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JAKK vs JOUT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? JAKKS Pacific (JAKK) vs. Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JAKK has delivered a strong year-to-date (YTD) return of 39.13%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 8.08%, driven by robust Q1 revenue beats despite a quarterly loss.
- JOUT boasts a superior 1-year return of around 85-108%, reflecting longer-term momentum in outdoor recreation, though recent Q2 earnings led to share price volatility.
- Both stocks offer dividends, with JAKK at a higher forward yield of 4.31% compared to JOUT's 2.56%.
- JAKK exhibits higher volatility (beta 1.50) versus JOUT's lower beta of 0.88, appealing to different risk appetites.
- Market caps are comparable at roughly $265M for JAKK and $493-537M for JOUT, with both showing institutional ownership above 64%.
- Recent analyst targets suggest upside: $28.50 average for JAKK and $55 for JOUT.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines JAKK (JAKKS Pacific, Inc.) and JOUT (Johnson Outdoors Inc.), two consumer discretionary plays in toys/consumer products and outdoor recreation, respectively. Traders seeking short-term momentum may favor JAKK's YTD surge, while long-term investors might eye JOUT's multi-year gains. Both operate in cyclical sectors sensitive to consumer spending and seasonal trends, offering insights into relative performance, risk profiles, and market positioning amid evolving economic conditions. This analysis aids in evaluating stock comparison metrics for diversified portfolios.
JAKK Overview and Recent Performance
JAKK, a designer, manufacturer, and marketer of toys, costumes, and consumer products worldwide, has shown resilient performance in recent market activity. Trading around $23.22 with a 52-week range of $14.87-$24.45, the stock achieved a YTD return of 39.13%, outpacing the S&P 500. In recent weeks, shares experienced minor pullbacks but maintained upward momentum from Q1 2026 results, where revenue of $106.68 million topped estimates despite an EPS loss of -$0.17. Key influences include new licensing partnerships like those with Hormel brands for costumes and a global SEGA deal, alongside a $0.25 dividend declaration (ex-date May 29, 2026). International sales exposure has shaped sentiment, with analyst buys and a $28.50 average target signaling optimism.
JOUT Overview and Recent Performance
JOUT, a global manufacturer of branded outdoor recreation products for fishing, diving, paddling, and camping, has navigated seasonal dynamics effectively. Shares trade near $47-51, within a 52-week range of $25.53-$53.54, posting a YTD return of about 12-23% and a robust 1-year gain of 85-108%. Recent market activity saw volatility post-Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings on May 8, with revenue of $194.48 million beating expectations by 5.07% and EPS of $0.89 topping forecasts, yet shares dipped amid mixed reactions to profitability trends. Dividend yield stands at 2.56% (annual $1.32), supporting income focus. Sector exposure to leisure products has driven relative performance, with a $55 analyst target indicating potential upside despite higher P/E ratios.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
JAKK and JOUT contrast in business models: JAKK thrives on licensed toys and costumes with seasonal peaks around holidays, while JOUT leverages outdoor gear tied to warmer weather and fishing seasons. Growth drivers differ—JAKK via partnerships and international expansion, JOUT through product innovation in marine electronics. Recent momentum favors JAKK's YTD edge, but JOUT leads over one year. Risk factors include JAKK's higher beta (1.50) and sales volatility versus JOUT's stability (beta 0.88), though both face consumer cyclicality. Sector exposure pits toys against leisure, with market sentiment buoyed by earnings beats but tempered by economic sensitivity. Trade-offs hinge on income (JAKK higher yield) versus growth potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward JAKK based on superior YTD trend consistency, revenue outperformance in recent quarters, attractive dividend yield, and higher analyst upside potential relative to its positioning. While JOUT shows stronger multi-year catalysts and earnings beats, its post-earnings volatility and lower short-term momentum tilt probabilities in JAKK's favor for near-term relative strength.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JAKK is a Hold and JOUT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JAKK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileJOUT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- JAKK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- JOUT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JAKK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JOUT’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JAKK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
- JOUT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
JAKK (@Recreational Products) experienced а -0.92% price change this week, while JOUT (@Recreational Products) price change was -2.13% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Recreational Products industry was -1.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +2.99%, and the average quarterly price growth was -5.26%.
Reported Earning Dates
JAKK is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
JOUT is expected to report earnings on Jul 31, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Recreational Products (-1.58% weekly)The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).
| JAKK | JOUT | JAKK / JOUT | |
| Capitalization | 252M | 476M | 53% |
| EBITDA | 24.4M | 35.3M | 69% |
| Gain YTD | 33.153 | 8.606 | 385% |
| P/E Ratio | 31.40 | 86.26 | 36% |
| Revenue | 564M | 652M | 87% |
| Total Cash | 67.3M | 108M | 62% |
| Total Debt | 50M | 46M | 109% |
JAKK | JOUT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 69 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 63 Fair valued | 13 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 93 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 43 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 2 | 2 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
JOUT's Valuation (13) in the Recreational Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JAKK (63). This means that JOUT’s stock grew somewhat faster than JAKK’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's Profit vs Risk Rating (60) in the Recreational Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JOUT (100). This means that JAKK’s stock grew somewhat faster than JOUT’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's SMR Rating (89) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as JOUT (93). This means that JAKK’s stock grew similarly to JOUT’s over the last 12 months.
JOUT's Price Growth Rating (43) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as JAKK (46). This means that JOUT’s stock grew similarly to JAKK’s over the last 12 months.
JOUT's P/E Growth Rating (2) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as JAKK (2). This means that JOUT’s stock grew similarly to JAKK’s over the last 12 months.
| JAKK | JOUT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 6 days ago 80% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 72% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 64% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 78% | 15 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 77% | 8 days ago 72% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
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JAKK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JAKK has been loosely correlated with FNKO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JAKK jumps, then FNKO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JAKK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAKK | 100% | -0.77% | ||
| FNKO - JAKK | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.28% | ||
| YETI - JAKK | 42% Loosely correlated | -2.10% | ||
| GOLF - JAKK | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| CLAR - JAKK | 39% Loosely correlated | -3.67% | ||
| JOUT - JAKK | 38% Loosely correlated | -2.24% | ||
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JOUT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JOUT has been loosely correlated with MAT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JOUT jumps, then MAT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JOUT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JOUT | 100% | -2.24% | ||
| MAT - JOUT | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.07% | ||
| YETI - JOUT | 43% Loosely correlated | -2.10% | ||
| GOLF - JOUT | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.59% | ||
| FUN - JOUT | 40% Loosely correlated | -8.94% | ||
| JAKK - JOUT | 38% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
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