Regional bank stocks such as First Horizon (FHN) and Wintrust Financial (WTFC) offer investors exposure to community-focused lending, deposit gathering, and fee-based services within the broader financial sector. This comparison examines their business models, recent performance trajectories, and market positioning to assist traders and long-term investors evaluating relative value in the current environment. The analysis highlights observable contrasts in scale, profitability metrics, and momentum that may inform portfolio allocation decisions without favoring one security over the other.
First Horizon Corporation operates as a regional bank holding company primarily serving the southeastern and mid-Atlantic United States through commercial banking, consumer lending, and wealth management. In recent weeks, the stock has traded near $25.74, reflecting modest price appreciation amid broader market stability. Year-to-date returns stand at approximately 9.27%, with one-year performance near 19.71%. Key influences on sentiment include first-quarter 2026 results showing net income available to common shareholders of $257 million (up 21% year-over-year) and earnings per share of $0.53, alongside a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) reaching 15.1%. Leadership appointments and industry recognition have contributed to steady positioning, though the shares have lagged the S&P 500 slightly on a year-to-date basis.
Wintrust Financial Corporation functions as a financial holding company with a network of community banks and specialty finance businesses concentrated in the Midwest and select national markets. Recent market activity has seen the stock around $161.52, supported by year-to-date returns of 16.36% and one-year gains near 22.99%. First-quarter 2026 results featured record net income of $227.4 million and diluted earnings per share of $3.22, exceeding consensus estimates. A July announcement regarding the planned acquisition of Northern Trust’s guardianship services business, managing about $1.2 billion in assets, has added a growth catalyst dimension. Performance has outpaced the S&P 500 on both year-to-date and one-year horizons amid favorable regional banking dynamics.
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First Horizon (FHN) emphasizes scale in the Southeast with a broader asset base, while Wintrust Financial (WTFC) focuses on Midwest community banking and specialty niches, yielding differences in geographic diversification. Growth drivers favor WTFC recently through acquisition activity and higher year-to-date momentum, whereas FHN demonstrates consistent ROTCE above 15% and tangible book value expansion. Risk factors include shared exposure to interest rate fluctuations and credit cycles, with both maintaining capital ratios such as Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) well above regulatory minimums. Market sentiment reflects WTFC’s relative outperformance in recent periods alongside FHN’s stable earnings trajectory. Trade-offs center on FHN’s larger footprint versus WTFC’s potentially higher profitability margins and acquisition-driven expansion.
Based on observable factors including stronger recent total returns, record quarterly results, and an announced strategic acquisition, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a modestly higher probabilistic preference to Wintrust Financial (WTFC) over First Horizon (FHN) for trend consistency and growth positioning. FHN’s advantages in scale and ROTCE provide balance, yet relative momentum metrics tilt the assessment toward WTFC in the near term. This evaluation remains probabilistic and subject to evolving market data.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FHN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWTFC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FHN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WTFC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
FHN (@Regional Banks) experienced а -0.12% price change this week, while WTFC (@Regional Banks) price change was -0.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Regional Banks industry was -0.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was +15.22%.
FHN is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
WTFC is expected to report earnings on Jul 20, 2026.
Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.
| FHN | WTFC | FHN / WTFC | |
| Capitalization | 12.3B | 10.9B | 113% |
| EBITDA | N/A | N/A | - |
| Gain YTD | 9.614 | 16.346 | 59% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.97 | 13.54 | 96% |
| Revenue | 3.37B | 2.8B | 121% |
| Total Cash | 889M | 468M | 190% |
| Total Debt | 3.29B | 4.34B | 76% |
FHN | WTFC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 45 Fair valued | 69 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 56 | 21 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 15 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 67 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FHN's Valuation (45) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WTFC (69). This means that FHN’s stock grew similarly to WTFC’s over the last 12 months.
WTFC's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Regional Banks industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FHN (56). This means that WTFC’s stock grew somewhat faster than FHN’s over the last 12 months.
FHN's SMR Rating (14) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as WTFC (15). This means that FHN’s stock grew similarly to WTFC’s over the last 12 months.
WTFC's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FHN (48). This means that WTFC’s stock grew similarly to FHN’s over the last 12 months.
WTFC's P/E Growth Rating (46) in the Regional Banks industry is in the same range as FHN (67). This means that WTFC’s stock grew similarly to FHN’s over the last 12 months.
| FHN | WTFC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 72% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 52% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 50% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 65% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 19 days ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 51% | 1 day ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 49% | 1 day ago 63% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WTFC has been closely correlated with FNB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WTFC jumps, then FNB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WTFC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTFC | 100% | -0.01% | ||
| FNB - WTFC | 89% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| ASB - WTFC | 87% Closely correlated | +0.56% | ||
| HWC - WTFC | 86% Closely correlated | +0.70% | ||
| ZION - WTFC | 86% Closely correlated | -0.42% | ||
| VLY - WTFC | 86% Closely correlated | -0.61% | ||
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