Artificial intelligence has become the dominant theme in equity markets, and investors are increasingly weighing how best to capture it. The Invesco AI and Next Gen Software ETF (IGPT) and the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (IYW) sit at the center of this conversation, yet they are not direct substitutes. IGPT is a thematic, globally scoped fund concentrated in the semiconductor and software value chain behind AI, while IYW is a broad, U.S.-centric technology sector fund that holds many of the same mega-cap leaders but spreads risk across the entire technology landscape. Comparing them clarifies the trade-off between high-conviction thematic exposure and diversified, lower-cost sector exposure — a decision with meaningful implications for both fund performance and relative positioning.
IGPT is a passively managed, thematic exchange-traded fund (ETF) launched in 2005 by Invesco. It seeks to track the STOXX World AC NexGen Software Development Index, which holds companies deriving significant revenue from technologies and products that enable future software development — including AI chips, memory, and adjacent infrastructure. The fund typically invests at least 90% of its assets in index securities and is structured as non-diversified, meaning it can concentrate risk in fewer names.
The portfolio holds roughly 100 securities. Top holdings include NVDA, META, AMD, MU, GOOGL, INTC, MRVL, and SNDK, alongside international names such as SK hynix and MediaTek. Sector exposure is dominated by semiconductors and semiconductor equipment (roughly half the fund), followed by interactive media and services and technology hardware. The expense ratio is approximately 0.56%. Unlike IYW, IGPT includes meaningful non-U.S. exposure — primarily Taiwan, South Korea, and Japan — making it a global AI-hardware play.
IYW is a passively managed, broad-based sector ETF launched in 2000 and issued by BlackRock's iShares. It tracks the Russell 1000 Technology RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index, which measures U.S. technology equities as defined by FTSE Russell and applies caps to limit single-position concentration. The fund generally invests at least 80% of its assets in the underlying index and is also structured as non-diversified.
The fund holds approximately 145–150 securities spanning software, semiconductors, hardware, and IT services. Top holdings include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AVGO, META, MU, AMD, and PLTR. Technology represents roughly 90% of the portfolio, with communication services contributing most of the remainder. The expense ratio is about 0.38% — one of the lowest among comparable technology funds. As a market-cap-weighted vehicle, IYW tilts heavily toward the largest U.S. technology franchises, providing broad sector exposure with deep liquidity and tight spreads.
Both ETFs are riding a powerful AI-driven capital-expenditure cycle. Hyperscale cloud providers and enterprises continue to invest heavily in data-center infrastructure, accelerating demand for graphics processors, memory, and networking components — all core to IGPT's portfolio. At the same time, software monetization, edge computing, and generative AI applications are broadening the opportunity set captured by IYW's more diversified holdings.
Key variables shaping the environment include interest-rate expectations, which influence the valuation of long-duration growth assets; semiconductor supply-chain concentration and export-control policy; and cyclical swings in memory pricing. Regulatory scrutiny of large technology platforms and periodic rotation between growth and value styles also affect both funds. The principal risk is shared: concentration in high-multiple, high-beta equities that can de-rate quickly if earnings growth or AI demand disappoints.
In recent months and over the trailing year, both funds have benefited from robust AI-linked earnings across their largest semiconductor holdings. IGPT has at times shown sharper gains when memory and AI-chip names rally, reflecting its heavier tilt toward pure-play semiconductor and storage companies. That same concentration, however, makes it more volatile during sector pullbacks and more sensitive to memory-cycle swings.
IYW has delivered steadier, broader-based returns, supported by diversified mega-cap software and hardware exposure and a lower fee drag. Its capped-index structure tempers single-name risk even as NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT remain dominant weights. On a risk-adjusted basis, IYW's wider diversification and lower cost have generally translated into more consistent relative positioning, while IGPT offers higher potential torque for investors willing to accept greater drawdown risk.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to refine your ETF and stock selection process with data-driven precision.
Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IYW at this juncture. Its materially lower expense ratio, broader diversification across roughly 150 holdings, and cleaner, more consistent sector momentum provide a structurally stronger risk-adjusted profile. While IGPT offers higher-conviction thematic exposure to AI semiconductors and memory, that concentration introduces elevated volatility and cyclical sensitivity. IYW's capped, market-cap-weighted design captures the same dominant technology franchises with less single-theme risk. The verdict is probabilistic rather than predictive: in an environment where cost efficiency, diversification, and trend consistency are rewarded, IYW represents the more durable choice for most investors, while IGPT may appeal to those seeking aggressive, focused AI exposure.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +4.96% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IGPT advanced for three days, in 320 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
IGPT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IGPT as a result. In 62 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IGPT turned negative on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 57 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 54 of the 57 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
IGPT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IGPT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IGPT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for IGPT entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
IYW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 30 of 32 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IYW as a result. In 74 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for IYW turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
The 10-day moving average for IYW crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for IYW's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.86% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYW advanced for three days, in 323 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
IYW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 296 of 318 cases where IYW Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| IGPT | IYW | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 90% | 6 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 84% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 90% | 1 day ago 90% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IGPT has been loosely correlated with P. These tickers have moved in lockstep 52% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if IGPT jumps, then P could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IGPT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IGPT | 100% | -3.07% | ||
| P - IGPT | 52% Loosely correlated | -10.40% | ||
| HPE - IGPT | 50% Loosely correlated | -7.08% | ||
| AME - IGPT | 50% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| EMR - IGPT | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.62% | ||
| DELL - IGPT | 48% Loosely correlated | -7.43% | ||
More | ||||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYW has been closely correlated with ONTO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 68% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYW jumps, then ONTO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To IYW | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IYW | 100% | -2.56% | ||
| ONTO - IYW | 68% Closely correlated | -5.05% | ||
| Q - IYW | 67% Closely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| MKSI - IYW | 65% Loosely correlated | -2.72% | ||
| NXPI - IYW | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.91% | ||
| COHR - IYW | 63% Loosely correlated | -4.93% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| KMAY | 29.75 | -0.02 | -0.06% |
| Innovator U.S. Small Cap Power Buffer ETF - May (KMAY) | |||
| EMHY | 38.49 | -0.20 | -0.52% |
| iShares J.P. Morgan EM High Yield Bond ETF (EMHY) | |||
| EZMO | 25.14 | -0.15 | -0.60% |
| AlphaDroid Broad Markets Momentum ETF (EZMO) | |||
| CRTC | 39.72 | -0.56 | -1.38% |
| Xtrackers US National Critical Technologies ETF (CRTC) | |||
| JTEK | 91.64 | -2.31 | -2.46% |
| JPMorgan U.S. Tech Leaders ETF (JTEK) | |||