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IMO vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Imperial Oil (IMO) vs. Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both IMO and SU are major Canadian integrated energy companies with significant oil sands exposure, benefiting from recent crude price strength.
- IMO reported Q2 2026 results with net income more than doubling year-over-year, driven by higher realizations and operational resilience.
- SU is positioned for strong Q2 2026 earnings growth, with consensus estimates projecting a substantial year-over-year increase ahead of its August 4 release.
- Year-to-date returns for both stocks have significantly outpaced the broader S&P/TSX Composite index, reflecting sector momentum in recent market activity.
- Relative performance shows close competition, with IMO demonstrating slightly higher YTD gains in some benchmarks amid varying refining and upstream dynamics.
- Market sentiment remains constructive for both, supported by integrated business models that balance upstream production with downstream stability.
Introduction
Imperial Oil (IMO) and Suncor Energy (SU) represent two leading players in Canada's energy sector, each operating integrated businesses that span upstream oil sands production, refining, and marketing. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational highlights, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Institutional investors, sector-focused traders, and those monitoring energy equities may find the analysis relevant for assessing portfolio allocation within the Canadian energy space, where commodity price fluctuations and operational execution play key roles.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited is a Calgary-based integrated energy company with upstream, downstream, and chemical operations, including significant oil sands assets and refining capacity. In recent weeks, the stock has delivered strong performance, posting year-to-date returns exceeding 50% and outpacing the S&P/TSX Composite. Recent market activity has been influenced by higher crude prices, which supported record quarterly net income in Q2 2026 that more than doubled from the prior year and exceeded analyst estimates. Refining maintenance and output variations were offset by favorable commodity realizations, contributing to positive sentiment. The company's established operational scale and ExxonMobil affiliation provide a stable foundation amid sector volatility.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. is a Calgary-based integrated energy firm focused on oil sands production, refining, and retail operations through its Petro-Canada network. The stock has also shown robust gains in recent market activity, with year-to-date returns around 52% that have substantially exceeded broader market benchmarks. Ahead of its Q2 2026 earnings release scheduled for August 4, consensus estimates point to a sharp year-over-year increase in earnings per share. Downstream refining and marketing segments have provided resilience, helping to mitigate upstream volatility. Sustained demand for refined products and stable throughput have supported expectations, maintaining constructive market positioning within the energy sector.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both companies operate similar integrated models centered on Canadian oil sands, yet differences emerge in scale, capital allocation, and downstream emphasis. IMO benefits from its affiliation with a major global energy player, supporting conservative financial management and steady dividend policies. SU maintains a larger market capitalization and has emphasized returning excess capital to shareholders through buybacks. Recent momentum for IMO has been bolstered by immediate earnings outperformance, while SU draws attention from anticipated earnings growth and refining stability. Risk factors include commodity price sensitivity and operational disruptions common to both, though integrated structures help moderate exposure. Sector sentiment favors the group broadly, with relative performance hinging on quarterly execution and refining margins.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings delivery, trend consistency in returns, and positioning ahead of upcoming catalysts, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to IMO for relative stability in the near term. SU presents competitive attributes through expected earnings expansion and capital return initiatives. Market conditions can shift rapidly, and outcomes depend on execution and external variables.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IMO is a Buy and SU is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IMO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IMO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IMO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
IMO (@Integrated Oil) experienced а +4.80% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was +6.65% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was +1.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was +18.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
IMO is expected to report earnings on Oct 30, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Nov 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (+1.10% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| IMO | SU | IMO / SU | |
| Capitalization | 64.2B | 76.6B | 84% |
| EBITDA | 6.4B | 16.2B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 53.343 | 47.498 | 112% |
| P/E Ratio | 21.52 | 12.16 | 177% |
| Revenue | 45.4B | 54.5B | 83% |
| Total Cash | 1.03B | 3.27B | 31% |
| Total Debt | 4.14B | 14.8B | 28% |
IMO | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 41 | 19 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 57 Fair valued | 32 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | 14 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 60 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 47 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (32) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (57). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (5) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (14). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (60) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (64). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (46). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Integrated Oil industry is somewhat better than the same rating for SU (47). This means that IMO’s stock grew somewhat faster than SU’s over the last 12 months.
| IMO | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 60% | 7 days ago 57% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 74% |
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IMO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IMO has been closely correlated with SU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IMO jumps, then SU could also see price increases.
SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.