Energy remains one of the most closely watched corners of the equity market, shaped by crude oil and natural gas prices, capital discipline, and shifting global supply-and-demand dynamics. Investors seeking broad U.S. energy exposure frequently encounter two very different instruments: the First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund (FXN) and the iShares U.S. Energy ETF (IYE). Although both sit in the same sector, they are not direct substitutes. FXN applies a rules-based, multi-factor stock-selection process, while IYE offers straightforward, cap-weighted access to the largest U.S. oil and gas companies. This ETF comparison clarifies their structural differences, sector exposure, cost profiles, and relative positioning.
FXN seeks to track the StrataQuant Energy Index, which applies First Trust's proprietary AlphaDEX methodology to U.S. energy stocks drawn from the Russell 1000 universe. The model ranks holdings on growth factors (price appreciation, sales-to-price, sales growth) and value factors (book-to-price, cash-flow-to-price, return on assets), selecting the highest-scoring names. The fund is a modified equal-dollar-weighted, rules-based (passive) strategy rather than an active or leveraged product.
The portfolio typically holds roughly 40 stocks, with top names including First Solar (FSLR), Ovintiv (OVV), Permian Resources (PR), HF Sinclair (DINO), Devon Energy (DVN), Cheniere Energy (LNG), Expand Energy (EXE), Matador Resources (MTDR), APA Corporation (APA), and Phillips 66 (PSX). Its expense ratio is 0.63%, and the index is reconstituted and rebalanced quarterly. Because holdings are spread across quintiles, single-stock concentration is lower than in cap-weighted peers.
IYE is a passively managed fund from BlackRock's iShares family that seeks to track a market-capitalization-weighted index of U.S. oil and gas companies — historically the Dow Jones U.S. Oil & Gas Index. It launched in June 2000, making it one of the most established energy ETFs available. Unlike FXN's factor-driven construction, IYE simply mirrors the size of its constituents, so larger companies dominate.
The fund holds roughly 40–44 securities, led by Exxon Mobil (XOM) at about 23%, Chevron (CVX) near 16%, followed by ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy (VLO), Phillips 66 (PSX), Williams Companies (WMB), EOG Resources (EOG), SLB (SLB), and Kinder Morgan (KMI). Its top 10 holdings represent roughly 70% of assets, and its net expense ratio is approximately 0.37%–0.38% — significantly lower than FXN.
Both funds operate within the U.S. energy complex, which remains sensitive to crude oil and natural gas prices, OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical supply disruptions, and global demand growth. In recent market cycles, disciplined capital allocation and shareholder returns — dividends and buybacks — have supported integrated and exploration-and-production companies alike. Refining margins, liquefied natural gas (LNG) export demand, and midstream cash flows add further nuance. Regulatory developments around permitting and energy transition policies continue to shape long-term sentiment. Key risks include commodity price volatility, demand cyclicality, and valuation compression during economic slowdowns.
In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have generally moved in tandem with the energy sector's broad direction, but their composition creates meaningful performance divergence. IYE's heavy weighting toward Exxon Mobil and Chevron makes it a relatively lower-turnover, dividend-oriented vehicle whose results closely track integrated megacaps. FXN's equal-weighted, factor-tilted approach exposes it more to mid-cap producers and refiners, which can outperform during periods of rising crude prices or widening refining margins but may lag when large-cap defensive names lead. As a result, FXN has historically exhibited different volatility and drawdown characteristics than IYE, with single-stock risk more dispersed but sensitivity to smaller, higher-beta names more pronounced. Investors evaluating relative positioning should weigh IYE's cost and liquidity advantages against FXN's broader factor diversification.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trend signals, volatility, and AI-driven ratings. Users can scan thousands of equities and funds with customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and emerging opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your sector research with data-driven insights.
Based on structural strength, cost efficiency, diversification profile, trend consistency, and risk exposure, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IYE in the current environment. Its materially lower expense ratio, deep liquidity, and exposure to financially resilient integrated oil majors offer a steadier, lower-cost core energy allocation. FXN, by contrast, offers more balanced holdings and factor diversification, which can be advantageous in sharply trending, mid-cap-led rallies, but its higher cost and smaller-cap tilt introduce greater relative volatility. The AI's preference would tilt toward IYE for cost- and stability-focused investors, while acknowledging FXN's appeal for those seeking a more equally weighted, factor-driven energy tilt. This is a probabilistic assessment, not investment advice.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
FXN moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 59 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FXN as a result. In 70 of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FXN turned negative on November 03, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
The 10-day moving average for FXN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 21 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FXN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FXN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 21 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.76% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FXN advanced for three days, in 350 of 385 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FXN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 326 cases where FXN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The RSI Oscillator for IYE moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 18 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 18 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 5 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.27% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 340 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
IYE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 290 of 333 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 87%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYE as a result. In 73 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYE turned negative on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 84%.
IYE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IYE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 18 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
| FXN | IYE | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 7 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 87% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FXN has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 90% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FXN jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
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