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HRL vs TR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hormel Foods (HRL) vs. Tootsie Roll Industries (TR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- HRL trades near the lower end of its 52-week range with a focus on diversified protein and packaged foods, while TR has delivered stronger year-to-date gains amid its narrower confectionery focus.
- HRL offers a higher dividend yield near 4.9% and larger market capitalization of approximately $13.1 billion compared to TR's roughly $3.1 billion.
- Recent market activity shows HRL facing pressures from leadership transitions and margin dynamics, whereas TR has posted positive year-to-date performance exceeding 15%.
- HRL operates in a broader consumer staples segment with exposure to meat products and foodservice, contrasting TR's specialized candy brands and lower volatility profile.
- Institutional interest and earnings updates have supported TR momentum in recent weeks, while HRL contends with sector-wide commodity and consumer spending influences.
- Both stocks remain in the consumer staples sector but differ in scale, growth drivers, and risk exposure, offering distinct trade-offs for investors seeking stability versus income.
Introduction
Investors and traders often compare stocks within the same sector to assess relative performance, risk profiles, and positioning amid evolving market conditions. HRL and TR represent two distinct approaches in consumer staples: one centered on diversified protein and packaged foods, the other on confectionery products. This comparison appeals to those evaluating income-generating equities with defensive characteristics, momentum differentials, or sector exposure in a period of fluctuating consumer demand and commodity prices. The analysis highlights observable trends without projecting future outcomes.
HRL Overview and Recent Performance
Hormel Foods Corporation produces and markets a range of meat, protein, and branded grocery products under names including SPAM, Jennie-O, and Skippy. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near multi-year lows around the $23–$24 level, reflecting broader sector pressures and a 52-week range spanning approximately $19.70 to $29.35. Year-to-date returns have remained modest in the low single digits amid leadership transitions and margin considerations. Sentiment has been influenced by ongoing operational adjustments and exposure to foodservice cycles, contributing to relatively muted momentum compared to peers.
TR Overview and Recent Performance
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes confectionery items such as Tootsie Rolls, Dots, and Junior Mints across domestic and select international markets. Recent market activity has shown the shares maintaining resilience near $40–$41, within a 52-week range of roughly $33.44 to $45.06. Year-to-date gains have exceeded 15%, supported by steady consumer demand for established candy brands and periodic institutional positioning. Performance has benefited from lower relative volatility and consistent brand loyalty, though the narrower product focus limits diversification.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
HRL maintains a broader business model across refrigerated meats, shelf-stable items, and foodservice channels, exposing it to commodity fluctuations and larger revenue scale near $12 billion annually. In contrast, TR focuses on confectionery with annual revenue around $730 million, offering brand stability but limited category breadth. Recent momentum favors TR with stronger year-to-date returns, while HRL provides higher dividend income and greater market capitalization. Risk factors differ: HRL contends with higher debt levels and sector cyclicality, whereas TR exhibits lower beta and more contained volatility. Market sentiment reflects these contrasts, with HRL drawing attention for income characteristics and TR for relative resilience in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, relative momentum, and positioning within current market conditions, Tickeron’s AI models assign a probabilistic edge to TR over HRL. TR has demonstrated more stable recent performance with fewer near-term volatility drivers, while HRL awaits clarification on volume trends and operational adjustments. This assessment reflects pattern recognition rather than guarantees of future results.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HRL is a Hold and TR is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HRL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- HRL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HRL’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HRL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- TR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HRL (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а +1.88% price change this week, while TR (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -3.32% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -2.17%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.22%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was -5.20%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was -24.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
HRL is expected to report earnings on Dec 02, 2026.
TR is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-2.17% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (-5.20% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| HRL | TR | HRL / TR | |
| Capitalization | 11.9B | 2.94B | 405% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 157M | 639% |
| Gain YTD | -4.915 | 12.815 | -38% |
| P/E Ratio | 34.97 | 30.55 | 114% |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 736M | 1,658% |
| Total Cash | N/A | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.86B | 13.6M | 21,000% |
HRL | TR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 64 | 63 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 11 Undervalued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 81 | 68 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 50 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | 49 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 20 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HRL's Valuation (11) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TR (72) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew somewhat faster than TR’s over the last 12 months.
TR's Profit vs Risk Rating (54) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HRL (100) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that TR’s stock grew somewhat faster than HRL’s over the last 12 months.
TR's SMR Rating (68) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as HRL (81) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
TR's Price Growth Rating (50) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as HRL (62) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HRL's P/E Growth Rating (8) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TR (49) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew somewhat faster than TR’s over the last 12 months.
| HRL | TR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 57% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 15 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 36% | 2 days ago 61% |
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