent weeks, the stock has exhibited resilience with year-to-date gains exceeding 32 percent, outpacing broader market benchmarks. Performance has been supported by a record order backlog and positive analyst revisions ahead of the first-quarter 2026 earnings release scheduled for late May. Sentiment has benefited from credit rating upgrades and sustained demand for advanced platforms, contributing to relative stability despite sector-wide fluctuations.
KTOS Overview and Recent Performance
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) focuses on unmanned aerial systems, missile defense components, and satellite communications for U.S. and allied defense markets. Recent market activity shows the shares advancing approximately 26 percent year-to-date, with notable movement following first-quarter 2026 results that included revenue growth of over 22 percent and an improved full-year outlook. Bookings and a favorable book-to-bill ratio have reinforced positive sentiment, though the stock has displayed greater price variability compared with larger peers in the sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) operates with a larger market capitalization and greater emphasis on international contracts, providing diversified revenue streams across air, land, and naval platforms. In contrast, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS) maintains a more concentrated U.S.-centric focus on unmanned targets and emerging autonomous technologies, which can amplify both upside from new programs and downside from execution risks. Recent momentum has favored ESLT through consistent backlog visibility, while KTOS has leveraged earnings beats and raised guidance for short-term catalysts. Risk factors include currency exposure and geopolitical dependencies for ESLT, versus higher valuation multiples and potential dilution for KTOS. Sector exposure remains aligned for both, yet ESLT exhibits comparatively steadier sentiment in recent trading sessions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency, backlog visibility, and relative year-to-date performance, Tickeron’s AI currently assigns a higher probability of near-term stability to Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) over Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. (KTOS). The larger capitalization and sustained order momentum provide a probabilistic edge in the current environment, although KTOS retains potential from contract-driven catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ESLT is a Buy and KTOS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ESLT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKTOS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ESLT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KTOS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ESLT’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KTOS’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ESLT’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KTOS’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ESLT (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.73% price change this week, while KTOS (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -1.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
ESLT is expected to report earnings on Aug 18, 2026.
KTOS is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.16% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| ESLT | KTOS | ESLT / KTOS | |
| Capitalization | 40.7B | 10.8B | 377% |
| EBITDA | 861M | 110M | 783% |
| Gain YTD | 47.995 | -23.923 | -201% |
| P/E Ratio | 68.99 | 339.71 | 20% |
| Revenue | 8.23B | 1.42B | 582% |
| Total Cash | 925M | 1.46B | 63% |
| Total Debt | 895M | 185M | 484% |
ESLT | KTOS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 27 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 85 Overvalued | 86 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 74 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 56 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 30 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ESLT's Valuation (85) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (86). This means that ESLT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
ESLT's Profit vs Risk Rating (13) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (74). This means that ESLT’s stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
ESLT's SMR Rating (56) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is somewhat better than the same rating for KTOS (91). This means that ESLT’s stock grew somewhat faster than KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
ESLT's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (59). This means that ESLT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
ESLT's P/E Growth Rating (30) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as KTOS (46). This means that ESLT’s stock grew similarly to KTOS’s over the last 12 months.
| ESLT | KTOS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 80% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 67% | 18 days ago 79% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 45% | 5 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 47% | 3 days ago 84% |
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ESLT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ESLT has been loosely correlated with LHX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ESLT jumps, then LHX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ESLT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ESLT | 100% | -6.48% | ||
| LHX - ESLT | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.40% | ||
| DRS - ESLT | 46% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| KTOS - ESLT | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| ATRO - ESLT | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.27% | ||
| RTX - ESLT | 40% Loosely correlated | -0.37% | ||
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KTOS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KTOS has been loosely correlated with AVAV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KTOS jumps, then AVAV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KTOS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KTOS | 100% | -1.75% | ||
| AVAV - KTOS | 65% Loosely correlated | -7.14% | ||
| KRMN - KTOS | 62% Loosely correlated | -3.53% | ||
| MRCY - KTOS | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.82% | ||
| DRS - KTOS | 58% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
| RCAT - KTOS | 51% Loosely correlated | -6.91% | ||
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