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EXP vs TTAM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) vs. Titan America SA (TTAM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Eagle Materials (EXP) posted solid Q4 2026 earnings, beating revenue estimates and extending its debt maturity with $750 M of 10‑year notes.
- Titan America (TTAM) reported modest Q1 2026 earnings, cut its dividend, and saw its share price slide below the 52‑week low.
- Both companies benefit from infrastructure spending, but Eagle’s higher margins and stronger cash flow give it a liquidity edge.
- Analyst consensus rates both stocks as Hold, yet Eagle’s price‑target upside (+5 %) exceeds TTAM’s modest downside potential (‑4 %).
- Tickeron’s AI‑driven bots favor the higher‑momentum, lower‑volatility Eagle Materials in the current market environment.
Introduction
Investors seeking exposure to U.S. construction materials often compare Eagle Materials Inc. (EXP) and Titan America SA (TTAM). Both supply cement, aggregates, and related products, yet they differ in scale, financial health, and recent market sentiment. This comparison is relevant for growth‑oriented traders looking at infrastructure tailwinds and value‑focused investors assessing dividend sustainability.
EXP Overview and Recent Performance
Eagle Materials, a Dallas‑based manufacturer of heavy construction products, reported its fourth‑quarter 2026 results on May 19, 2026. The company posted earnings of $1.59 EPS, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.57, and delivered revenue of $452 million, close to the $452 million forecast. The quarter featured a $750 million issuance of 10‑year senior notes at 5 % to extend maturity and bolster liquidity, alongside a share‑repurchase of roughly 648 k shares and a $150 million dividend payout. Eagle’s net debt stands at $1.8 billion with a net‑leverage ratio of 1.8×, providing ample flexibility for capital allocation.
Operating highlights include a 9 % increase in cement volume to 1.9 million tons and a 34 % jump in aggregates sales. Gross margins remain healthy at ~28.9 % and the company continues to invest in plant upgrades—most notably the Laramie, Wyoming cement plant—to enhance efficiency and lower CO₂ intensity. Market capitalisation hovers around $6.6 billion, and the stock trades near its 52‑week high of $243.64, reflecting investor confidence in its infrastructure exposure.
TTAM Overview and Recent Performance
Titan America SA, a Belgium‑registered but U.S.‑operating cement and concrete producer, released its first‑quarter 2026 earnings in early May. The company reported earnings per share of $0.04 and a quarterly distribution of $0.04 per share. Revenue for the quarter was $405.7 million, modestly below analyst expectations of $415 million, leading to a slight earnings miss. The stock currently trades around $15.75, down 3 % on the day and 10 % below its 52‑week high of $17.78.
TTAM’s balance sheet shows $2.9 billion in market capitalisation, a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 0.4, and a cash position of roughly $150 million. The company has been focusing on low‑carbon cement initiatives, targeting a 10 % reduction in CO₂ per ton of product. However, recent weather‑related challenges and a slowdown in residential construction have pressured margins, resulting in a forward‑looking dividend yield of just 0.5 % and a consensus price target of $14.67—implying limited upside.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
| Aspect | Eagle Materials (EXP) | Titan America (TTAM) |
|---|---|---|
| Business Model | Vertically integrated cement, aggregates, gypsum; strong U.S. footprint | Primarily cement and ready‑mix on U.S. East Coast |
| Revenue (TTM) | $2.30 B (≈6 % YoY growth) | $1.66 B (≈2 % YoY growth) |
| EBITDA Margin | ~30 % (adjusted) | ~22 % (adjusted) |
| Leverage | Net debt $1.4 B; Net‑leverage 1.8× | Net debt $0.9 B; Net‑leverage ≈0.9× |
| Liquidity | Cash $150 M; recent $750 M note issuance | Cash $150 M; modest debt profile |
| Dividend Yield | ~0.5 % (high‑yield relative to sector) | ~0.5 % (flat, sustainability questionable) |
| Analyst Consensus | Hold, price target $228.8 B → +5 % | Hold, price target $14.67 → –4 % |
| Market Sentiment | Positive on infrastructure spend, low‑cost operations | Neutral‑to‑negative due to residential slowdown |
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on current momentum, profitability, and balance‑sheet strength, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a higher probability of outperformance to Eagle Materials (EXP). The AI cites the company’s earnings beat, strong cash generation, and strategic debt extension as catalysts that support price appreciation. Titan America (TTAM) faces tighter margins and a weaker earnings trajectory, leading the AI to favor a more defensive stance toward the ticker.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXP is a Buy and TTAM is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileTTAM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- TTAM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TTAM’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- TTAM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXP (@Construction Materials) experienced а +2.54% price change this week, while TTAM (@Construction Materials) price change was +6.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Construction Materials industry was +0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.77%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.49%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXP is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
TTAM is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Construction Materials (+0.27% weekly)Many naturally occurring substances, such as clay, rocks, sand, and wood, even twigs and leaves have been used in construction material. Many man-made products are also in use. Vulcan Materials Co., Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. and Owens Corning Inc. are examples of construction material companies in the U.S. Performance of companies that extract or produce construction materials could at times depend on demand for residential and commercial buildings/real estate, and therefore in some cases could feel impacted by economic cycles.
| EXP | TTAM | EXP / TTAM | |
| Capitalization | 6.91B | 3.36B | 206% |
| EBITDA | 759M | 381M | 199% |
| Gain YTD | 8.409 | 11.016 | 76% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.98 | 18.21 | 93% |
| Revenue | 2.31B | 1.67B | 138% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 1.8B | 455M | 395% |
EXP | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 78 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| EXP | TTAM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 68% | 6 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 62% | 16 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
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EXP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXP has been closely correlated with BCC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXP jumps, then BCC could also see price increases.
TTAM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TTAM has been loosely correlated with EXP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 66% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TTAM jumps, then EXP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TTAM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TTAM | 100% | -0.87% | ||
| EXP - TTAM | 66% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| MLM - TTAM | 62% Loosely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| CRH - TTAM | 59% Loosely correlated | +0.01% | ||
| VMC - TTAM | 58% Loosely correlated | +0.51% | ||
| CX - TTAM | 49% Loosely correlated | -1.18% | ||
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