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FDX vs FWRD
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is FDX is a Buy and FWRD is a Hold.
FDX in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026
The 10-day moving average for FDX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FDX as a result. In 55 of 83 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FDX just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where FDX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
FDX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +3.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FDX advanced for three days, in 225 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 263 cases where FDX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 63%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FDX moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 39 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 54%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 64 cases where FDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The 50-day moving average for FDX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
FDX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 13 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 21 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FDX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.304) is normal, around the industry mean (2.483). P/E Ratio (16.469) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.224) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.020) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.761) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
FWRD in -12.79% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on November 06, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where FWRD declined for three days, in 252 of 320 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for FWRD moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 21 of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 48 of 62 cases where FWRD's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
FWRD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on FWRD as a result. In 53 of 72 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for FWRD just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where FWRD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
FWRD moved above its 50-day moving average on October 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FWRD crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +4.15% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FWRD advanced for three days, in 228 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 152 of 226 cases where FWRD Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 39 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: FWRD's P/B Ratio (-4.870) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.483). P/E Ratio (-1.857) is within average values for comparable stocks, (7.339). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.400) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). FWRD has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.058) as compared to the industry average of (0.020). P/S Ratio (0.195) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. FWRD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FWRD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.
FDX | FWRD | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 60 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 57 | 100 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 78 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 13 | 14 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FWRD's Valuation (39) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FDX (60). This means that FWRD’s stock grew similarly to FDX’s over the last 12 months.
FDX's Profit vs Risk Rating (21) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is significantly better than the same rating for FWRD (100). This means that FDX’s stock grew significantly faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
FDX's SMR Rating (57) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (100). This means that FDX’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
FWRD's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is in the same range as FDX (43). This means that FWRD’s stock grew similarly to FDX’s over the last 12 months.
FDX's P/E Growth Rating (36) in the Air Freight Or Couriers industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FWRD (78). This means that FDX’s stock grew somewhat faster than FWRD’s over the last 12 months.
| FDX | FWRD | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 50% | 4 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 66% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 69% | 6 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 63% | 4 days ago 67% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FDX’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while FWRD’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- FDX’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- FWRD’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FDX’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while FWRD’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- FDX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
- FWRD’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
FDX (@Other Transportation) experienced а -1.64% price change this week, while FWRD (@Other Transportation) price change was -5.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Transportation industry was -3.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was -29.17%.
Reported Earning Dates
FDX is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
FWRD is expected to report earnings on Nov 09, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Other Transportation (-3.29% weekly)Other Transportation includes transportation services like providing airport ground transportation, airport management and equipment, shipping services, as well as businesses that operate bridges, expressways and other public services such as taxis and subways. Grupo Aero-pac, Corporacion America Airports S.A. and Matson, Inc. are some of the major companies operating in this space.
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FWRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FWRD has been closely correlated with XPO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FWRD jumps, then XPO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FWRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FWRD | 100% | -1.71% | ||
| XPO - FWRD | 75% Closely correlated | +0.27% | ||
| PAL - FWRD | 38% Loosely correlated | +10.62% | ||
| JBHT - FWRD | 31% Poorly correlated | -0.45% | ||
| FDX - FWRD | 31% Poorly correlated | -2.73% | ||
| UPS - FWRD | 30% Poorly correlated | -2.47% | ||
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