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CW vs KRMN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) vs. Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CW boasts superior year-to-date performance at 32.32% versus KRMN's 16.85%, reflecting stronger momentum in recent market activity.
- Both companies operate in the aerospace and defense sector, but CW offers diversified exposure including nuclear power, while KRMN focuses on mission-critical space and missile systems.
- CW recently reported Q1 2026 results beating estimates with 13.40% quarterly revenue growth (year-over-year) and raised full-year guidance, boosting sentiment.
- KRMN shows robust 1-year returns of 57.62% but faces higher volatility as a newer public entity post-IPO.
- Analyst targets suggest upside for both: CW average $755.86, KRMN around $117.10, indicating relative value in current pricing.
- CW's lower beta (0.87) signals greater stability compared to KRMN's growth-oriented profile.
Introduction
In the competitive aerospace and defense sector, CW and KRMN represent distinct approaches to capturing demand in military, space, and industrial applications. This stock comparison evaluates their recent performance, business models, and market positioning amid rising geopolitical tensions and space exploration investments. Traders seeking momentum plays may eye KRMN's growth potential, while long-term investors might prefer CW's established track record and diversification. Understanding their relative strengths aids in portfolio allocation during volatile market conditions.
CW Overview and Recent Performance
Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) designs and manufactures engineered products for aerospace, defense, nuclear power, and industrial markets. Operating through segments like Aerospace & Industrial, Defense Electronics, and Naval & Power, it supplies sensors, actuators, computing systems, pumps, and valves globally. With 9,100 employees and headquarters in Davidson, North Carolina, CW benefits from steady U.S. Navy contracts and commercial nuclear revival.
Recent market activity has propelled CW shares near their 52-week high of $750, trading around $729 with a market cap of $26.9 billion. Year-to-date gains stand at 32.32%, outpacing the S&P 500. In recent weeks, Q1 2026 results showed revenue of $913.69 million (up 13.40% year-over-year) and EPS of $3.48, surpassing estimates. The company raised full-year guidance for sales, margins, EPS, and free cash flow, driven by defense backlog growth and nuclear projects like X-energy's Xe-100 reactor prototype. Positive analyst updates, including price target hikes to $870, have supported sentiment amid sector tailwinds.
KRMN Overview and Recent Performance
Karman Holdings Inc. (KRMN), through its subsidiary Karman Space & Defense, specializes in mission-critical systems for hypersonics, missile defense, tactical missiles, space, and launch vehicles. Products include payload protection, interstage, and propulsion systems. Incorporated in 2020 with 1,400 employees in Huntington Beach, California, it operates as a subsidiary of TCFIII Spaceco SPV LP, targeting high-growth DoD (Department of Defense) and space initiatives.
KRMN shares hover around $61, with an $8.1 billion market cap, reflecting volatility post-IPO. Year-to-date return is 16.85%, trailing peers but with 57.62% over one year. Recent weeks saw fluctuations, with shares down amid broader sector rotations but buoyed by insider buying signals. Q4 2025 revenue hit $134.5 million (up 47% year-over-year), and Q1 2026 earnings are slated for May 12. Leadership additions like Chief Growth Officer Doug Laurendeau from Lockheed Martin underscore expansion. Analysts maintain Buy ratings with targets up to $135, citing demand in hypersonics and space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both CW and KRMN thrive in aerospace & defense, but CW's mature model spans nuclear and industrial (TTM revenue $3.61B, 14.17% margins), offering stability via diversified backlog versus KRMN's niche focus on hypersonics/space growth (smaller scale, higher revenue growth potential). Recent momentum favors CW with YTD outperformance and earnings beats; KRMN shows stronger 1-year gains but elevated risk as a post-IPO firm. CW's beta of 0.87 contrasts KRMN's implied higher volatility. Sentiment tilts positive for both on defense spending, though CW trades at premium P/E (53.42) versus KRMN's growth discount. Trade-offs: CW for reliability, KRMN for upside in emerging programs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors CW due to trend consistency, earnings momentum, raised guidance, and relative stability in recent market activity. Its diversified catalysts and lower beta position it probabilistically stronger amid sector rotations, though KRMN holds appeal for high-growth space/missile exposure post-earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is CW is a Buy and KRMN is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CW’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileKRMN’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- CW’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- KRMN’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CW’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KRMN’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CW’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- KRMN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
CW (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +3.39% price change this week, while KRMN (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -3.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was -1.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.36%.
Reported Earning Dates
CW is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
KRMN is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (-1.16% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
| CW | KRMN | CW / KRMN | |
| Capitalization | 28B | 6.34B | 442% |
| EBITDA | 818M | 138M | 593% |
| Gain YTD | 37.548 | -34.632 | -108% |
| P/E Ratio | 55.53 | 207.96 | 27% |
| Revenue | 3.61B | 523M | 689% |
| Total Cash | 343M | 73.8M | 465% |
| Total Debt | 1.15B | 867M | 132% |
CW | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 27 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| CW | KRMN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 17 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 47% | 4 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 58% |
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CW and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CW has been closely correlated with BWXT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CW jumps, then BWXT could also see price increases.
KRMN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, KRMN has been loosely correlated with KTOS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if KRMN jumps, then KTOS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To KRMN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KRMN | 100% | -3.53% | ||
| KTOS - KRMN | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.75% | ||
| CW - KRMN | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| BWXT - KRMN | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.63% | ||
| HII - KRMN | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| DRS - KRMN | 49% Loosely correlated | -2.33% | ||
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