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JBLU vs UAL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? JetBlue Airways (JBLU) vs. United Airlines (UAL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- JBLU trades near $5.75–$5.92 with a market capitalization of approximately $2.1 billion and continues to report negative earnings per share (EPS).
- UAL trades near $126 with substantially larger scale, positive trailing EPS around $10.20, and stronger recent revenue growth.
- Both stocks operate in the passenger airlines sector and face exposure to fuel costs and demand fluctuations, yet UAL has demonstrated more consistent profitability.
- Recent market activity shows JBLU with notable year-to-date gains of roughly 26.6 percent, while UAL has posted double-digit monthly advances amid broader sector momentum.
- Analyst sentiment remains mixed for JBLU with several target revisions, whereas UAL benefits from upcoming second-quarter results and generally firmer balance-sheet positioning.
- Relative performance highlights trade-offs between JBLU’s higher volatility and potential recovery catalysts versus UAL’s scale and earnings stability.
Introduction
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) and United Airlines (UAL) represent two distinct segments of the U.S. airline industry, with the former a smaller low-cost carrier and the latter a major full-service network airline. This comparison examines their recent stock behavior, operational context, and relative positioning in the current market environment. Investors and traders focused on sector rotation, fuel-price sensitivity, and earnings momentum may find the analysis useful for assessing risk-adjusted opportunities within the passenger airlines space.
JBLU Overview and Recent Performance
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) operates as a low-cost carrier primarily serving leisure and business routes across the Americas. In recent weeks the stock has traded in a range near $5.64–$5.96, closing around $5.75–$5.92 amid mixed analyst commentary. Year-to-date returns stand near 26.6 percent, outpacing the broader market, yet trailing twelve-month EPS remains negative at approximately –1.93. Recent developments include upgraded revenue-per-available-seat-mile (RASM) guidance for the second quarter and several price-target adjustments, offset by concerns over rising fuel costs and profitability pressures. Market sentiment reflects ongoing efforts to improve unit revenues while navigating a competitive pricing environment.
UAL Overview and Recent Performance
United Airlines (UAL) is a major network carrier with extensive domestic and international operations. The stock has recently traded near $124–$131, closing around $126 following a period of notable gains, including roughly 14.6 percent over the past month. First-quarter results exceeded revenue expectations, and the company is scheduled to report second-quarter earnings on July 15. Trailing EPS remains positive near $10.20, supported by a larger revenue base. Recent activity also includes route expansions and continued focus on operational efficiency, contributing to a generally firmer market positioning compared with smaller peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
JetBlue Airways (JBLU) and United Airlines (UAL) differ markedly in scale and business model. UAL benefits from a broader route network, higher absolute revenue, and positive earnings, while JBLU focuses on cost efficiency in leisure-heavy markets. Recent momentum favors UAL with stronger monthly gains and upcoming earnings visibility. Both face sector-wide risks such as fuel-price volatility and demand shifts, yet JBLU exhibits higher share-price volatility and negative profitability. Market sentiment reflects UAL’s larger balance-sheet resilience alongside JBLU’s ongoing operational adjustments. Trade-offs center on growth potential versus earnings stability within the same industry exposure.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including earnings consistency, revenue scale, and recent trend stability, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of relative outperformance to United Airlines (UAL). Stronger trailing profitability and upcoming quarterly visibility provide a clearer positioning advantage, although both names remain subject to sector-specific variables that could alter short-term trajectories.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is JBLU is a StrongBuy and UAL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
JBLU’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUAL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- JBLU’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
JBLU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- JBLU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
JBLU (@Airlines) experienced а -7.59% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was -8.56% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was -9.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +0.91%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1.23%.
Reported Earning Dates
JBLU is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jul 15, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (-9.01% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| JBLU | UAL | JBLU / UAL | |
| Capitalization | 2.08B | 39.3B | 5% |
| EBITDA | 437M | 5.83B | 7% |
| Gain YTD | 23.077 | 8.353 | 276% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | 10.84 | - |
| Revenue | 9.16B | 60.5B | 15% |
| Total Cash | 2.17B | 14.2B | 15% |
| Total Debt | 9.33B | 31B | 30% |
JBLU | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 80 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 82 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 41 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 98 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 8 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 88 | 25 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
JBLU's Valuation (53) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (82). This means that JBLU’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (41) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JBLU (100). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than JBLU’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's SMR Rating (37) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JBLU (98). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than JBLU’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Price Growth Rating (8) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as JBLU (40). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to JBLU’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (25) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for JBLU (88). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than JBLU’s over the last 12 months.
| JBLU | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 74% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 13 days ago 77% | 19 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 81% |
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JBLU and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, JBLU has been closely correlated with ALGT. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if JBLU jumps, then ALGT could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To JBLU | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JBLU | 100% | -2.78% | ||
| ALGT - JBLU | 69% Closely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| ULCC - JBLU | 69% Closely correlated | -5.33% | ||
| AAL - JBLU | 69% Closely correlated | -3.78% | ||
| UAL - JBLU | 66% Closely correlated | -3.84% | ||
| SKYW - JBLU | 61% Loosely correlated | -1.95% | ||
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UAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, UAL has been closely correlated with AAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if UAL jumps, then AAL could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To UAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UAL | 100% | -3.84% | ||
| AAL - UAL | 83% Closely correlated | -3.78% | ||
| ALGT - UAL | 74% Closely correlated | -3.72% | ||
| SKYW - UAL | 73% Closely correlated | -1.95% | ||
| JBLU - UAL | 66% Loosely correlated | -2.78% | ||
| ULCC - UAL | 60% Loosely correlated | -5.33% | ||
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