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DUK vs FE
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) vs. FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) and FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) are both regulated electric utilities with significant exposure to the U.S. power sector and growing data center demand.
- Over the past year, FE has delivered stronger total returns compared to DUK, with year-to-date performance also favoring FE.
- DUK has highlighted data center growth as a long-term driver expected to generate billions in customer savings through its Customer Protection Plus framework.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks benefiting from sector tailwinds in utilities, though FE has exhibited relatively higher momentum in comparative analyses.
- Dividend stability remains a core feature for both, with DUK maintaining its long streak of consecutive quarterly payments.
- Risk factors for each include regulatory rate cases, interest rate sensitivity, and execution on infrastructure investments amid rising power demand.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) and FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) as representative plays within the regulated utilities sector. Both companies operate extensive electric transmission and distribution networks serving millions of customers across multiple states. This comparison appeals to those seeking defensive income-generating assets with exposure to structural growth themes such as data centers and electrification. Market participants evaluating relative performance, dividend sustainability, and sector positioning may find the analysis useful when assessing portfolio allocation between two established utilities amid evolving energy demand patterns.
DUK Overview and Recent Performance
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) is one of the largest electric utilities in the United States, serving customers primarily in the Southeast and Midwest through regulated operations. In recent weeks, the stock has reflected steady sector interest driven by announcements around data center expansion. Management highlighted that data center growth under the Customer Protection Plus framework is positioned to deliver billions of dollars in long-term customer bill relief while supporting infrastructure needs. Recent market activity also included a quarterly dividend declaration and updates on rate proceedings in North Carolina, where proposed increases were moderated following stakeholder feedback. These developments have contributed to a measured performance profile consistent with broader utility trends.
FE Overview and Recent Performance
FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) operates as a major regulated utility focused on electric distribution and transmission across the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic regions. In recent market activity, FE has shown relatively stronger momentum compared with peers in the sector. Comparative data indicate outperformance on a trailing twelve-month and year-to-date basis relative to DUK. The company continues to benefit from utility sector tailwinds, including demand growth and operational efficiency efforts. Performance has aligned with patterns seen in other regional utilities navigating similar regulatory and demand environments, maintaining a balanced profile without standout single-event catalysts in the immediate period.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) and FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) operate regulated business models centered on electric utilities, providing relative stability through rate-base returns. Growth drivers differ slightly, with DUK emphasizing data center load growth and customer savings initiatives, while FE has posted stronger recent total returns amid similar sector dynamics. Momentum favors FE on multi-period return metrics, though DUK maintains a longer dividend history. Risk factors for both include regulatory outcomes on rate cases and sensitivity to interest rates. Sector exposure remains comparable, with market sentiment reflecting broad utility resilience. Trade-offs center on DUK’s scale and infrastructure narrative versus FE’s observed price momentum.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including relative price momentum, trend consistency over recent periods, and positioning within the utilities sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to FirstEnergy Corp. (FE) over Duke Energy Corporation (DUK). This assessment reflects FE’s stronger trailing performance metrics and momentum indicators, though both stocks exhibit defensive characteristics typical of the sector. The preference remains probabilistic and subject to shifts in broader market conditions or new catalysts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is DUK is a Hold and FE is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DUK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileFE’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- DUK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FE’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DUK’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FE’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DUK’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- FE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DUK (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.48% price change this week, while FE (@Electric Utilities) price change was -0.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
DUK is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
FE is expected to report earnings on Oct 22, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.25% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| DUK | FE | DUK / FE | |
| Capitalization | 97.1B | 27.1B | 358% |
| EBITDA | 17.6B | 4.43B | 398% |
| Gain YTD | 8.041 | 7.771 | 103% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.75 | 25.05 | 75% |
| Revenue | 33.2B | 15.8B | 210% |
| Total Cash | 2.14B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 91.2B | 29B | 314% |
DUK | FE | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | 66 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 33 Fair valued | 10 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 24 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FE's Valuation (10) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (33). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (36). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
DUK's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as FE (76). This means that DUK’s stock grew similarly to FE’s over the last 12 months.
FE's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as DUK (58). This means that FE’s stock grew similarly to DUK’s over the last 12 months.
FE's P/E Growth Rating (24) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for DUK (59). This means that FE’s stock grew somewhat faster than DUK’s over the last 12 months.
| DUK | FE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 47% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 35% | 1 day ago 44% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 48% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 39% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 37% | 1 day ago 38% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 41% | 9 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 38% | 1 day ago 36% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 47% | 1 day ago 49% |
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DUK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, DUK has been closely correlated with SO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if DUK jumps, then SO could also see price increases.
FE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FE has been closely correlated with PPL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FE jumps, then PPL could also see price increases.