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FNV vs OR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Franco-Nevada (FNV) vs. Osisko Gold Royalties (OR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Scale gap: FNV commands a market capitalization near $46 billion, roughly seven times larger than OR at about $6.5 billion.
- Relative performance: Franco-Nevada has outpaced Osisko Gold Royalties over the past year, gaining around 19% versus roughly 7%.
- Risk profile: FNV is debt-free and lower-beta (0.94), while OR carries modest leverage and a higher beta (1.35), reflecting more volatility.
- Portfolio breadth: FNV holds a diversified, gold-focused royalty and streaming portfolio; OR is anchored by its Canadian Malartic royalty with a smaller but growing asset base.
- Growth vs. stability: OR offers a more concentrated growth and exploration-optionality profile, while FNV emphasizes diversification and consistent cash flow.
Introduction
Investors seeking exposure to precious metals without the operational risks of running a mine often turn to royalty and streaming companies. These firms provide upfront capital to miners in exchange for a percentage of future production or revenue, delivering gold price leverage with high margins. FNV (Franco-Nevada) and OR (Osisko Gold Royalties) are two prominent names in this space. Comparing them helps traders and investors understand how scale, diversification, and portfolio concentration shape stock behavior and market positioning in the current environment.
FNV Overview and Recent Performance
Franco-Nevada Corporation is a Toronto-based, gold-focused royalty and streaming company founded in 1983. It provides investors with gold price and exploration optionality while limiting exposure to operating costs and mine-level risks. The company's most recent quarterly results showed revenue climbing roughly 57% year over year to about $581 million, supported by stronger precious metal prices and higher contributions from assets such as Côté Gold, Valentine, and Cobre Panamá. Gold-equivalent ounces (GEOs, a standardized measure converting silver and other metals into gold terms) sold rose about 18%.
In recent weeks, FNV has pulled back from its 52-week high near $286, reflecting broader profit-taking across the gold sector, yet it remains up solidly on a year-to-date basis. The company is debt-free with roughly $1 billion in cash and about $4.3 billion in available capital, giving it meaningful flexibility for future portfolio additions.
OR Overview and Recent Performance
Osisko Gold Royalties Ltd, renamed OR Royalties Inc. in 2025, is a Montreal-based precious metal royalty company founded in 2014. Its cornerstone asset is a 3–5% net smelter return (NSR) royalty on the Canadian Malartic complex, one of Canada's largest gold mines, meaning it receives a percentage of the revenue from processed ore. The company's North American portfolio spans over 185 royalties, streams, and offtakes, including 21 producing assets.
OR reported record annual revenue and operating cash flow for its most recent fiscal year, and its profit margin exceeds 75%, reflecting the capital-light nature of its business. However, its stock has lagged FNV over the past year, with more muted year-to-date gains and higher volatility. The company carries a modest debt-to-equity ratio and has directed capital toward building out its royalty portfolio, which has weighed on near-term free cash flow even as the underlying revenue base grows.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between these two stocks is scale and diversification. FNV's larger portfolio spans gold, silver, platinum group metals, and a meaningful energy royalty segment, reducing reliance on any single asset. OR is more concentrated, with Canadian Malartic acting as a dominant revenue anchor, which amplifies both its upside potential and its sensitivity to that mine's performance.
Growth profiles also differ. FNV generates steady, diversified cash flow and emphasizes its debt-free balance sheet and dividend reliability. OR, by comparison, is expanding its royalty base through acquisitions and development-stage interests, positioning it for higher growth but with less earnings stability in the near term. This shows up in the numbers: OR's beta of 1.35 indicates notably higher market sensitivity than FNV's 0.94, and OR's lower price-to-earnings ratio reflects its smaller scale and more concentrated risk.
On recent momentum, FNV has demonstrated stronger relative performance and more consistent trend behavior, while OR has exhibited greater choppiness. Both remain closely tied to gold prices, making the broader precious metals outlook a shared driver of sentiment.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor FNV in the current environment. Franco-Nevada's larger scale, debt-free balance sheet, diversified revenue base, and more consistent relative performance suggest stronger trend consistency and stability. Its superior recent momentum and clearer catalysts from new and ramping assets further support this positioning. OR offers compelling growth optionality and a high-margin, concentrated business model, but its higher beta and single-asset concentration introduce more variability. In probabilistic terms, the AI framework leans toward FNV for steadier market positioning, while recognizing OR's appeal for investors with a higher risk tolerance and a longer growth horizon.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FNV is a Hold and OR is a Hold.
FNV in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FNV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FNV as a result. In 52 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FNV turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
FNV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FNV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for FNV entered a downward trend on October 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FNV's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 23 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +3.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FNV advanced for three days, in 205 of 328 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
FNV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FNV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 73 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.289) is normal, around the industry mean (1.936). P/E Ratio (29.464) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.175). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.373) among similar stocks. FNV's P/S Ratio (21.645) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
OR's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for OR entered a downward trend on October 28, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 134 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 103 of the 134 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OR as a result. In 51 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OR turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 73%.
OR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for OR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +3.81% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OR advanced for three days, in 246 of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
OR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 67, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OR’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.061) is normal, around the industry mean (1.936). P/E Ratio (21.305) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-12.175). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.300) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.373) among similar stocks. OR's P/S Ratio (18.484) is slightly higher than the industry average of (7.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
FNV | OR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 74 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 73 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 46 | 46 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 57 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNV's Valuation (73) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OR (92) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to OR’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OR (42) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to OR’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's SMR Rating (46) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OR (46) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to OR’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OR (57) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to OR’s over the last 12 months.
FNV's P/E Growth Rating (84) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as OR (95) in the null industry. This means that FNV’s stock grew similarly to OR’s over the last 12 months.
| FNV | OR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 63% | 9 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 62% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 77% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FNV’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while OR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FNV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- OR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FNV’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OR’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FNV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- OR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
FNV (@Precious Metals) experienced а -4.40% price change this week, while OR (@Precious Metals) price change was -5.66% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.98%.
Reported Earning Dates
FNV is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
OR is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.55% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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FNV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FNV has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FNV jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
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