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HRL vs TR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) vs. Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) operates in the packaged foods sector with a focus on proteins and consumer staples, while Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) specializes in confectionery products.
- Over recent weeks, HRL shares have traded near multi-year lows around $21 amid broader sector pressures, whereas TR shares have shown relative resilience near $40 with positive year-to-date returns.
- HRL faces upcoming second-quarter earnings on May 28, 2026, with analysts expecting modest revenue growth; TR reported stable quarterly results earlier in the period with limited near-term catalysts highlighted.
- Both stocks exhibit low beta relative to the broader market, reflecting defensive characteristics typical of the consumer staples sector.
- Market sentiment for HRL has been influenced by cost management and foodservice demand, while TR sentiment remains steady due to consistent brand performance in the confectionery space.
- Relative performance shows TR outperforming HRL on a year-to-date basis, though both lag broader market gains over longer periods.
Introduction
This comparison examines Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) and Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR), two established players in the consumer staples sector. HRL focuses on meat and packaged food products, while TR centers on traditional confectionery items. The analysis highlights differences in business models, recent price behavior, and market positioning. Institutional investors and retail traders seeking exposure to defensive equities may find the comparison relevant when evaluating relative stability and sector-specific dynamics in the current environment.
HRL Overview and Recent Performance
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) develops and markets a range of meat, poultry, and other packaged food products under well-known brands. The company serves retail, foodservice, and international markets. In recent market activity, shares have remained under pressure, trading near the lower end of their 52-week range amid sector-wide challenges including input costs and shifting consumer preferences. Recent weeks have seen limited upward momentum, with performance influenced by expectations ahead of the fiscal second-quarter earnings release. Sentiment reflects caution around volume trends in certain categories, offset by steady foodservice demand in proteins.
TR Overview and Recent Performance
Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) manufactures and sells a portfolio of confectionery products, including its flagship Tootsie Roll brand and other candy items. The company maintains a focused domestic operation with limited international exposure. Recent market activity shows shares holding relatively steady near $40 levels, supported by consistent brand loyalty in the candy segment. Performance in recent weeks has been characterized by low volatility, with year-to-date returns outpacing those of HRL. Sentiment remains neutral to positive, driven by stable sales patterns and minimal disruption from macroeconomic factors affecting discretionary spending.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) and Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) differ significantly in business model and sector exposure. HRL operates across a broader packaged foods platform with emphasis on proteins and value-added products, exposing it to commodity price fluctuations and foodservice cycles. TR maintains a narrower confectionery focus, benefiting from brand stickiness but limited diversification. Recent momentum favors TR on a relative basis, while HRL contends with nearer-term earnings visibility. Risk factors for HRL include potential margin pressure from input costs; TR faces slower volume growth typical of mature candy categories. Market sentiment for both remains defensive, yet TR’s positioning has supported steadier price action in recent weeks.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including trend consistency and relative positioning, Tickeron’s AI models currently assign a probabilistic edge to Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc. (TR) over Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL). TR exhibits more stable recent momentum and fewer near-term catalysts that could introduce volatility, while HRL awaits earnings that may clarify volume trends. This assessment reflects pattern recognition across multiple timeframes rather than any forward projection.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is HRL is a Buy and TR is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
HRL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileTR’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- HRL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- TR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
HRL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TR’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- HRL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
HRL (@Food: Major Diversified) experienced а -1.91% price change this week, while TR (@Food: Specialty/Candy) price change was -4.15% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Major Diversified industry was -0.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.47%, and the average quarterly price growth was -9.80%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Food: Specialty/Candy industry was +0.22%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +4.28%, and the average quarterly price growth was -10.62%.
Reported Earning Dates
HRL is expected to report earnings on Aug 27, 2026.
TR is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Food: Major Diversified (-0.50% weekly)Companies in this industry usually make a diverse range of agricultural and/or processed food. Some prominent names in this segment are Mondelez International, which makes chocolates, biscuits, cookies etc. The Kraft Heinz Company specializes in ketchups, sauces, fruit drink pouches and many more. General Mills, Inc. sells flour and cereal. Kellogg is famous for its snacks and breakfast cereal. And so on down the line. As more and more consumers are looking for healthier options in food in recent years, several legacy food companies have responded by revamping brands to include organic and no-added-sugar versions, and/or acquiring healthy food firms, and even streamlining operations.
@Food: Specialty/Candy (+0.22% weekly)A specialty/candy manufacturer specializes in one or more of the following: chocolate, candies, pasta, condiments, seasonings, among other items. Hershey Company, McCormick & Company and J.M. Smucker Company are some of the major firms in this segment. Demand for this industry’s products comes from both institutions/restaurants as well as households.
| HRL | TR | HRL / TR | |
| Capitalization | 13.6B | 2.87B | 474% |
| EBITDA | 1B | 157M | 639% |
| Gain YTD | 4.492 | 2.251 | 200% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.36 | 27.22 | 104% |
| Revenue | 12.2B | 736M | 1,658% |
| Total Cash | 860M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 2.86B | 13.6M | 21,000% |
HRL | TR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 8 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 13 Undervalued | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 84 | 69 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 31 | 56 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
HRL's Valuation (13) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TR (67) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew somewhat faster than TR’s over the last 12 months.
TR's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is somewhat better than the same rating for HRL (100) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that TR’s stock grew somewhat faster than HRL’s over the last 12 months.
TR's SMR Rating (69) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry is in the same range as HRL (84) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry. This means that TR’s stock grew similarly to HRL’s over the last 12 months.
HRL's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is in the same range as TR (61) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew similarly to TR’s over the last 12 months.
HRL's P/E Growth Rating (31) in the Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy industry is in the same range as TR (56) in the Food Specialty Or Candy industry. This means that HRL’s stock grew similarly to TR’s over the last 12 months.
| HRL | TR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 56% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 48% | 2 days ago 56% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 50% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 43% | 2 days ago 48% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 41% | 14 days ago 63% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 50% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 55% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 35% | 2 days ago 46% |
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HRL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HRL has been loosely correlated with GIS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HRL jumps, then GIS could also see price increases.
TR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TR has been loosely correlated with KHC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TR jumps, then KHC could also see price increases.