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GRBK vs LEN
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Green Brick Partners (GRBK) vs. Lennar Corporation (LEN) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both GRBK and LEN operate in the U.S. residential homebuilding sector, with LEN as a larger national builder and GRBK focused on select Sun Belt markets.
- Recent market activity shows GRBK trading near $68–69 with year-to-date returns around 10%, while LEN trades near $90 with similar year-to-date performance amid broader sector pressure.
- GRBK reported solid first-quarter 2026 results in late April, supported by sales momentum, whereas LEN is scheduled to release second-quarter results in mid-June.
- GRBK exhibits higher beta and greater price volatility relative to LEN, reflecting its smaller market capitalization of approximately $3 billion versus LEN’s roughly $22 billion.
- Sector-wide factors such as interest-rate sensitivity and housing demand have influenced both stocks over recent weeks, with GRBK showing relatively stronger 12-month outperformance in some comparative analyses.
- Market sentiment remains cautious ahead of earnings and macroeconomic data releases affecting homebuilder valuations.
Introduction
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) and Lennar Corporation (LEN) are two publicly traded companies in the residential construction industry. This comparison examines their business profiles, recent price behavior, and relative positioning in the current market environment. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand performance differences between a smaller regional homebuilder and a large national one, particularly those monitoring housing-sector exposure, earnings catalysts, and momentum signals within equities.
GRBK Overview and Recent Performance
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) develops and builds homes primarily in high-growth Sun Belt markets. The company reported first-quarter 2026 results in late April, highlighting revenue of approximately $465 million and net income of $61 million, reflecting continued sales execution. In recent market activity, shares have traded in the $68–70 range, with year-to-date returns near 10% and a 52-week range spanning roughly $59 to $81. Performance has been influenced by sector sentiment around interest rates and housing affordability, alongside the company’s smaller scale and higher beta, which can amplify moves relative to broader indices.
LEN Overview and Recent Performance
Lennar Corporation (LEN) is one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, operating across multiple regions with a focus on entry-level and move-up buyers. First-quarter 2026 results showed net earnings of $229 million, and the company plans to release second-quarter figures around June 11–12. Shares have recently traded near $90–92, posting year-to-date returns of approximately 11% within a 52-week range of about $81 to $144. Recent price behavior reflects broader housing-market dynamics, including earnings outlook revisions and macroeconomic factors affecting consumer demand, with the stock exhibiting lower volatility than some smaller peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Green Brick Partners (GRBK) and Lennar Corporation (LEN) share exposure to U.S. housing demand but differ markedly in scale and operations. LEN benefits from national diversification and greater financial resources, supporting larger revenues exceeding $33 billion on a trailing basis, while GRBK generates roughly $2 billion with a more concentrated geographic footprint. Growth drivers for both center on new-home sales and pricing power, yet GRBK has displayed stronger relative 12-month returns in recent comparisons amid sector rotation. Risk factors include interest-rate sensitivity for both, though GRBK’s smaller size contributes to higher volatility. Market sentiment has been tempered by earnings revisions and macroeconomic data, creating trade-offs between LEN’s stability and GRBK’s potential for amplified moves in favorable housing conditions.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent relative momentum, earnings consistency, and positioning within the homebuilding sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable near-term trend continuation to GRBK over LEN. This assessment reflects GRBK’s demonstrated outperformance in certain comparative periods and sector-specific catalysts, tempered by its smaller scale and elevated volatility. Probabilistic language is used because market conditions can shift rapidly with macroeconomic releases or earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is GRBK is a StrongBuy and LEN is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
GRBK’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileLEN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- GRBK’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- LEN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
GRBK’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while LEN’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- GRBK’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- LEN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
GRBK (@Homebuilding) experienced а +2.14% price change this week, while LEN (@Homebuilding) price change was -2.57% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Homebuilding industry was -1.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.19%, and the average quarterly price growth was +6.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
GRBK is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
LEN is expected to report earnings on Sep 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Homebuilding (-1.34% weekly)Homebuilding includes companies residential home construction companies, renovators and repair firms. The companies may be building single-family or multifamily homes, condominiums or mobile homes. Over the five years to 2019, the Home Builders industry is estimated to have grown at an annualized rate of 2.5% to reach $89.4 billion, (including expected growth of 2.6% in 2019), according to a study by IbisWorld. After having suffered one of its worst crises a decade ago during the last macroeconomic recession–which had much of its origins in U.S. real estate – the homebuilding industry has been recovering steadily so far. Higher disposable incomes and improving economic activity have bolstered consumers’ purchases of homes. While revenue of the Home Builders industry remains well below its prerecession high, demand growth estimates show promise.
| GRBK | LEN | GRBK / LEN | |
| Capitalization | 3.22B | 21.4B | 15% |
| EBITDA | 393M | 2.41B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | 17.459 | -14.109 | -124% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.84 | 13.71 | 79% |
| Revenue | 2.08B | 33.2B | 6% |
| Total Cash | 145M | 2.39B | 6% |
| Total Debt | 282M | 5.26B | 5% |
GRBK | LEN | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 88 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 29 | 94 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 52 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 24 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GRBK's Valuation (52) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (88). This means that GRBK’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Profit vs Risk Rating (29) in the Homebuilding industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LEN (94). This means that GRBK’s stock grew somewhat faster than LEN’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's SMR Rating (52) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (79). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
GRBK's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as LEN (58). This means that GRBK’s stock grew similarly to LEN’s over the last 12 months.
LEN's P/E Growth Rating (20) in the Homebuilding industry is in the same range as GRBK (24). This means that LEN’s stock grew similarly to GRBK’s over the last 12 months.
| GRBK | LEN | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 22 days ago 76% | 15 days ago 65% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 9 days ago 67% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 73% |
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GRBK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GRBK has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GRBK jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GRBK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GRBK | 100% | -1.35% | ||
| PHM - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -1.06% | ||
| TMHC - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | +0.03% | ||
| MTH - GRBK | 87% Closely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| KBH - GRBK | 85% Closely correlated | -3.10% | ||
| LEN - GRBK | 85% Closely correlated | -2.55% | ||
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LEN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LEN has been closely correlated with PHM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LEN jumps, then PHM could also see price increases.