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GPC vs ORLY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Genuine Parts Company (GPC) vs. O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GPC and ORLY lead the automotive aftermarket sector, but GPC provides industrial parts diversification while ORLY focuses on retail and professional sales.
- GPC offers a 3.91% dividend yield (forward yield), appealing to income investors, whereas ORLY reinvests for growth with no dividend.
- Recent weeks saw GPC decline amid mixed Q1 results, trading near 52-week lows around $108, while ORLY held steady near $93.
- ORLY's larger $78B market cap dwarfs GPC's $15B, reflecting scale advantages in store network and revenue growth.
- Analyst targets suggest upside: $132 for GPC and $106 for ORLY, with both rated positively overall.
- Low betas (0.77 for GPC, 0.60 for ORLY) indicate defensive positioning in a cyclical sector.
Introduction
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) and O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) are powerhouse distributors in the automotive aftermarket industry, serving DIY enthusiasts and professional repair shops amid steady vehicle aging trends. This stock comparison analyzes their business models, recent performance, and market positioning to aid traders seeking sector exposure and investors evaluating relative value. With both benefiting from resilient demand but facing economic sensitivities, understanding their contrasts in scale, dividends, and momentum helps inform portfolio decisions in today's volatile environment.
GPC Overview and Recent Performance
Genuine Parts Company (GPC) distributes automotive replacement parts through its NAPA brand and industrial components via Motion Industries, operating globally with a focus on wholesale and retail channels. In recent market activity, GPC shares traded around $108, down from higher levels in late 2025, reflecting pressure after Q1 2026 earnings showed revenue of $6.27 billion (up 6.8% year-over-year) but softer margins amid inflationary costs. The stock hit near 52-week lows, influenced by EPS trends (-3% quarterly growth) and a planned corporate split into two entities, sparking valuation debates. Sentiment has been mixed, with analysts citing supply chain resilience and a proposed split as potential catalysts, though near-term downside risks from economic slowdowns weigh on performance. Trailing P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) stands high at 247 due to depressed EPS, but forward P/E of 14 suggests value.
ORLY Overview and Recent Performance
O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) specializes in automotive aftermarket parts through a vast network of over 6,000 stores, targeting both professional service providers and retail customers across North America. Shares hovered near $93 in recent weeks, maintaining relative stability with YTD gains of about 2%, within a 52-week range of $87-$109. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings are anticipated to show EPS growth of 11% to $0.69 and revenue up 8% to $4.47 billion, buoyed by comparable store sales and expansion. Performance has been steadier than peers, supported by strong fundamentals like 7.8% quarterly revenue growth and ROA (return on assets) of 13.76%, though higher operating expenses temper enthusiasm. Market sentiment remains constructive ahead of results, with focus on execution amid competition and consumer spending trends. Trailing P/E is 31, reflecting premium growth expectations.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
GPC and ORLY share sector exposure to aging vehicle fleets driving aftermarket demand but diverge in models: GPC blends automotive with industrial (via Motion), offering diversification, while ORLY excels in dense store footprints for faster growth. Recent momentum favors ORLY's stability versus GPC's post-earnings dip, though GPC's dividend (3.91% yield) contrasts ORLY's reinvestment approach. Risk factors include cyclicality and inflation, with both low betas signaling defense; ORLY's scale ($78B cap, higher ROA) provides edge in downturns, but GPC's forward P/E and split plans highlight value trade-offs. Sentiment tilts positive for both, per analyst targets exceeding current prices.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ORLY with higher probability in the near term, based on superior scale, consistent momentum, lower volatility (beta 0.60), and anticipated earnings growth amid stable aftermarket demand. GPC offers compelling value and income via dividends plus split catalysts, but recent downside and margin pressures reduce its relative positioning. Observable trends suggest ORLY for growth-oriented strategies, subject to market shifts.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GPC is a StrongBuy and ORLY is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GPC’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileORLY’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- GPC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ORLY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GPC’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ORLY’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GPC’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ORLY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
GPC (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +7.80% price change this week, while ORLY (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +1.39% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was +1.06%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.37%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
GPC is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
ORLY is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (+1.06% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| GPC | ORLY | GPC / ORLY | |
| Capitalization | 14.4B | 74.8B | 19% |
| EBITDA | 770M | 4.1B | 19% |
| Gain YTD | -13.185 | -1.042 | 1,266% |
| P/E Ratio | 237.82 | 29.40 | 809% |
| Revenue | 24.7B | 18.2B | 136% |
| Total Cash | 500M | 253M | 198% |
| Total Debt | 6.71B | 8.73B | 77% |
GPC | ORLY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 18 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 16 Undervalued | 98 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 17 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | 1 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 56 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 62 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPC's Valuation (16) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ORLY (98) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew significantly faster than ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Profit vs Risk Rating (17) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPC (100) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than GPC’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's SMR Rating (1) in the Specialty Stores industry is significantly better than the same rating for GPC (91) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew significantly faster than GPC’s over the last 12 months.
ORLY's Price Growth Rating (56) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPC (58) in the Wholesale Distributors industry. This means that ORLY’s stock grew similarly to GPC’s over the last 12 months.
GPC's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Wholesale Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ORLY (62) in the Specialty Stores industry. This means that GPC’s stock grew somewhat faster than ORLY’s over the last 12 months.
| GPC | ORLY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 61% | 1 day ago 44% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 56% | 1 day ago 59% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 55% | 1 day ago 56% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 6 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 55% | 14 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 41% | 1 day ago 46% |
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GPC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPC has been loosely correlated with CPRT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if GPC jumps, then CPRT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPC | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPC | 100% | +0.86% | ||
| CPRT - GPC | 58% Loosely correlated | -1.46% | ||
| LKQ - GPC | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.23% | ||
| AAP - GPC | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.39% | ||
| MNRO - GPC | 45% Loosely correlated | +1.91% | ||
| ORLY - GPC | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.83% | ||
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