This stock comparison examines two publicly traded companies that sit at the intersection of pop culture, licensing, and consumer products: FNKO (Funko, Inc.) and JAKK (JAKKS Pacific, Inc.). Both companies design, manufacture, and distribute branded merchandise tied to major entertainment properties, yet they cater to somewhat different segments of the market and have adopted distinct financial strategies. For traders and investors tracking the consumer discretionary sector — particularly those monitoring how tariff-sensitive toy and collectibles companies are adapting to a shifting retail landscape — this head-to-head comparison offers a data-driven lens on relative performance, risk exposure, and market positioning.
Funko, Inc., headquartered in Everett, Washington, is a leading pop culture and collectibles brand best known for its Pop! vinyl figures, the Loungefly accessories line, and a growing portfolio of licensed entertainment merchandise. The company holds more than 900 active intellectual property licenses spanning major studios such as Warner Bros, NBC Universal, and Disney. In recent market activity, Funko's stock has drawn attention as the company navigates a multi-quarter turnaround effort under its "Make Culture POP!" strategy, which emphasizes faster trend identification, digital engagement, and international expansion.
For the full year 2025, Funko reported net sales of $908.2 million, representing a decline of approximately 13.5% from $1.05 billion in 2024. Gross margin contracted to 38.7% from 41.4%, and the company posted an adjusted EBITDA of $26.6 million, down sharply from $94.7 million a year earlier. Net loss widened to $67.4 million, or $1.24 per share. However, Q4 2025 showed signs of stabilization: net sales of $273.1 million exceeded expectations, gross margin reached 40.9%, and the company nearly broke even on a net income basis. Management reduced inventory levels, paid down $16 million in debt during the quarter, and successfully amended its credit agreement to extend maturity to December 2027. Looking ahead, Funko guided for 2026 net sales to be flat to up 3%, with gross margins improving to a range of 41% to 43% and adjusted EBITDA projected at $70 million to $80 million — a significant projected recovery.
JAKKS Pacific, Inc., based in Santa Monica, California, is a diversified designer, manufacturer, and marketer of toys and consumer products sold worldwide. The company's portfolio includes proprietary brands such as Disguise, Fly Wheels, AirTitans, and Perfectly Cute, alongside a broad range of entertainment-inspired products featuring premier licensed properties. JAKKS Pacific operates through two primary segments: Toys/Consumer Products and Costumes.
For the full year 2025, JAKKS Pacific reported net sales of $570.7 million, down 17% from $691.0 million in 2024, with the decline concentrated in U.S. sales as tariff-driven price increases weighed on customer ordering behavior. Despite the top-line contraction, the company achieved a notable bright spot: full-year gross margin expanded to 32.4%, its highest level in fifteen years, up from 30.8% in 2024. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $9.9 million, and adjusted EBITDA came in at $35.4 million. JAKKS Pacific maintained a debt-free balance sheet throughout the year and returned $1 per share in cash dividends to shareholders. In Q4 2025, net sales of $127.1 million were roughly in line with expectations, and the company posted an 11% increase in gross profit compared to the prior-year quarter, signaling improving operational leverage. Management highlighted a new strategic initiative expected to launch in 2027, while emphasizing its disciplined refusal to chase top-line sales at the expense of margins.
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Although Funko and JAKKS Pacific share exposure to licensed entertainment merchandise, their business models and financial profiles diverge in several important ways. Funko operates at roughly 1.6 times the revenue scale of JAKKS Pacific, driven by the global ubiquity of its Pop! vinyl figures and the strength of its Loungefly brand. JAKKS Pacific, by contrast, runs a more diversified toy and costume portfolio that spans proprietary and licensed products, with a heavier seasonal component tied to Halloween costumes. Both companies have felt the impact of U.S. tariffs on imported goods, but their strategic responses differ: Funko has focused on SKU (stock-keeping unit) rationalization, pricing actions, and licensing renewals, while JAKKS Pacific has prioritized margin protection, supply chain diversification, and capital discipline.
On profitability and balance-sheet strength, the contrast is stark. JAKKS Pacific finished 2025 with no debt, $54.1 million in cash, and a quarterly dividend program in place — reflecting a conservative financial posture that prioritizes shareholder returns. Funko holds $225.3 million in total debt against $42.1 million in cash, and does not pay a dividend, placing it in a more leveraged position as it pursues its turnaround. However, Funko's 2026 guidance suggests a potential inflection point, with adjusted EBITDA projected to roughly triple year-over-year, whereas JAKKS Pacific's near-term catalysts are more modest and tied to a strategic initiative still two years away. From a sector-exposure standpoint, both companies remain vulnerable to shifts in consumer discretionary spending and trade policy, yet JAKKS Pacific's improving gross margin trajectory and international sales growth — led by Europe — offer a degree of operational resilience that currently differentiates it.
Based on observable financial and market data, Tickeron's AI analytical framework would likely express a near-term preference for JAKK over FNKO in the current environment. The probabilistic assessment centers on JAKKS Pacific's combination of a debt-free balance sheet, consistent profitability, expanding gross margins, and a demonstrated commitment to returning capital to shareholders — factors that AI models typically weight favorably when evaluating stability and risk-adjusted positioning. Funko's larger revenue base and ambitious 2026 EBITDA guidance present a potentially more asymmetric upside scenario should its turnaround gain traction, but the company's elevated debt load, recent net losses, and still-recovering margin profile introduce a wider range of possible outcomes. This does not preclude Funko from outperforming over a longer horizon, particularly if its "Make Culture POP!" strategy accelerates international growth and margin recovery. However, on current observable trends — including financial discipline, balance-sheet quality, and earnings consistency — JAKKS Pacific appears to hold the steadier near-term footing.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
FNKO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileJAKK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
FNKO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while JAKK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
FNKO (@Recreational Products) experienced а -9.29% price change this week, while JAKK (@Recreational Products) price change was -2.29% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Recreational Products industry was -0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.42%, and the average quarterly price growth was -0.74%.
FNKO is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
JAKK is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).
| FNKO | JAKK | FNKO / JAKK | |
| Capitalization | 326M | 298M | 109% |
| EBITDA | 27.1M | 35.4M | 77% |
| Gain YTD | 70.000 | 57.991 | 121% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 18.50 | - |
| Revenue | 918M | 584M | 157% |
| Total Cash | 34.3M | 59.5M | 58% |
| Total Debt | 279M | 46.6M | 599% |
FNKO | JAKK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 17 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 43 Fair valued | 72 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 61 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 82 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 38 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 4 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
FNKO's Valuation (43) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as JAKK (72). This means that FNKO’s stock grew similarly to JAKK’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's Profit vs Risk Rating (61) in the Recreational Products industry is somewhat better than the same rating for FNKO (100). This means that JAKK’s stock grew somewhat faster than FNKO’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's SMR Rating (82) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as FNKO (98). This means that JAKK’s stock grew similarly to FNKO’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Recreational Products industry is in the same range as FNKO (38). This means that JAKK’s stock grew similarly to FNKO’s over the last 12 months.
JAKK's P/E Growth Rating (4) in the Recreational Products industry is significantly better than the same rating for FNKO (85). This means that JAKK’s stock grew significantly faster than FNKO’s over the last 12 months.
| FNKO | JAKK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 81% | 8 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% |
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FNKO has been loosely correlated with JAKK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if FNKO jumps, then JAKK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FNKO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FNKO | 100% | -0.86% | ||
| JAKK - FNKO | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| CALY - FNKO | 39% Loosely correlated | +3.41% | ||
| YETI - FNKO | 28% Poorly correlated | +3.74% | ||
| LUCK - FNKO | 27% Poorly correlated | +0.60% | ||
| HAS - FNKO | 26% Poorly correlated | -2.63% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JAKK has been loosely correlated with FNKO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 44% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if JAKK jumps, then FNKO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JAKK | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAKK | 100% | -0.95% | ||
| FNKO - JAKK | 44% Loosely correlated | -0.86% | ||
| YETI - JAKK | 42% Loosely correlated | +3.74% | ||
| CLAR - JAKK | 38% Loosely correlated | +3.12% | ||
| JOUT - JAKK | 37% Loosely correlated | +2.13% | ||
| MAT - JAKK | 36% Loosely correlated | -1.39% | ||
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