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GFF vs TREX
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GFF is a Hold and TREX is a Hold.
GFF in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026
The 10-day moving average for GFF crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GFF as a result. In 60 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GFF turned negative on September 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
GFF moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GFF declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 62%.
The Aroon Indicator for GFF entered a downward trend on October 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GFF's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 40 of 51 cases where GFF's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +0.57% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GFF advanced for three days, in 261 of 353 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GFF’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (33.670) is normal, around the industry mean (9.236). P/E Ratio (20.058) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.390) is also within normal values, averaging (1.212). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.664) is also within normal values, averaging (2.201).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
TREX's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TREX turned positive on September 25, 2026. Looking at past instances where TREX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 31 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TREX as a result. In 54 of 78 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +2.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TREX advanced for three days, in 215 of 307 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TREX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for TREX entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TREX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 82 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.482) is normal, around the industry mean (9.236). P/E Ratio (26.141) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.255). TREX's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (3.370) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.212). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.759) is also within normal values, averaging (2.201).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TREX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
GFF | TREX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 11 | 50 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
TREX's Valuation (82) in the Forest Products industry is in the same range as GFF (92) in the Building Products industry. This means that TREX’s stock grew similarly to GFF’s over the last 12 months.
GFF's Profit vs Risk Rating (11) in the Building Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for TREX (100) in the Forest Products industry. This means that GFF’s stock grew significantly faster than TREX’s over the last 12 months.
GFF's SMR Rating (11) in the Building Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TREX (50) in the Forest Products industry. This means that GFF’s stock grew somewhat faster than TREX’s over the last 12 months.
GFF's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Building Products industry is in the same range as TREX (50) in the Forest Products industry. This means that GFF’s stock grew similarly to TREX’s over the last 12 months.
TREX's P/E Growth Rating (52) in the Forest Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFF (97) in the Building Products industry. This means that TREX’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFF’s over the last 12 months.
| GFF | TREX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 69% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 74% | 7 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 62% | 15 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 74% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GFF’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while TREX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- GFF’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TREX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GFF’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TREX’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GFF’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TREX’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
GFF (@Building Products) experienced а -2.04% price change this week, while TREX (@Building Products) price change was +1.26% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -2.54%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.86%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.71%.
Reported Earning Dates
GFF is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
TREX is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-2.54% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| TXXH | 58.03 | N/A | -0.01% |
| 21Shares 2x Long HYPE ETF (TXXH) | |||
| AOA | 97.07 | -0.84 | -0.86% |
| iShares Core 80/20 Aggressive Allocation ETF (AOA) | |||
| FFA | 22.38 | -0.22 | -0.97% |
| First Trust Enhanced Equity Income Fund | |||
| TPFC | 28.14 | -0.28 | -0.99% |
| Timothy Plan Free Cash Flow ETF (TPFC) | |||
| DGRE | 38.79 | -0.87 | -2.21% |
| WisdomTree Emerging Markets Quality Dividend Growth Fund (DGRE) | |||
GFF and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFF has been closely correlated with OC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFF jumps, then OC could also see price increases.
TREX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TREX has been loosely correlated with OC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TREX jumps, then OC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TREX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TREX | 100% | -1.51% | ||
| OC - TREX | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.36% | ||
| BXC - TREX | 62% Loosely correlated | -2.16% | ||
| IR - TREX | 62% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| LPX - TREX | 62% Loosely correlated | -0.45% | ||
| GFF - TREX | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.16% | ||
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