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FDX vs GXO
Which Stock Would AI Choose? FedEx Corporation (FDX) vs. GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- FedEx Corporation (FDX) has delivered stronger year-to-date performance, up approximately 24%, compared to GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO)'s 11% gain.
- Both stocks experienced downward pressure in recent market activity following Amazon's launch of Supply Chain Services, intensifying logistics competition.
- FDX benefits from diversified operations across express, ground, and freight, with recent earnings beats supporting momentum.
- GXO focuses on contract logistics, driving growth through expansions and automation in recent weeks.
- FDX trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of around 19, versus GXO's elevated multiple above 160.
- Relative performance highlights FDX's scale advantages in a volatile transport sector.
Introduction
FedEx Corporation (FDX) and GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO) operate in the competitive logistics and transportation sector, where e-commerce demand, supply chain efficiency, and geopolitical factors shape market dynamics. FDX provides integrated express delivery and freight services, while GXO specializes in contract logistics outsourcing. This stock comparison is relevant for traders monitoring industrial sector relative performance and investors assessing growth potential amid recent competitive pressures and economic shifts. By examining recent price behavior, business models, and sentiment, readers can gauge positioning in today's market environment.
FDX Overview and Recent Performance
FedEx Corporation (FDX) is a global leader in express package delivery, ground transportation, and freight services, operating through segments like FedEx Express and FedEx Ground. In recent market activity, FDX shares have shown resilience, climbing over 24% year-to-date despite a sharp pullback amid Amazon's supply chain expansion news. Earlier in the quarter, strong fiscal Q3 2026 earnings—revenue of $24 billion and EPS beating estimates—drove gains, fueled by cost-cutting initiatives and upbeat guidance. Sentiment has been influenced by volume trends, fuel costs, and tariff discussions, with the stock trading near its 52-week high of $404 prior to recent volatility. Market cap stands at approximately $85 billion, reflecting its scale.
GXO Overview and Recent Performance
GXO Logistics, Inc. (GXO), a pure-play contract logistics provider spun off from UPS, manages supply chains for clients in e-commerce, retail, and industrials through automation and technology. Shares have risen about 11% year-to-date, with recent weeks marked by expansion announcements like new distribution centers and partnerships in Poland and U.S. motorsports. Q4 2025 results showed 7.9% revenue growth to $3.5 billion, supported by contract wins, though shares dipped on broader logistics sector pressures from Amazon's moves. Trading around $47, with a market cap of $5.4 billion, GXO remains below its 52-week high of $66.85, reflecting growth-oriented positioning amid steady demand.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
FDX and GXO both serve the logistics sector but differ in business models: FDX's asset-heavy integrated network provides scale and reliability, while GXO's asset-light outsourcing model enables higher margins and flexibility. Growth drivers contrast with GXO pursuing organic expansion via contracts and automation, versus FDX's focus on cost efficiencies amid softer volumes. Recent momentum favors FDX with superior YTD gains, though both face risks from e-commerce shifts and competition. FDX offers lower volatility and dividend yield, while GXO exposes investors to higher growth potential but contract concentration risks. Market sentiment tilts toward established players like FDX in uncertain conditions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors FDX over GXO, based on stronger trend consistency, relative YTD outperformance, and positioning amid recent sector catalysts like earnings strength. While GXO shows promise in growth initiatives, FDX's scale and stability provide a probabilistic edge in the near term, though logistics headwinds warrant monitoring.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FDX is a StrongBuy and GXO is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FDX’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileGXO’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FDX’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- GXO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FDX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GXO’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FDX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GXO’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
FDX (@Other Transportation) experienced а +5.90% price change this week, while GXO (@Other Transportation) price change was +9.83% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -1.33%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
FDX is expected to report earnings on Jun 23, 2026.
GXO is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-1.33% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
| FDX | GXO | FDX / GXO | |
| Capitalization | 90.4B | 5.85B | 1,546% |
| EBITDA | 10.8B | 810M | 1,333% |
| Gain YTD | 31.703 | -3.457 | -917% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.23 | 45.38 | 45% |
| Revenue | 90.1B | 13.5B | 667% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 794M | - |
| Total Debt | 37.8B | 5.96B | 634% |
FDX | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 72 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 57 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 21 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| FDX | GXO | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 68% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 6 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 66% |
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FDX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FDX has been closely correlated with UPS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FDX jumps, then UPS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FDX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDX | 100% | +0.08% | ||
| UPS - FDX | 70% Closely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| XPO - FDX | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| GXO - FDX | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.53% | ||
| JBHT - FDX | 57% Loosely correlated | -1.89% | ||
| HUBG - FDX | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.38% | ||
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GXO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GXO has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GXO jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GXO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GXO | 100% | -1.53% | ||
| XPO - GXO | 71% Closely correlated | -1.42% | ||
| FDX - GXO | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.08% | ||
| UPS - GXO | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| FWRD - GXO | 47% Loosely correlated | +5.98% | ||
| JBHT - GXO | 46% Loosely correlated | -1.89% | ||
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