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IMO vs SU
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Imperial Oil (IMO) vs. Suncor Energy (SU) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both IMO and SU have delivered strong year-to-date gains, with SU at approximately 53% and IMO at 49%, reflecting robust energy sector momentum.
- SU boasts a larger market capitalization of $80.4 billion compared to IMO's $63.9 billion, alongside a lower trailing P/E ratio of 19.0 versus 27.1.
- Recent quarterly results for IMO showed net income of $940 million, down year-over-year amid restructuring efforts including job cuts.
- SU exhibits stronger profit margins at 12.1% compared to IMO's 6.2%, highlighting operational efficiency advantages.
- Tickeron's AI models show comparable Smart Score ratings, with SU slightly ahead at 58 versus IMO's 56 over the past year.
Introduction
Imperial Oil (IMO) and Suncor Energy (SU) stand as two leading integrated energy companies in Canada, heavily focused on oil sands production, refining, and marketing. This stock comparison is particularly relevant for investors and traders navigating the volatile energy sector, where crude oil price swings, geopolitical tensions, and production efficiencies drive performance. Amid recent market rallies in oil prices, both stocks have shown resilience, offering insights into relative valuation, operational strengths, and momentum for portfolio diversification or sector rotation strategies.
IMO Overview and Recent Performance
Imperial Oil Limited (IMO), majority-owned by ExxonMobil, operates across upstream exploration and production, downstream refining, and chemicals. In recent market activity, the stock has climbed nearly 49% year-to-date and over 93% in the past year, buoyed by higher oil prices and record production levels. However, shares pulled back in recent weeks following first-quarter results that reported net income of $940 million, a decline from the prior year, influenced by lower commodity realizations and ongoing restructuring, including the elimination of 130 positions. Sentiment remains supported by strong cash flows from operations exceeding $750 million, though elevated P/E ratios reflect growth expectations tempered by sector risks like regulatory pressures on emissions.
SU Overview and Recent Performance
Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) is an independent integrated energy firm with significant oil sands assets, upstream production, and refining operations. The stock has outperformed slightly year-to-date with gains around 53% and 93% over the past year, driven by efficient operations and strategic capital allocation. In recent weeks, shares experienced modest volatility ahead of first-quarter earnings, maintaining proximity to 52-week highs amid positive investor updates on production growth and enhanced shareholder returns, including increased buybacks targeting $4 billion in 2026. Higher profit margins and robust free cash flow generation have bolstered sentiment, though exposure to Western Canadian Select differentials poses ongoing challenges.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both IMO and SU share integrated business models centered on Canadian oil sands, with upstream heavy exposure vulnerable to crude differentials and downstream refining providing hedges. Growth drivers include production expansions, but SU targets 100,000 barrels per day of upstream growth by 2028 alongside $2 billion annual free funds flow increases. Recent momentum favors SU with steadier price action near highs, while IMO faces post-earnings pressure. Risk factors overlap in regulatory scrutiny on carbon emissions and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) activity, but SU's lower debt-to-equity and higher ROE (return on equity) suggest better stability. Sector-wise, both benefit from oil rallies, yet SU shows superior margins and scale, trading at a discount on valuation metrics.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward SU based on superior relative positioning, including a lower forward P/E, higher profit margins, and enhanced shareholder return plans amid consistent trends. While IMO offers strong production upside, SU's scale and efficiency provide a probabilistic edge in the near term for energy sector exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is IMO is a StrongBuy and SU is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
IMO’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileSU’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- IMO’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- SU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
IMO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SU’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- IMO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SU’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
IMO (@Integrated Oil) experienced а -0.35% price change this week, while SU (@Integrated Oil) price change was -1.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Integrated Oil industry was -0.04%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +29.00%.
Reported Earning Dates
IMO is expected to report earnings on Aug 03, 2026.
SU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Integrated Oil (-0.04% weekly)Integrated oil companies are involved across nearly the entire oil value chain – from upstream operations like exploration and production, to downstream functions of refining and marketing. Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation and BP are major integrated oil companies. Their bottom lines’ response to crude oil prices could depend on the proportion of upstream vs. downstream businesses; for example, if a company has substantial downstream business, the adverse impact on their upstream business due to falling crude prices could be mitigated by benefits to its downstream business.
| IMO | SU | IMO / SU | |
| Capitalization | 58.8B | 72.7B | 81% |
| EBITDA | 6.4B | 16.2B | 40% |
| Gain YTD | 40.528 | 38.864 | 104% |
| P/E Ratio | 28.67 | 16.33 | 176% |
| Revenue | 45.4B | 54.5B | 83% |
| Total Cash | 1.03B | 3.27B | 31% |
| Total Debt | 4.14B | 14.8B | 28% |
IMO | SU | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 75 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 31 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 4 | 18 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 61 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 20 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SU's Valuation (31) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (48). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's Profit vs Risk Rating (4) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (18). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
SU's SMR Rating (61) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (64). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
SU's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as IMO (47). This means that SU’s stock grew similarly to IMO’s over the last 12 months.
IMO's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Integrated Oil industry is in the same range as SU (20). This means that IMO’s stock grew similarly to SU’s over the last 12 months.
| IMO | SU | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 7 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 52% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 51% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 12 days ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 59% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 85% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 50% |
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SU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SU has been closely correlated with CVE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 81% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SU jumps, then CVE could also see price increases.