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HEI vs HWM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? HEICO Corporation (HEI) vs. Howmet Aerospace (HWM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HEI (HEICO Corporation) has delivered record financial results in recent quarters, with net sales, operating income, and net income all posting double-digit growth, supported by strong commercial aviation and defense demand.
- HWM (Howmet Aerospace) has outperformed with robust revenue and earnings growth and raised its full-year outlook, but its shares have shown greater volatility following a SpaceX announcement about in-house gas-turbine component production.
- Both companies benefit from long-term aerospace demand, yet their business models differ: HEICO leans on proprietary aftermarket replacement parts, while Howmet focuses on high-volume engineered components such as jet engine parts and fastening systems.
- On valuation, both names trade at premium forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiples relative to their industrial peers, reflecting strong growth expectations and market positioning.
- Analyst sentiment remains broadly constructive on both stocks, with multiple Wall Street firms maintaining buy or outperform ratings despite near-term uncertainty.
- For more detail on each company, visit HEI Major News and HEI Today's Price Move, as well as HWM Major News and HWM Today's Price Move.
- To explore AI-driven trading strategies across the broader market, visit the curated Trending AI Robots page.
Introduction
HEICO Corporation and Howmet Aerospace are two of the most closely watched names in the aerospace and defense supply chain, yet they occupy different niches within the same macro theme. HEI generates much of its value from proprietary aftermarket replacement parts and niche defense electronics, while HWM is a leading producer of engineered components such as jet engine parts, fastening systems, and forged aluminum wheels. This stock comparison is relevant for investors seeking exposure to commercial aviation, defense budgets, and industrial gas turbines, as well as traders monitoring relative performance and market positioning. Understanding how these two companies differ can help clarify which profile better matches a given strategy or risk tolerance.
HEI Overview and Recent Performance
HEICO Corporation (HEI) operates two segments: the Flight Support Group, which supplies aftermarket replacement parts and repair services, and the Electronic Technologies Group, which produces specialized electronics for defense, aerospace, space, and medical applications. In recent market activity, HEICO has reported record quarterly results, including double-digit growth in net sales, operating income, and net income, driven by roughly 18% consolidated organic growth plus contributions from recent acquisitions. The company also raised its semiannual dividend and expanded its revolving credit facility, signaling confidence in its cash generation and acquisition-led growth strategy. Sentiment has been supported by strong commercial aviation aftermarket demand and defense electronics orders, though some investors remain mindful of regulatory and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) pressures on aftermarket parts pricing.
HWM Overview and Recent Performance
Howmet Aerospace (HWM) is a global manufacturer of advanced engineered products, with its Engine Products segment representing the largest share of revenue, complemented by Fastening Systems, Engineered Structures, and Forged Wheels. In recent market activity, Howmet reported strong quarterly growth in revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS), driven by double-digit gains in commercial aerospace, defense aerospace, and industrial gas turbines. Management raised its full-year guidance and cited record backlogs and rising engine-spare demand. However, the stock has exhibited greater volatility after SpaceX indicated plans to produce certain gas-turbine castings internally, prompting a pullback from recent highs. Analysts at Citigroup and Bernstein viewed the decline as an overreaction, arguing that Howmet retains substantial market share and long-term supply agreements in the industrial gas-turbine space.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Although both companies serve the aerospace sector, their growth drivers and risk profiles differ meaningfully. HEI competes on cost through Federal Aviation Administration-approved aftermarket parts, a business model that tends to benefit when airlines seek lower maintenance expenses but faces ongoing OEM and regulatory scrutiny. HWM, by contrast, supplies highly engineered components into long-cycle OEM build programs, giving it exposure to aircraft production rates and engine-spare demand rather than aftermarket price competition.
On momentum, both names have posted strong recent gains, but Howmet's share-price path has been more volatile, particularly around the SpaceX industrial gas-turbine development. HEICO's performance has been steadier, underpinned by consistent record earnings and disciplined acquisitions. Sector exposure also differs: Howmet has a notable presence in commercial transportation and forged wheels, while HEICO's electronics segment adds diversification into space, medical, and other niche markets. In terms of market sentiment, both carry premium valuations relative to industrial peers, meaning expectations for continued execution are already elevated for each.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and catalyst profile, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward HEI as the more stable and consistently trending candidate. HEICO's record results, organic growth, and measured dividend and credit moves suggest a steadier trajectory with fewer sudden sentiment shocks. HWM retains stronger headline growth and substantial upside potential, but its recent volatility around the SpaceX announcement introduces a degree of uncertainty that trend-following models typically penalize. This probabilistic assessment reflects relative positioning rather than a definitive forecast, and the AI's preference could shift as new earnings data and market conditions emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HEI is a Buy and HWM is a Buy.
HEI in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026
HEI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 37 of 51 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 26, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HEI as a result. In 60 of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The 10-day moving average for HEI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Following a +3.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HEI advanced for three days, in 209 of 336 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for HEI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HEI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
HEI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for HEI entered a downward trend on October 16, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HEI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.396) is normal, around the industry mean (5.050). P/E Ratio (54.622) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.247). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.092) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.002) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.163) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
HWM in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 21, 2026
HWM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 22 of 27 cases where HWM's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HWM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 16 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on HWM as a result. In 53 of 76 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for HWM just turned positive on November 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where HWM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Following a +6.43% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HWM advanced for three days, in 254 of 352 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 73 cases where HWM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
The Aroon Indicator for HWM entered a downward trend on November 03, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 23 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. HWM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 77 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: HWM's P/B Ratio (14.319) is slightly higher than the industry average of (5.050). P/E Ratio (44.165) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.247). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.450) is also within normal values, averaging (3.110). Dividend Yield (0.003) settles around the average of (0.055) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.081) is also within normal values, averaging (18.367).
HEI | HWM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 23 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 48 | 29 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 77 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HWM's Valuation (80) in the null industry is in the same range as HEI (83) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to HEI’s over the last 12 months.
HEI's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (23) in the null industry. This means that HEI’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HWM's SMR Rating (29) in the null industry is in the same range as HEI (48) in the Aerospace And Defense industry. This means that HWM’s stock grew similarly to HEI’s over the last 12 months.
HEI's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (62) in the null industry. This means that HEI’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
HEI's P/E Growth Rating (76) in the Aerospace And Defense industry is in the same range as HWM (77) in the null industry. This means that HEI’s stock grew similarly to HWM’s over the last 12 months.
| HEI | HWM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 57% | 7 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 45% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HEI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while HWM’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- HEI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- HWM’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HEI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HWM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HEI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HWM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
HEI (@Aerospace & Defense) experienced а +2.18% price change this week, while HWM (@Aerospace & Defense) price change was -1.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Aerospace & Defense industry was +0.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.29%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
HEI is expected to report earnings on Dec 17, 2026.
HWM is expected to report earnings on Feb 16, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Aerospace & Defense (+0.36% weekly)Aerospace & Defense is one of largest industries in the U.S., mainly comprising the following areas: commercial airliners, military aircraft, missiles, space, and general aviation. Focused heavily on research & development, it is also one of the fastest growing industries. Military aircraft has the largest market share in the industry’s sales, followed by space systems, civil aircraft, and missiles. Aerospace exports, directly and indirectly, support more jobs than the export of any other commodity, according to a study by the U.S. Department of Commerce. Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation and General Electric Company are some of the most prominent players in this space.
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HEI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HEI has been loosely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HEI jumps, then GE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HEI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HEI | 100% | +0.69% | ||
| GE - HEI | 65% Loosely correlated | +0.71% | ||
| LOAR - HEI | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.32% | ||
| VSEC - HEI | 59% Loosely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| SARO - HEI | 56% Loosely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| WWD - HEI | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.37% | ||
More | ||||
HWM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HWM has been closely correlated with GE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if HWM jumps, then GE could also see price increases.